Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 19 changes a side for the Nifty200 Momentum30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December. All names are exactly in line with our forecast.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 64.9% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 72.7bn (US$857m). There are 18 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The adds have continued to outperform the deletes even after the end of the review period. There could be further upside heading into year-end and implementation of the changes.</li>
</ul>


There are 19 changes a side for the Nifty200 Momentum30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December. All names are exactly in line with our forecast.
Estimated one-way turnover is 64.9% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 72.7bn (US$857m). There are 18 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.
The adds have continued to outperform the deletes even after the end of the review period. There could be further upside heading into year-end and implementation of the changes.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 38 Changes; 65% Turnover; US$1.7bn Trade

<ul>
<li>There could be 19 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December. There are some stocks from the new F&amp;O inclusions.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 65.2% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 71bn (US$837m).</li>
<li>The potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletions since the start of July. The pace picked up over the last month as we neared the end of the review period.</li>
</ul>


There could be 19 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December. There are some stocks from the new F&amp;O inclusions.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 65.2% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 71bn (US$837m).
The potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletions since the start of July. The pace picked up over the last month as we neared the end of the review period.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 65% One-Way Turnover and US$1.6bn Trade

<ul>
<li>There could be 17 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December. Some changes from earlier following 45 new F&amp;O stocks.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 61.5% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 63.4bn (US$752m).</li>
<li>The potential inclusions to the index have outperformed the potential deletions since the start of June. This trend could continue for a couple of weeks till the changes are announced.</li>
</ul>


There could be 17 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December. Some changes from earlier following 45 new F&amp;O stocks.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 61.5% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 63.4bn (US$752m).
The potential inclusions to the index have outperformed the potential deletions since the start of June. This trend could continue for a couple of weeks till the changes are announced.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: More Changes with New F&O Stocks

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>LG Electronics India posted strong profit growth for FY24, reinforcing its leadership in India’s booming consumer durables sector—making now an ideal window for an IPO in India.</li>
<li>The company reportedly aims to raise USD1-USD1.5 billion early next year, potentially valuing its Indian operations at over USD10 billion.</li>
<li>With government initiatives improving housing quality, electrification, and water access, white goods penetration is set to rise, supporting future demand growth.</li>
</ul>


LG Electronics India posted strong profit growth for FY24, reinforcing its leadership in India’s booming consumer durables sector—making now an ideal window for an IPO in India.
The company reportedly aims to raise USD1-USD1.5 billion early next year, potentially valuing its Indian operations at over USD10 billion.
With government initiatives improving housing quality, electrification, and water access, white goods penetration is set to rise, supporting future demand growth.


LG Electronics India IPO: Strike While the Iron Is Hot. Cash in on Growth Momentum

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-transmission-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26712:1" rel="noopener">Adani Energy Solutions</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kalyan-jewellers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29714:1" rel="noopener">Kalyan Jewellers</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alkem-laboratories-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26928:1" rel="noopener">Alkem Laboratories</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oberoi-realty-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7188:1" rel="noopener">Oberoi Realty</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bombay-stock-exchange" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23694:1" rel="noopener">Bombay Stock Exchange</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/voltas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19924:1" rel="noopener">Voltas</a> have moved higher recently and that could result in the stocks being added to global passive portfolios.</li>
<li>Four of the names are high probability while two of the names could be added depending on the day of the week chosen.</li>
<li>We take a look at the positioning on the stocks and recommend pair trades to reduce market risk while trying to capture alpha.</li>
</ul>



Adani Energy Solutions, Kalyan Jewellers, Alkem Laboratories, Oberoi Realty, Bombay Stock Exchange and Voltas have moved higher recently and that could result in the stocks being added to global passive portfolios.
Four of the names are high probability while two of the names could be added depending on the day of the week chosen.
We take a look at the positioning on the stocks and recommend pair trades to reduce market risk while trying to capture alpha.


India: Positioning on Stocks with Potential Passive Inflows in November

India

Voltas Limited is an Indian multinational home appliance and engineering solutions company, known for its air conditioning products and a wide range of cooling and home appliances. It also provides electro-mechanical project services and engineering products. The company is headquartered in Mumbai, India, and was founded in 1954.

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Voltas (VOLT IN)

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 38 Changes; 65% Turnover; US$1.7bn Trade

There are 19 changes a side and all names are in line with our forecast. Estimated one-way turnover is 64.9% resulting in a one-way trade of INR...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 65% One-Way Turnover and US$1.6bn Trade

We forecast 19 changes for the index in December. One-way turnover is estimated at 65.2% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 71bn (US$837m). The...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: More Changes with New F&O Stocks

We forecast 17 changes a side for the index in Dec. Some of the changes have changed following 45 new F&O inclusions. The forecast adds have...

Brian Freitas

LG Electronics India IPO: Strike While the Iron Is Hot. Cash in on Growth Momentum

LG Electronics India is well poised for an IPO in India after strong profit growth, aiming to raise USD1-USD1.5 billion and potentially valuing...

Devi Subhakesan

India: Positioning on Stocks with Potential Passive Inflows in November

There are 4 high probability inclusions in Nov while 2 are low probability. Flow will be US$220m-305m, impact is 0.9-22x ADV and 4.4-42.5x delivery...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 38 Changes; 65% Turnover; US$1.7bn Trade

There are 19 changes a side and all names are in line with our forecast. Estimated one-way turnover is 64.9% resulting in a one-way trade of INR...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 65% One-Way Turnover and US$1.6bn Trade

We forecast 19 changes for the index in December. One-way turnover is estimated at 65.2% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 71bn (US$837m). The...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: More Changes with New F&O Stocks

We forecast 17 changes a side for the index in Dec. Some of the changes have changed following 45 new F&O inclusions. The forecast adds have...

Brian Freitas

LG Electronics India IPO: Strike While the Iron Is Hot. Cash in on Growth Momentum

​LG Electronics India is well poised for an IPO in India after strong profit growth, aiming to raise USD1-USD1.5 billion and potentially valuing...

Devi Subhakesan

India: Positioning on Stocks with Potential Passive Inflows in November

There are 4 high probability inclusions in Nov while 2 are low probability. Flow will be US$220m-305m, impact is 0.9-22x ADV and 4.4-42.5x delivery...

Brian Freitas

LG Electronics India is well poised for an IPO in India after strong profit growth, aiming to raise USD1-USD1.5 billion and potentially valuing...