European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

Porsche Automobil Holding  / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
Dividend cut reflects strategic shift: Porsche SE cut its 2024 dividend due to reduced Volkswagen inflows and focus on deleveraging, limiting its near-term appeal as a dividend pass-through holding structure.</li>
<li>
Diversification stillsSuperficial: despite claims of expanding into defense and infrastructure, Porsche SE’s portfolio remains 99% tied to Volkswagen and Porsche AG, making its diversification strategy more rhetorical than real.</li>
<li>
Discount to NAV remains high: Porsche SE trades at a 33.4% NAV discount, reflecting legal overhangs and structural inefficiencies. Favorable rulings could trigger re-rating if legal risks prove overstated.</li>
</ul>



Dividend cut reflects strategic shift: Porsche SE cut its 2024 dividend due to reduced Volkswagen inflows and focus on deleveraging, limiting its near-term appeal as a dividend pass-through holding structure.

Diversification stillsSuperficial: despite claims of expanding into defense and infrastructure, Porsche SE’s portfolio remains 99% tied to Volkswagen and Porsche AG, making its diversification strategy more rhetorical than real.

Discount to NAV remains high: Porsche SE trades at a 33.4% NAV discount, reflecting legal overhangs and structural inefficiencies. Favorable rulings could trigger re-rating if legal risks prove overstated.


Porsche Automobile Holding: Q1 2025, Discount to NAV

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Equity Derivatives

Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>The Chinese slowdown and JLR’s ICE phase-out pressure near-term margins, but Indian PV growth and EV leadership offer a strong domestic counterbalance.</li>
<li>Tata Motors is demerging its Commercial Vehicle and Finance arms to sharpen focus and unlock value across its core Passenger Vehicle and JLR businesses.</li>
<li>Tata Motors is transitioning from a cyclical turnaround story to a long-term structural play on India’s mobility and global EV transformation.</li>
</ul>


The Chinese slowdown and JLR’s ICE phase-out pressure near-term margins, but Indian PV growth and EV leadership offer a strong domestic counterbalance.
Tata Motors is demerging its Commercial Vehicle and Finance arms to sharpen focus and unlock value across its core Passenger Vehicle and JLR businesses.
Tata Motors is transitioning from a cyclical turnaround story to a long-term structural play on India’s mobility and global EV transformation.


Tata Motors: Is the Worst Finally Over? A Turnaround & Demerger Play

<ul>
<li>Since mid-March, amid sessions of significant volatility, share-price spreads have generally tightened across the European liquid universe of ordinary and preferred shares, with 10 tightening and 9 widening.</li>
<li>The discount of Grifols B has widened although Brookfield is again knocking at the door; Handelsbanken B shares trade at 48% premium to A shares. </li>
<li>Recommended trades long preferred/short ords: Atlas Copco, Grifols. Recommended trades long ordinary / short preferred shares: Henkel, SSAB Svenska Stal.</li>
</ul>


Since mid-March, amid sessions of significant volatility, share-price spreads have generally tightened across the European liquid universe of ordinary and preferred shares, with 10 tightening and 9 widening.
The discount of Grifols B has widened although Brookfield is again knocking at the door; Handelsbanken B shares trade at 48% premium to A shares. 
Recommended trades long preferred/short ords: Atlas Copco, Grifols. Recommended trades long ordinary / short preferred shares: Henkel, SSAB Svenska Stal.


Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: April '25 Report

Equity Bottom-Up

Nuvama Wealth Management / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The EU is negotiating with India to remove the 100% import duty on fully built cars under FTA.</li>
<li>Warburg Pincus plans to lead a INR600 - 800 crore rights issue to rescue troubled <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fusion-micro-finance-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36450:1" rel="noopener">Fusion Micro Finance (FUSION IN)</a>.</li>
<li>PAG has hired JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley to sell its INR 2.2k crore controlling stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nuvama-wealth-management-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40316:1" rel="noopener">Nuvama Wealth Management (NUVAMA IN)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The EU is negotiating with India to remove the 100% import duty on fully built cars under FTA.
Warburg Pincus plans to lead a INR600 - 800 crore rights issue to rescue troubled Fusion Micro Finance (FUSION IN).
PAG has hired JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley to sell its INR 2.2k crore controlling stake in Nuvama Wealth Management (NUVAMA IN). 


