Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Headquartered in Singapore, SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia) is an investment bank focusing on emerging growth companies across Asia, providing a full suite of investment banking services, including corporate finance, mergers and acquisitions advisory, equity capital markets, institutional equities sales and trading and equities research.

SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitaland-integrated-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:105" rel="noopener">Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT SP)</a> proposes to acquire 70% interest in 79 Robinson Road; +2.9% accretion to DPU</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-property-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1670" rel="noopener">Frasers Property Ltd (FPL SP)</a> proposes JV participation and bridging loans for China land investments</li><li>Courts Nojima The Hereen sees Japanese furniture brand Nitori Retail opening first Singapore outlet</li></ul>

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT SP) proposes to acquire 70% interest in 79 Robinson Road; +2.9% accretion to DPUFrasers Property Ltd (FPL SP) proposes JV participation and bridging loans for China land investmentsCourts Nojima The Hereen sees Japanese furniture brand Nitori Retail opening first Singapore outlet

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (28Mar22) - CICT Buys 70% of 79 Robinson Rd

<ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:106" rel="noopener">Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a> proposed merger to form Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust (MPACT); DPU and NAV accretive to MCT unitholders</li><li>The transaction will be ~8.9% and ~6.5% of accretive to DPU and NAV, respectively, on a pro forma basis to MCT unitholders. As for MAGIC unitholders, total consideration is at an attractive premium over trading prices and implies a 1.0x P/NAV, translating into a 1-year total return of ~32.2%</li><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitaland-integrated-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:105" rel="noopener">Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT SP)</a> acquires 50% interest in Sydney office building for ~S$410m; DPU accretive by ~1%</li></ul>

Mapletree Commercial Trust (MCT SP) and Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP) proposed merger to form Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust (MPACT); DPU and NAV accretive to MCT unitholdersThe transaction will be ~8.9% and ~6.5% of accretive to DPU and NAV, respectively, on a pro forma basis to MCT unitholders. As for MAGIC unitholders, total consideration is at an attractive premium over trading prices and implies a 1.0x P/NAV, translating into a 1-year total return of ~32.2%Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT SP) acquires 50% interest in Sydney office building for ~S$410m; DPU accretive by ~1%

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (3Jan22) - MCT/MAGIC Merger

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/capitaland-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55" rel="noopener">Capitaland (CAPL SP)</a> 1H21 PATMI +846% YoY; Solid divestments and investments YTD, fund management and residential the bright spot</h3><ul><li>1H21 revenue increased by 34.7% YoY to S$2,730m, mainly driven by development projects as more units were handed over in China and higher progressive revenue recognition from One Pearl Bank in Singapore, partially offset by lower handover of units in Vietnam. The increase was also attributed to lower rental rebates granted to tenants in Singapore and China, higher transactional fee from the listed REITs and unlisted funds, as well as contribution from the newly acquired business park properties in China and an office building in Singapore, 79 Robinson Road, which commenced operation 2H20</li><li>1H21 PATMI increased by 845.5% YoY and came in at S$922.2m, while operating PATMI increased by 66% YoY to S$433.6m. CAPL booked portfolio/FV gains of S$489m and no FV losses/impairments in 1H21. As at 30Jun21, net D/E ratio was at 0.64x and total cash and available undrawn facilities amounted to ~S$14.8bn. CAPL made total S$3.6bn investments (&gt;S$3bn in new economy) and S$11.2bn gross divestments (effective value of S$3.3bn) YTD (vs annual recycling target of S$3bn)</li><li>Residential – In SG, CAPL sold 197 units with sales value of S$330m (close to 6x of 1H20). ~92% of launched units have been sold. CanningHill Piers is targeted to be launched in 2H21. In China, CAPL sold 2,625 units in 1H21 (+48.4% YoY), which translated to sales value of RMB8,007m (+43% YoY). In terms of handovers from 3Q21 onwards, CAPL is expected to recognise ~RMB14.1bn from a total of ~6,700 units sold. In Vietnam, CAPL Achieved 80% of 1H21 handover plan of 177 units. Handover pipeline comprising 554 units with a value of S$193m expected to be handed over from 3Q21 onwards. ~87% of launched units have been sold as of 1H21. Two projects are targeted to be launched in 2H21</li><li>Retail and Commercial – CN registered increase in shoppers’ traffic and tenant’s sales YoY in 2Q21, but SG’s recovery is interrupted by new restrictions  in 2Q21. SG’s shoppers’ traffic and tenant’s sales recorded low improvement in 2Q21. Retail occupancy in CN, SG, MY stood at 91.9%, 97.1% and 86% in 2Q21 (vs 90.7%, 97.2% and 87.6% in 1Q21 and 89%, 97.8% and 88.2% in 4Q20), respectively. Office occupancy in SG, Japan, South Korea and Germany stood at 90.4%, 93.9%, 96.8% and 95.5%, respectively</li><li>Lodging – &gt;3,000 units turned operational YTD 2021, bringing total operational units to 71,901 for 7M21 and &gt;8,300 new units secured via management contracts YTD 2021. There was an increase in overall 2Q21 RevPAU by 53% YoY and 19% QoQ from S$43 to S$66, led by Europe (+44% QoQ), China (+22%), Gulf Region (+19%), Singapore (+9%), SEA (+6%) and North Asia (+4%). CAPL is on track to meet 2023 target of 160K units under management with currently c.129K units under management</li><li>1H21 fund management fee income came in at S$188.7m, a 29% YoY increase and 18% HoH. 1H21 fund AUM rose 6.9% YoY to S$83bn, on track to meet 2024 AUM target of S$100bn. CAPL set up 3 new private funds totalling US$800m in Korea, India, Hong Kong and China</li><li>CAPL is currently trading at 19.7x FY21E P/E and 0.92x P/B.</li></ul>

