IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kanzhun-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33368:1" rel="noopener">Kanzhun (BZ US)</a> is the largest online recruitment platform in China, as measured by the average MAU in 2020, according to CIC. Its BOSS Zhipin mobile app connects job seekers and enterprise users. Kanzhun has filed for a Nasdaq IPO to raise proceeds of $800 million, according to press reports.  In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kanzhun-ipo-initiation-search-and-employ" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:51969" rel="noopener">Kanzhun IPO Initiation: Search and Employ</a>, we opined that Kanzhun’s strong growth in users and fast-paced revenue growth suggests another “growth at all costs” strategy. Encouragingly, the high revenue visibility, declining loss margin and cash generation suggest that Kanzhun can eventually deliver this growth profitability. For investors willing to brave the risk that the current market selloff in high growth stocks persists, we concluded that the Kanzhun story warrants a closer look.<div class="content-highlight">In this note, we compare Kanzhun’s key financial metrics to its listed peers, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/51-job-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:532:1" rel="noopener">51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wise-talent-information-tech" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27177:1" rel="noopener">Wise Talent Information Tech (6100 HK)</a>/Tongdao Liepin. 51jobs is in the midst of a $79.05 in cash privatisation bid from a consortium consisting of DCP, Ocean Link Partners and Mr Rick Yan, 51job's CEO since 2000 - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/51job-s-updated-privatisation-bid" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:51071" rel="noopener">51job’s Updated Privatisation Bid</a>. Our analysis suggests that Kanzhun provides a growth and revenue visibility vs margin and cash generation trade-off in comparison to its listed peers.   </div>

Kanzhun (BZ US) is the largest online recruitment platform in China, as measured by the average MAU in 2020, according to CIC. Its BOSS Zhipin mobile app connects job seekers and enterprise users. Kanzhun has filed for a Nasdaq IPO to raise proceeds of $800 million, according to press reports.  In Kanzhun IPO Initiation: Search and Employ, we opined that Kanzhun’s strong growth in users and fast-paced revenue growth suggests another “growth at all costs” strategy. Encouragingly, the high revenue visibility, declining loss margin and cash generation suggest that Kanzhun can eventually deliver this growth profitability. For investors willing to brave the risk that the current market selloff in high growth stocks persists, we concluded that the Kanzhun story warrants a closer look.In this note, we compare Kanzhun’s key financial metrics to its listed peers, 51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US) and Wise Talent Information Tech (6100 HK)/Tongdao Liepin. 51jobs is in the midst of a $79.05 in cash privatisation bid from a consortium consisting of DCP, Ocean Link Partners and Mr Rick Yan, 51job's CEO since 2000 - 51job’s Updated Privatisation Bid. Our analysis suggests that Kanzhun provides a growth and revenue visibility vs margin and cash generation trade-off in comparison to its listed peers.   

Kanzhun IPO: Growth/Margin Trade-Off Vs Peers

Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Visional looks set for a strong open as it appears that the market has looked through the superficially expensive looking valuation that a shallow analysis would mistakenly reveal. Our ¥8,000 call is looking reasonably good and an examination of recent IPOs also suggests that that level could be defensible even in the medium-term.

Visional looks set for a strong open as it appears that the market has looked through the superficially expensive looking valuation that a shallow analysis would mistakenly reveal. Our ¥8,000 call is looking reasonably good and an examination of recent IPOs also suggests that that level could be defensible even in the medium-term.

APAC IPOs & Placements

Zhen Zhou, Toh

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/visional-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32977:1" rel="noopener">Visional Inc (4194 JP)</a> raised US$609m at JPY5,000 per share, the top-end of its IPO price range.
Visional Inc. is a human resources (HR) technology company based in Japan. The company operates BizReach, an online recruiting platform that helps to connect professional job seekers to direct employers and third-party recruiters. It also offers HRMOS, which is a cloud-based human capital management (HCM) platform.
We have previously covered the IPO in:
<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/visional-inc-ipo-pricey-hire" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:50114" rel="noopener">Visional Inc IPO - Pricey Hire</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/visional-inc-ipo-good-vision-muddled-by-dilution-and-selling-shareholders" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:50086" rel="noopener">Visional Inc IPO - Good Vision Muddled by Dilution and Selling Shareholders</a> </li>
</ul>
In this note, I'll look at the deal dynamics and provide a table with implied valuation at different share price levels.