#134 India Insight: EU 0% Auto Tariff; Warburg ₹800cr Bailout; PAG Plans ₹2.2kcr Nuvama Stake Sale

<ul>
<li>Since mid-February, with sessions of massive volatility, share-price spreads have generally tightened across European liquid universe of ordinary and preferred shares (12 have tightened, 5 widened, 1 at same level).</li>
<li>Discont of Carlsberg B has never been this low (5.7%) since the pandemic; Handelsbanken B shares trade at 35.5% premium to A shares (after widening to 60.4%). </li>
<li>Recommended trades long preferred / short ordinary shares: Atlas Copco, BMW, Grifols, Media-for-Europe. Recommended trades long ordinary / short preferred shares: Henkel, SSAB Svenska Stal.</li>
</ul>


Since mid-February, with sessions of massive volatility, share-price spreads have generally tightened across European liquid universe of ordinary and preferred shares (12 have tightened, 5 widened, 1 at same level).
Discont of Carlsberg B has never been this low (5.7%) since the pandemic; Handelsbanken B shares trade at 35.5% premium to A shares (after widening to 60.4%). 
Recommended trades long preferred / short ordinary shares: Atlas Copco, BMW, Grifols, Media-for-Europe. Recommended trades long ordinary / short preferred shares: Henkel, SSAB Svenska Stal.


Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: March '25 Report

Germany

Volkswagen AG manufactures and sells vehicles. The Company offers economy and luxury automobiles, sports cars, trucks, and commercial vehicles. Volkswagen serves customers worldwide.

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Volkswagen (VOW GR)

Porsche Automobile Holding: Q1 2025, Discount to NAV

Porsche SE trades at a 33.4% NAV discount, reflecting legal and structural overhangs. Dividend cuts and weak diversification weigh, but court wins...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Tata Motors: Is the Worst Finally Over? A Turnaround & Demerger Play

Tata Motors shareholders have given approval for the proposed demerger of the commercial Vehicle business into a separate, listed entity with a...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: April '25 Report

Since mid-March, with sessions of massive volatility, share-price spreads have generally tightened across European liquid universe of ordinary and...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

#134 India Insight: EU 0% Auto Tariff; Warburg ₹800cr Bailout; PAG Plans ₹2.2kcr Nuvama Stake Sale

EU negotiating with India to remove import duty on cars, Warburg Pincus plans rights issue for Fusion Micro Finance, PAG selling stake in Nuvama...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: March '25 Report

European share-price spreads have generally tightened since mid-February, with volatility; Carlsberg B discount at 5-year record low,...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)

Porsche Automobile Holding: Q1 2025, Discount to NAV

Porsche SE trades at a 33.4% NAV discount, reflecting legal and structural overhangs. Dividend cuts and weak diversification weigh, but court wins...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Tata Motors: Is the Worst Finally Over? A Turnaround & Demerger Play

Tata Motors shareholders have given approval for the proposed demerger of the commercial Vehicle business into a separate, listed entity with a...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: April '25 Report

Since mid-March, with sessions of massive volatility, share-price spreads have generally tightened across European liquid universe of ordinary and...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

#134 India Insight: EU 0% Auto Tariff; Warburg ₹800cr Bailout; PAG Plans ₹2.2kcr Nuvama Stake Sale

​EU negotiating with India to remove import duty on cars, Warburg Pincus plans rights issue for Fusion Micro Finance, PAG selling stake in Nuvama...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: March '25 Report

​European share-price spreads have generally tightened since mid-February, with volatility; Carlsberg B discount at 5-year record low,...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

EU negotiating with India to remove import duty on cars, Warburg Pincus plans rights issue for Fusion Micro Finance, PAG selling stake in Nuvama...

European share-price spreads have generally tightened since mid-February, with volatility; Carlsberg B discount at 5-year record low,...