Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Our earnings coverage continues for the second edition and is expected to continue for one more week.</li>
<li>At the bottom, we provide a consolidated view of all earnings tracked so far (Bullish / Bearish) and would be happy to engage on any of them.</li>
<li>We also highlight the earnings of some of the global companies that have significant operations or growth in India.</li>
</ul>


Our earnings coverage continues for the second edition and is expected to continue for one more week.
At the bottom, we provide a consolidated view of all earnings tracked so far (Bullish / Bearish) and would be happy to engage on any of them.
We also highlight the earnings of some of the global companies that have significant operations or growth in India.


[Week 9] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part II

<ul>
<li>Due to the ongoing earnings season, for the next two weeks, we will temporarily deviate from our regular format and instead focus on reported earnings.</li>
<li>We focus on reported earnings, performance against expectations, and the top three highlights that we believe are important from earnings calls for each company that is usually under coverage.</li>
<li>Besides the Bullish/Bearish names, we draw attention to the ones that are highlighted as interesting and would be pleased to engage in discussions about any of them.</li>
</ul>


Due to the ongoing earnings season, for the next two weeks, we will temporarily deviate from our regular format and instead focus on reported earnings.
We focus on reported earnings, performance against expectations, and the top three highlights that we believe are important from earnings calls for each company that is usually under coverage.
Besides the Bullish/Bearish names, we draw attention to the ones that are highlighted as interesting and would be pleased to engage in discussions about any of them.


[Week 8] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part I

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELETEs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 Indices in the December 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>The BSE AllCap index Rebalance was completed in September 2023. There were 77 ADDs and 73 DELs. </li>
<li>Since the BSE AllCap index is the main universe for the BSE 200, 100, and SENSEX indices, there have been some changes to our December 2023 index change expectations.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELETEs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 Indices in the December 2023 Rebalance.
The BSE AllCap index Rebalance was completed in September 2023. There were 77 ADDs and 73 DELs. 
Since the BSE AllCap index is the main universe for the BSE 200, 100, and SENSEX indices, there have been some changes to our December 2023 index change expectations.


Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 23: AllCap Sep 23 Rebal Done; Some Changes to Expectations

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/voltas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19924:1" rel="noopener">Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN)</a> has experienced a decline in revenue due to a slowdown in demand, increased competition, and higher commodity prices. </li>
<li>The Voltas Beko brand has been a ray of hope for the company, with strong growth in demand and market share.</li>
<li>While there may be an upside in volumes as capex kicks in,  but better to be on the sidelines until there is a change in the structure of the industry.</li>
</ul>



Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) has experienced a decline in revenue due to a slowdown in demand, increased competition, and higher commodity prices. 
The Voltas Beko brand has been a ray of hope for the company, with strong growth in demand and market share.
While there may be an upside in volumes as capex kicks in,  but better to be on the sidelines until there is a change in the structure of the industry.


Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) | Competition Casualty

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>In Q2FY23, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thermax-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4578:1" rel="noopener">Thermax (TMX IN)</a> recorded strong revenue growth of 41% y/y to Rs20.8bn, driven by strong growth across all the three segments.</li>
<li>The company bore the brunt of high raw material prices as EBIT margins saw a 900 bps decline y/y to 6.9%. However, EBIT margin improved 200 bps over Q1FY23.</li>
<li>The order book of the company grew 46% y/y to Rs94.8bn. Order book is well diversified across sectors. Domestic orders comprised ~84% of the order book.  </li>
</ul>


In Q2FY23, Thermax (TMX IN) recorded strong revenue growth of 41% y/y to Rs20.8bn, driven by strong growth across all the three segments.
The company bore the brunt of high raw material prices as EBIT margins saw a 900 bps decline y/y to 6.9%. However, EBIT margin improved 200 bps over Q1FY23.
The order book of the company grew 46% y/y to Rs94.8bn. Order book is well diversified across sectors. Domestic orders comprised ~84% of the order book.  


Thermax (TMX IN): Strong Order Book Entails Visibility Amid Margin Pressure

India

Voltas Limited is an Indian multinational home appliance and engineering solutions company, known for its air conditioning products and a wide range of cooling and home appliances. It also provides electro-mechanical project services and engineering products. The company is headquartered in Mumbai, India, and was founded in 1954.

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Voltas (VOLT IN)

[Week 9] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part II

Deviation from the normal weekly, this insight continues to focus on earnings coverage with a consolidated view of tracked earnings and focus on...

Pranav Bhavsar

[Week 8] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part I

Deviating from our usual format due to earnings season, this is a long but must-read for anyone who is keen to track the earnings of Indian...

Pranav Bhavsar

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Dec 23: AllCap Sep 23 Rebal Done; Some Changes to Expectations

Currently, I do not see any changes for the SENSEX Index in December 2023. There could be seven changes for the BSE 100 index and six changes for...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) | Competition Casualty

Voltas is losing market share due to irrational competition, capex can help regain volumes. However, better to wait until the industry structure...

Pranav Bhavsar

Thermax (TMX IN): Strong Order Book Entails Visibility Amid Margin Pressure

In Q2FY23, Thermax reported 41% revenue growth, while the company’s order book jumped 46%. However, inflationary pressures are expected to impact...

Tina Banerjee

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Week 9] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part II

​Deviation from the normal weekly, this insight continues to focus on earnings coverage with a consolidated view of tracked earnings and focus on...

Pranav Bhavsar

[Week 8] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part I

Deviating from our usual format due to earnings season, this is a long but must-read for anyone who is keen to track the earnings of Indian...

Pranav Bhavsar

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Dec 23: AllCap Sep 23 Rebal Done; Some Changes to Expectations

Currently, I do not see any changes for the SENSEX Index in December 2023. There could be seven changes for the BSE 100 index and six changes for...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) | Competition Casualty

Voltas is losing market share due to irrational competition, capex can help regain volumes. However, better to wait until the industry structure...

Pranav Bhavsar

Thermax (TMX IN): Strong Order Book Entails Visibility Amid Margin Pressure

In Q2FY23, Thermax reported 41% revenue growth, while the company’s order book jumped 46%. However, inflationary pressures are expected to impact...

Tina Banerjee

Deviation from the normal weekly, this insight continues to focus on earnings coverage with a consolidated view of tracked earnings and focus on...

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Dec 23: AllCap Sep 23 Rebal Done; Some Changes to Expectations