Visional Inc (4194 JP) raised US$609m at JPY5,000 per share, the top-end of its IPO price range.
Visional Inc. is a human resources (HR) technology company based in Japan. The company operates BizReach, an online recruiting platform that helps to connect professional job seekers to direct employers and third-party recruiters. It also offers HRMOS, which is a cloud-based human capital management (HCM) platform.
We have previously covered the IPO in:


Visional Inc IPO - Pricey Hire 

Visional Inc IPO - Good Vision Muddled by Dilution and Selling Shareholders 

In this note, I'll look at the deal dynamics and provide a table with implied valuation at different share price levels.

Visional Inc IPO Trading Update - Good Demand, Small Upside Based on SOTP

Visional’s financials are a little difficult to unentangle as it combines Bizreach, which looks to be very profitable, with a number of growing and loss-making businesses, we believe that close scrutiny should reveal the excellent value on offer here.

Visional’s financials are a little difficult to unentangle as it combines Bizreach, which looks to be very profitable, with a number of growing and loss-making businesses, we believe that close scrutiny should reveal the excellent value on offer here.

Visional IPO – Can the Valuation Bizreach ¥8,000 a Share?

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/visional-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32977:1" rel="noopener">Visional Inc (4194 JP)</a> is looking to raise up to US$609m in its Japan IPO.Visional Inc. is a human resources (HR) technology company based in Japan. The company operates BizReach, an online recruiting platform that helps to connect professional job seekers to direct employers and third-party recruiters. It also offers HRMOS, which is a cloud-based human capital management (HCM) platform.In this note, we share our thoughts on assumptions, valuation, and deal dynamics.

Visional Inc (4194 JP) is looking to raise up to US$609m in its Japan IPO.Visional Inc. is a human resources (HR) technology company based in Japan. The company operates BizReach, an online recruiting platform that helps to connect professional job seekers to direct employers and third-party recruiters. It also offers HRMOS, which is a cloud-based human capital management (HCM) platform.In this note, we share our thoughts on assumptions, valuation, and deal dynamics.

Japan

Visional, Inc. develops application products. The Company develops a system that promotes industrial digital transformation and other services. Visional provides its services throughout Japan.

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Visional (4194 JP)

Kanzhun IPO: Growth/Margin Trade-Off Vs Peers

We compare Kanzhun’s key financial metrics to its listed peers, 51jobs and Liepin. Kanzhun provides a growth/revenue visibility vs margin/cash...

Arun George

Visional IPO – First Day Trading

With the bid offer for Visional indicating a very bullish opening we examine how similar IPOs in Japan have done and come away with a constructive...

Mio Kato

Visional Inc IPO Trading Update - Good Demand, Small Upside Based on SOTP

Visional Inc (4194 JP) raised US$609m at JPY5,000 per share, the top-end of its IPO price range. Visional Inc. is a human resources (HR) technology...

Zhen Zhou, Toh

Visional Inc IPO - Pricey Hire

Visional Inc (4194 JP) is looking to raise up to US$609m in its Japan IPO. Visional Inc. is a human resources (HR) technology company based in Japan.

Zhen Zhou, Toh

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Kanzhun IPO: Growth/Margin Trade-Off Vs Peers

We compare Kanzhun’s key financial metrics to its listed peers, 51jobs and Liepin. Kanzhun provides a growth/revenue visibility vs margin/cash...

Arun George

Visional IPO – First Day Trading

With the bid offer for Visional indicating a very bullish opening we examine how similar IPOs in Japan have done and come away with a constructive...

Mio Kato

Visional Inc IPO Trading Update - Good Demand, Small Upside Based on SOTP

Visional Inc (4194 JP) raised US$609m at JPY5,000 per share, the top-end of its IPO price range. Visional Inc. is a human resources (HR) technology...

Zhen Zhou, Toh

Visional IPO – Can the Valuation Bizreach ¥8,000 a Share?

Superficially, Visional looks expensive relative to peers but a close examination of its Bizreach business reveals a highly profitable unit that is...

Mio Kato

Visional Inc IPO - Pricey Hire

Visional Inc (4194 JP) is looking to raise up to US$609m in its Japan IPO. Visional Inc. is a human resources (HR) technology company based in Japan.

Zhen Zhou, Toh