Independent Sell Side Equity Research Analyst, ChartSmarter

Douglas Busch

Independent Sell Side Equity Research Analyst

ChartSmarter

ChartSmarter is a service dedicated to the art of technical analysis.

On a daily basis we write up actionable ideas on a specific, major S&P sector on both the long and short side, in an easy yet thorough way. In the notes we give precise entries and exits, while looking to capture the "meat" of a trend.

Technical Analysis.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Gold MONTHLY chart records back-to-back bearish shooting stars in April and May.</li>
<li>Steel stocks possibly bottoming on incessant tariff talks creating opportunity.</li>
<li>Silver looks technically better than gold and likely to outshine precious metal into year-end.</li>
</ul>


Gold MONTHLY chart records back-to-back bearish shooting stars in April and May.
Steel stocks possibly bottoming on incessant tariff talks creating opportunity.
Silver looks technically better than gold and likely to outshine precious metal into year-end.


Gold Feels Heavy. Uptrend Intact but Better Cost Basis in near Term

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>After the first-quarter 2024 earnings of Vulcan Materials Company, Vulcan confirmed it is on track to deliver a fourth consecutive year of double-digit adjusted EBITDA growth, despite challenging weather conditions during the quarter.</li><li>Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter stood at $323 million, showcasing the durability of the Aggregates business and robust cash generation.</li><li>The pricing environment remains optimistic and gross profit-per-ton expanded, driven by the Vulcan Way of Selling and Vulcan Way of Operating disciplines.</li></ul>

After the first-quarter 2024 earnings of Vulcan Materials Company, Vulcan confirmed it is on track to deliver a fourth consecutive year of double-digit adjusted EBITDA growth, despite challenging weather conditions during the quarter.Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter stood at $323 million, showcasing the durability of the Aggregates business and robust cash generation.The pricing environment remains optimistic and gross profit-per-ton expanded, driven by the Vulcan Way of Selling and Vulcan Way of Operating disciplines.

Vulcan Materials Company: A Tale Of Strategic Dominance In The Aggregates Industry! - Major Drivers

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adbri-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20166:1" rel="noopener">Adbri (ABC AU)</a> IE considers <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crh-plc-054117b2-cd70-470a-9efc-8f6fab2c83ec" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28655:1" rel="noopener">CRH (CRH US)</a> and Barro’s A$3.20 offer fair and reasonable as it is within its A$ A$3.09-3.53 per share valuation range. </li>
<li>The scheme is conditional on FIRB approval, which should be forthcoming as CRH, the offeror, is a Fortune 500 company headquartered in Ireland.</li>
<li>The offer is attractive, and this is a done deal. At the last close and for the 1 July payment, the gross/annualised spread was 1.3%/8.4%.</li>
</ul>


The Adbri (ABC AU) IE considers CRH (CRH US) and Barro’s A$3.20 offer fair and reasonable as it is within its A$ A$3.09-3.53 per share valuation range. 
The scheme is conditional on FIRB approval, which should be forthcoming as CRH, the offeror, is a Fortune 500 company headquartered in Ireland.
The offer is attractive, and this is a done deal. At the last close and for the 1 July payment, the gross/annualised spread was 1.3%/8.4%.


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

<ul>
<li>While we are not yet out of the woods, we continue to see evidence that suggests the lows may be "in" for this pullback.</li>
<li>Last week (4/23/24 Compass) we discussed the possibility that further downside was limited on the S&amp;P 500 due to a multitude of reasons</li>
<li>We view the latest pullback to 100-day MA on SPX as healthy/normal within the ongoing bull market. Pullbacks to the 100-day provided ideal entry points throughout the 2021 bull market</li>
</ul>


While we are not yet out of the woods, we continue to see evidence that suggests the lows may be "in" for this pullback.
Last week (4/23/24 Compass) we discussed the possibility that further downside was limited on the S&amp;P 500 due to a multitude of reasons
We view the latest pullback to 100-day MA on SPX as healthy/normal within the ongoing bull market. Pullbacks to the 100-day provided ideal entry points throughout the 2021 bull market