SingaporeCapitaland (CAPL SP) 1H21 PATMI +846% YoY; Solid divestments and investments YTD, fund management and residential the bright spot1H21 revenue increased by 34.7% YoY to S$2,730m, mainly driven by development projects as more units were handed over in China and higher progressive revenue recognition from One Pearl Bank in Singapore, partially offset by lower handover of units in Vietnam. The increase was also attributed to lower rental rebates granted to tenants in Singapore and China, higher transactional fee from the listed REITs and unlisted funds, as well as contribution from the newly acquired business park properties in China and an office building in Singapore, 79 Robinson Road, which commenced operation 2H201H21 PATMI increased by 845.5% YoY and came in at S$922.2m, while operating PATMI increased by 66% YoY to S$433.6m. CAPL booked portfolio/FV gains of S$489m and no FV losses/impairments in 1H21. As at 30Jun21, net D/E ratio was at 0.64x and total cash and available undrawn facilities amounted to ~S$14.8bn. CAPL made total S$3.6bn investments (&gt;S$3bn in new economy) and S$11.2bn gross divestments (effective value of S$3.3bn) YTD (vs annual recycling target of S$3bn)Residential – In SG, CAPL sold 197 units with sales value of S$330m (close to 6x of 1H20). ~92% of launched units have been sold. CanningHill Piers is targeted to be launched in 2H21. In China, CAPL sold 2,625 units in 1H21 (+48.4% YoY), which translated to sales value of RMB8,007m (+43% YoY). In terms of handovers from 3Q21 onwards, CAPL is expected to recognise ~RMB14.1bn from a total of ~6,700 units sold. In Vietnam, CAPL Achieved 80% of 1H21 handover plan of 177 units. Handover pipeline comprising 554 units with a value of S$193m expected to be handed over from 3Q21 onwards. ~87% of launched units have been sold as of 1H21. Two projects are targeted to be launched in 2H21Retail and Commercial – CN registered increase in shoppers’ traffic and tenant’s sales YoY in 2Q21, but SG’s recovery is interrupted by new restrictions  in 2Q21. SG’s shoppers’ traffic and tenant’s sales recorded low improvement in 2Q21. Retail occupancy in CN, SG, MY stood at 91.9%, 97.1% and 86% in 2Q21 (vs 90.7%, 97.2% and 87.6% in 1Q21 and 89%, 97.8% and 88.2% in 4Q20), respectively. Office occupancy in SG, Japan, South Korea and Germany stood at 90.4%, 93.9%, 96.8% and 95.5%, respectivelyLodging – &gt;3,000 units turned operational YTD 2021, bringing total operational units to 71,901 for 7M21 and &gt;8,300 new units secured via management contracts YTD 2021. There was an increase in overall 2Q21 RevPAU by 53% YoY and 19% QoQ from S$43 to S$66, led by Europe (+44% QoQ), China (+22%), Gulf Region (+19%), Singapore (+9%), SEA (+6%) and North Asia (+4%). CAPL is on track to meet 2023 target of 160K units under management with currently c.129K units under management1H21 fund management fee income came in at S$188.7m, a 29% YoY increase and 18% HoH. 1H21 fund AUM rose 6.9% YoY to S$83bn, on track to meet 2024 AUM target of S$100bn. CAPL set up 3 new private funds totalling US$800m in Korea, India, Hong Kong and ChinaCAPL is currently trading at 19.7x FY21E P/E and 0.92x P/B.

