Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Premier Energies / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/premier-energies-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:42190:1" rel="noopener">Premier Energies</a> raised around US$337m after pricing the deal at the top end of the range in Sep 2024. Its IPO linked lockup is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>Premier Energies is a manufacturer of solar photovoltaic (PV) cells, and solar modules. It also executes engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) projects and provides follow-up operation and maintenance (O&amp;M) services</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Premier Energies raised around US$337m after pricing the deal at the top end of the range in Sep 2024. Its IPO linked lockup is set to expire soon.
Premier Energies is a manufacturer of solar photovoltaic (PV) cells, and solar modules. It also executes engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) projects and provides follow-up operation and maintenance (O&amp;M) services
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Premier Energies US$825m IPO Lockup - The Largest Seller in the IPO Is Sitting on 48x Gains

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 17 changes a side for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index at the March rebalance. There are many stocks with flows from passive trackers of other indices.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 9.2% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 15.9bn (US$184m). With over US$40bn tracking the index actively, the impact on the stocks will be much larger.</li>
<li>There are many stocks with opposing flows from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index</a> trackers. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN)</a> will have inflows from multiple index trackers over the next month.</li>
</ul>


There are 17 changes a side for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index at the March rebalance. There are many stocks with flows from passive trackers of other indices.
Estimated one-way turnover is 9.2% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 15.9bn (US$184m). With over US$40bn tracking the index actively, the impact on the stocks will be much larger.
There are many stocks with opposing flows from NSE Nifty Next 50 Index trackers. Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN) will have inflows from multiple index trackers over the next month.


NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance: 17 Changes a Side; Lots of Overlap with Other Index Flow

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Index Maintenance Sub-Committee of NSE Indices will meet on 21 February to conduct a semi-annual and quarterly review of stocks in various Nifty equity indices.</li>
<li>The changes will be announced after market close tomorrow and will be implemented at the close of trading on 28 March.</li>
<li>Based on the forecast index changes and capping changes for a few indices, the round-trip trade will be over US$2.5bn and many stocks will have over 0.5x ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


The Index Maintenance Sub-Committee of NSE Indices will meet on 21 February to conduct a semi-annual and quarterly review of stocks in various Nifty equity indices.
The changes will be announced after market close tomorrow and will be implemented at the close of trading on 28 March.
Based on the forecast index changes and capping changes for a few indices, the round-trip trade will be over US$2.5bn and many stocks will have over 0.5x ADV to trade.


India: March Rebalance Announcement Tomorrow; Round-Trip Trade Over US$2.5bn

<ul>
<li>With the review period now complete, there could be 15 changes for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index at the March rebalance.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 8.3% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 7.65bn (US$88m). With over US$40bn tracking the index actively, the impact on the stocks will be much larger.</li>
<li>The outright adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 6 months, but there has been underperformance this calendar year.</li>
</ul>


With the review period now complete, there could be 15 changes for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index at the March rebalance.
Estimated one-way turnover is 8.3% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 7.65bn (US$88m). With over US$40bn tracking the index actively, the impact on the stocks will be much larger.
The outright adds have outperformed the forecast deletes over the last 6 months, but there has been underperformance this calendar year.


NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance Preview: 15 Potential Changes in March

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/itc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:327:1" rel="noopener">ITC Ltd (ITC IN)</a>  revenue growth was driven by its diversified businesses, but profitability was hit by high raw material costs.</li>
<li>India is shifting its capital expenditure focus from FY25-30 towards energy infrastructure, including power generation and grid integration. </li>
<li>China plans to reduce subsidies for renewable energy projects after surpassing its 2030 solar and wind power targets early.</li>
</ul>



ITC Ltd (ITC IN)  revenue growth was driven by its diversified businesses, but profitability was hit by high raw material costs.
India is shifting its capital expenditure focus from FY25-30 towards energy infrastructure, including power generation and grid integration. 
China plans to reduce subsidies for renewable energy projects after surpassing its 2030 solar and wind power targets early.


#100 India Insight: ITC's Revenue Grows, India Shifts Focus, China Cuts Renewable Subsidies

India

Waaree Energies Limited manufactures solar equipment. The Company provides solar PV modules, inverters, KW rooftop solutions, utility grids, water pumps, and portable kits. Waaree Energies serves customers worldwide.

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Waaree Energies (WAAREEEN IN)

Premier Energies US$825m IPO Lockup - The Largest Seller in the IPO Is Sitting on 48x Gains

Premier Energies raised around US$337m after pricing the deal at the top end of the range in Sep 2024. Its IPO linked lockup is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance: 17 Changes a Side; Lots of Overlap with Other Index Flow

There are 17 changes for the index in March. Estimated one-way turnover is 9.2% resulting in a one-way trade of INR15.9bn. There are many stocks...

Brian Freitas

India: March Rebalance Announcement Tomorrow; Round-Trip Trade Over US$2.5bn

The March changes for the Nifty indices will be announced tomorrow. There are changes forecast for most indices with large AUM. Round-trip trade...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance Preview: 15 Potential Changes in March

There could be 15 changes in March. Estimated one-way turnover is 8.3% and one-way trade is INR 7.65bn. With over US$40bn tracking the index...

Brian Freitas

#100 India Insight: ITC's Revenue Grows, India Shifts Focus, China Cuts Renewable Subsidies

ITC Ltd's revenue growth driven by diversified businesses, but hit by high raw material costs. India shifts focus to energy infrastructure, China...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Premier Energies US$825m IPO Lockup - The Largest Seller in the IPO Is Sitting on 48x Gains

Premier Energies raised around US$337m after pricing the deal at the top end of the range in Sep 2024. Its IPO linked lockup is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance: 17 Changes a Side; Lots of Overlap with Other Index Flow

There are 17 changes for the index in March. Estimated one-way turnover is 9.2% resulting in a one-way trade of INR15.9bn. There are many stocks...

Brian Freitas

India: March Rebalance Announcement Tomorrow; Round-Trip Trade Over US$2.5bn

The March changes for the Nifty indices will be announced tomorrow. There are changes forecast for most indices with large AUM. Round-trip trade...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance Preview: 15 Potential Changes in March

There could be 15 changes in March. Estimated one-way turnover is 8.3% and one-way trade is INR 7.65bn. With over US$40bn tracking the index...

Brian Freitas

#100 India Insight: ITC's Revenue Grows, India Shifts Focus, China Cuts Renewable Subsidies

​ITC Ltd's revenue growth driven by diversified businesses, but hit by high raw material costs. India shifts focus to energy infrastructure, China...

Sudarshan Bhandari

ITC Ltd's revenue growth driven by diversified businesses, but hit by high raw material costs. India shifts focus to energy infrastructure, China...