Are the Lows "In" For This Pullback?; Market Dynamics Remain Bullish; Key Supports Holding

<ul>
<li>We have discussed for weeks that we will need to see the SPX and Nasdaq 100 close below their 20-day MAs for 2-3 consecutive days in order to get cautious.</li>
<li>This still hasn't happened (short-term trend remains bullish). If we get 2-3 closes below the 20-dayMAs, next support would be 4983-5050 on SPX, $425-$433 on QQQ (gap supports from 2/22/24)</li>
<li>If some or all of these gaps remain unfilled, it is a sign that bulls remain in control. We are seeing a rotation into commodity Sectors, we highlight several buys</li>
</ul>


We have discussed for weeks that we will need to see the SPX and Nasdaq 100 close below their 20-day MAs for 2-3 consecutive days in order to get cautious.
This still hasn't happened (short-term trend remains bullish). If we get 2-3 closes below the 20-dayMAs, next support would be 4983-5050 on SPX, $425-$433 on QQQ (gap supports from 2/22/24)
If some or all of these gaps remain unfilled, it is a sign that bulls remain in control. We are seeing a rotation into commodity Sectors, we highlight several buys


Upgrading Materials to Market Weight; Rotation into Commodity Sectors; SPX/NDX Holding Above Support

United States

Vulcan Materials Company produces construction aggregates.  The Company principal product lines are aggregates, asphalt mix and concrete, and cement.

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Vulcan Materials Co (VMC US)

Gold Feels Heavy. Uptrend Intact but Better Cost Basis in near Term

Gold and Silver are likely to resume uptrends in the second half and with strength in other areas of materials the group is poised for a year-end...

Douglas Busch

Vulcan Materials Company: A Tale Of Strategic Dominance In The Aggregates Industry! - Major Drivers

After the first-quarter 2024 earnings of Vulcan Materials Company, Vulcan confirmed it is on track to deliver a fourth consecutive year of...

Baptista Research

Adbri (ABC AU): Scheme Vote on 12 June

The offer is attractive, and this is a done deal. At the last close and for the 1 July payment, the gross/annualised spread was 1.3%/8.4%.

Arun George

Are the Lows "In" For This Pullback?; Market Dynamics Remain Bullish; Key Supports Holding

Are the Lows "In" for this Pullback?; Market Dynamics Remain Bullish (RS for defensives $XLP, $XLU, $XLV below October 2023 lows among many other...

Vermilion Research

Upgrading Materials to Market Weight; Rotation into Commodity Sectors; SPX/NDX Holding Above Support

Upgrading Materials $XLB to Market Weight; Rotation into Commodity Sectors $XLE. $SPX and $QQQ holding above gap supports at 4983-5050 and $425...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Dividend (Yield)

Gold Feels Heavy. Uptrend Intact but Better Cost Basis in near Term

​Gold and Silver are likely to resume uptrends in the second half and with strength in other areas of materials the group is poised for a year-end...

Douglas Busch

Vulcan Materials Company: A Tale Of Strategic Dominance In The Aggregates Industry! - Major Drivers

After the first-quarter 2024 earnings of Vulcan Materials Company, Vulcan confirmed it is on track to deliver a fourth consecutive year of...

Baptista Research

Adbri (ABC AU): Scheme Vote on 12 June

The offer is attractive, and this is a done deal. At the last close and for the 1 July payment, the gross/annualised spread was 1.3%/8.4%.

Arun George

Are the Lows "In" For This Pullback?; Market Dynamics Remain Bullish; Key Supports Holding

Are the Lows "In" for this Pullback?; Market Dynamics Remain Bullish (RS for defensives $XLP, $XLU, $XLV below October 2023 lows among many other...

Vermilion Research

Upgrading Materials to Market Weight; Rotation into Commodity Sectors; SPX/NDX Holding Above Support

Upgrading Materials $XLB to Market Weight; Rotation into Commodity Sectors $XLE. $SPX and $QQQ holding above gap supports at 4983-5050 and $425...

Vermilion Research

Gold and Silver are likely to resume uptrends in the second half and with strength in other areas of materials the group is poised for a year-end...