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (13Aug21) - CAPL Residential and FM Bright Spots

<h2>Singapore</h2>
<h3>SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)</h3>
<table class="table table-striped">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
 
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
AAREIT
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
CICT
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
KREIT
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
MINT
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Period
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
1Q22
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
1H21
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
1H21
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
1Q22
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Gross Revenue (S$ m)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
31.8 (+16.8% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
645.7 (+102.8% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
105.8 (+40.2% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
128.1 (29.2% YoY)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
NPI (S$ m)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
23.1 (+23.9% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
472.2 (+118% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
84.4 (+43.1% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
104.7 (33.1% YoY)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
DPU (S$ c)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
2.25 (+12.5% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
5.18 (+75% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
2.94 (+5.0% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
3.35 (+16.7% YoY)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
NAV per Unit (S$)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
1.35
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
2.05
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
1.29
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
1.75
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
P/B (x)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
1.15
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
1.02
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
0.93
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
1.65
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Occupancy (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
95.7
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
94.9
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
96.7
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
94.3 (Overall)
97.8 (North American Portfolio)
93.4 (Singapore Portfolio)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Reversion (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
Not disclosed
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
-9.1 (retail)
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
6.91
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
Not Disclosed
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Gearing (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
34.3
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
40.5
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
38.9
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
31.0
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Cost of Debt (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
2.8
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
2.4
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
1.97
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
2.7
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
1 Yr Fwd Yield (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
6.1
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
5.19
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
4.92
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
1.51
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Debt Hedged (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
77.2
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
85
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
68
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
95.8
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Target Price
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
Under Review
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
N/A
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 147.562px;">
Rating
</td>
<td style="width: 144.797px;">
Under Review
</td>
<td style="width: 144.328px;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 142.125px;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 147.188px;">
N/A
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

Singapore
SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)




 


AAREIT


CICT


KREIT


MINT




Period


1Q22


1H21


1H21


1Q22




Gross Revenue (S$ m)


31.8 (+16.8% YoY)


645.7 (+102.8% YoY)


105.8 (+40.2% YoY)


128.1 (29.2% YoY)




NPI (S$ m)


23.1 (+23.9% YoY)


472.2 (+118% YoY)


84.4 (+43.1% YoY)


104.7 (33.1% YoY)




DPU (S$ c)


2.25 (+12.5% YoY)


5.18 (+75% YoY)


2.94 (+5.0% YoY)


3.35 (+16.7% YoY)




NAV per Unit (S$)


1.35


2.05


1.29


1.75




P/B (x)


1.15


1.02


0.93


1.65




Occupancy (%)


95.7


94.9


96.7


94.3 (Overall)
97.8 (North American Portfolio)
93.4 (Singapore Portfolio)




Reversion (%)


Not disclosed


-9.1 (retail)


6.91


Not Disclosed




Gearing (%)


34.3


40.5


38.9


31.0




Cost of Debt (%)


2.8


2.4


1.97


2.7




1 Yr Fwd Yield (%)


6.1


5.19


4.92


1.51




Debt Hedged (%)


77.2


85


68


95.8




Target Price


Under Review


N/A


N/A


N/A




Rating


Under Review


N/A


N/A


N/A





ASEAN Builder's Scoop (28Jul21) - AAREIT Stable Performance

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3>The Ascott Limited to acquire two properties in France and Vietnam for S$210m through its private fund</h3><ul><li>The Ascott Limited (Ascott) has entered into two agreements to acquire two properties in Paris, France and Hanoi, Vietnam for about S$210m. The acquisition of the two properties through the Ascott Serviced Residence Global Fund (ASRGF), Ascott’s private equity fund with Qatar Investment Authority, will boost Ascott’s total fund assets under management (FUM) to about S$8bn. Both properties will be acquired on a turnkey basis and are expected to open in 2024</li><li>The acquisition in Paris is a freehold asset which will be refurbished to introduce Ascott’s first Co-living property in Europe under the lyf brand. Named livelyfhere Gambetta Paris, the 139-unit Co-living property is located in a vibrant district in the 20th arrondissement, near galleries, cinemas, trendy cafés and restaurants, street art and music venues. With this addition, Ascott has a total of 16 lyf properties with more than 3,100 units across 13 cities and nine countries in Asia Pacific and Europe. The acquisition of livelyfhere Gambetta Paris, Ascott’s first lyf property in Europe, follows the recent opening of Ascott’s first lyf property in Japan, lyf Tenjin Fukuoka. Five more lyf properties in Singapore and China are set to open in 2021. With this addition, Ascott will have over 3,500 units in 34 properties across 13 cities in France</li><li>The acquisition in Hanoi is the 364-unit Somerset Metropolitan West Hanoi. It is located in Hanoi’s new CBD, close to several government agencies as well as local and international corporations. Somerset Metropolitan West Hanoi is a 10-minute drive to the Vietnam National Convention Centre, the largest convention centre in Vietnam and the Noi Bai International Airport is a 30-minute drive away. Somerset Metropolitan West Hanoi will increase Ascott’s portfolio to over 7,600 units across 31 properties in 10 cities for Vietnam</li><li>With the acquisition of livelyfhere Gambetta Paris and Somerset Metropolitan West Hanoi, there will be eight properties with close to 1,700 units held under the ASRGF. The fund has five operational properties, Ascott Sudirman Jakarta, Citadines Islington London, La Clef ChampsÉlysées Paris, lyf Funan Singapore, and Quest NewQuay Docklands Melbourne. Citadines Walker North Sydney is slated to open in 2022. </li></ul>

SingaporeThe Ascott Limited to acquire two properties in France and Vietnam for S$210m through its private fundThe Ascott Limited (Ascott) has entered into two agreements to acquire two properties in Paris, France and Hanoi, Vietnam for about S$210m. The acquisition of the two properties through the Ascott Serviced Residence Global Fund (ASRGF), Ascott’s private equity fund with Qatar Investment Authority, will boost Ascott’s total fund assets under management (FUM) to about S$8bn. Both properties will be acquired on a turnkey basis and are expected to open in 2024The acquisition in Paris is a freehold asset which will be refurbished to introduce Ascott’s first Co-living property in Europe under the lyf brand. Named livelyfhere Gambetta Paris, the 139-unit Co-living property is located in a vibrant district in the 20th arrondissement, near galleries, cinemas, trendy cafés and restaurants, street art and music venues. With this addition, Ascott has a total of 16 lyf properties with more than 3,100 units across 13 cities and nine countries in Asia Pacific and Europe. The acquisition of livelyfhere Gambetta Paris, Ascott’s first lyf property in Europe, follows the recent opening of Ascott’s first lyf property in Japan, lyf Tenjin Fukuoka. Five more lyf properties in Singapore and China are set to open in 2021. With this addition, Ascott will have over 3,500 units in 34 properties across 13 cities in FranceThe acquisition in Hanoi is the 364-unit Somerset Metropolitan West Hanoi. It is located in Hanoi’s new CBD, close to several government agencies as well as local and international corporations. Somerset Metropolitan West Hanoi is a 10-minute drive to the Vietnam National Convention Centre, the largest convention centre in Vietnam and the Noi Bai International Airport is a 30-minute drive away. Somerset Metropolitan West Hanoi will increase Ascott’s portfolio to over 7,600 units across 31 properties in 10 cities for VietnamWith the acquisition of livelyfhere Gambetta Paris and Somerset Metropolitan West Hanoi, there will be eight properties with close to 1,700 units held under the ASRGF. The fund has five operational properties, Ascott Sudirman Jakarta, Citadines Islington London, La Clef ChampsÉlysées Paris, lyf Funan Singapore, and Quest NewQuay Docklands Melbourne. Citadines Walker North Sydney is slated to open in 2022. 

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (21Jun21) - Ascott Acquires Paris and Hanoi Props

Philippines

Vista Land & Lifescapes, Inc. is an integrated property developer and homebuilder in the Philippines. It specializes in developing horizontal properties, master-planned communities, and vertical residences, and also operates shopping malls, commercial centers, and BPO offices. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Las Pinas City, Philippines.

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Vista Land (VLL PM)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (28Mar22) - CICT Buys 70% of 79 Robinson Rd

CICT Buys 70% of 79 Robinson Rd; FPL China land investments; VLL files for VREIT IPO; FILTRT inline FY21 earnings; Phils resi prices rose further...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (3Jan22) - MCT/MAGIC Merger

MCT/MAGIC merger; CICT buys Sydney office; KDCREIT buys UK DC; ART buys more US dormitories; ECWREIT buyers backed out; DASIN loan extension; VLL...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (13Aug21) - CAPL Residential and FM Bright Spots

CAPL residential and FM bright spots; UOL turnaround story intact; SASSR sustained recovery momentum; CERT strong reversions, VLL muted land...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (28Jul21) - AAREIT Stable Performance

AAREIT stable performance; CICT office outshines retail; KREIT cautiously optimistic; MINT acq-driven growth; KORE expands with 2 new US acq; CPG...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (21Jun21) - Ascott Acquires Paris and Hanoi Props

Ascott acquires Paris and Hanoi props; CREITs vs SREITs competition; LOGOS/PURE partners for Jakarta DC; DILD 5M21 mrkt sales tripled YoY; VLL eyes...

SCCM Asia Research

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