Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 24th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$582.6 million, led by information technology, health care, and offset by industrials, materials, consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Muyuan Foods, Shaanxi Coal Industry, Byd, Ping An Insurance.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of February 24th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$582.6 million, led by information technology, health care, and offset by industrials, materials, consumer staples.
We highlight flows for Muyuan Foods, Shaanxi Coal Industry, Byd, Ping An Insurance.


Northbound Flows (Feb 24th): Muyuan Foods, Shaanxi Coal Industry, Byd, Ping An Insurance

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange -Shanghai and Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry</li>
<li>Overall, net inflow over the past week was ~US$0.7bn, split between Shanghai (US$0.3bn) and Shenzhen (US$0.4bn).</li>
<li>The largest inflows were into <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gree-electric-appliances-inc-of-zhuhai" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7622:1" rel="noopener">Gree Electric Appliances (000651 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-techn-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24404:1" rel="noopener">CATL (300750 CH)</a>. The largest outflows were in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industrial-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19515:1" rel="noopener">Industrial Bank (601166 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:714:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants Bank (600036 CH)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange -Shanghai and Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry
Overall, net inflow over the past week was ~US$0.7bn, split between Shanghai (US$0.3bn) and Shenzhen (US$0.4bn).
The largest inflows were into Gree Electric Appliances (000651 CH) and CATL (300750 CH). The largest outflows were in Industrial Bank (601166 CH) and China Merchants Bank (600036 CH).


Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (2 September 2022)

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine. Northbound investors are selling A-share stocks worth USD 2.9bn in July.</li>
<li>The outflows were led by the financials, industrials, and materials sectors.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Shenzhen Mindray, Zhejiang Huayou, Tianqi Lithium, Yunnan Energy New Material, Moutai, Sungrow, Ping An Bank, Wuxi Lead, Zhejiang Sanhua, Industrial Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine. Northbound investors are selling A-share stocks worth USD 2.9bn in July.
The outflows were led by the financials, industrials, and materials sectors.
We highlight flows for Shenzhen Mindray, Zhejiang Huayou, Tianqi Lithium, Yunnan Energy New Material, Moutai, Sungrow, Ping An Bank, Wuxi Lead, Zhejiang Sanhua, Industrial Bank.


Northbound Flows Monthly (July): Financials, Industrials and Materials Led Outflows

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Shanghai Pudong Development Bank Co. / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 5 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50 Index</a> that will be implemented at the close on 9 June. The impact is pretty chunky on a few deletions.</li>
<li>Apart from the passive assets tracking the index, there are some liquid index futures and the impact on the stocks will be larger than just the headline numbers.</li>
<li>The adds underperformed the deletes in March and April but have come roaring back in May. Playing the trade via long/short pairs could provide better risk adjusted returns.</li>
</ul>


There are 5 changes for the SSE50 Index that will be implemented at the close on 9 June. The impact is pretty chunky on a few deletions.
Apart from the passive assets tracking the index, there are some liquid index futures and the impact on the stocks will be larger than just the headline numbers.
The adds underperformed the deletes in March and April but have come roaring back in May. Playing the trade via long/short pairs could provide better risk adjusted returns.


SSE50 Index Rebalance: Some Large Impact Changes

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Despite playing such a minor role in China investment portfolios, Materials allocations have been on the rise.  Current holding weights represent an 8-year high and the percentage of funds invested is at the top of the 6 year range.  Activity over the last 6-months shows some of the pure metal plays gaining tracking with China investors.  A further 11.2% of funds added Steel exposure over the period and 10.3% Aluminum.  In contrast, Construction Materials suffered outflows and a scaling back of exposure from active managers.We would highlight stocks such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-oriental-yuhong-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3060:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Oriental Yuhong A (002271 CH) </a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wanhua-chemical-group-co-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5049:1" rel="noopener">Wanhua Chemical Group Co A (600309 CH)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-sinocera-functional-material-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6865:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Sinocera Functional Material (300285 CH)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-molybdenum-co-ltd-d9c46a67-e31f-431f-9f5f-02222265d701" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8585:1" rel="noopener">China Molybdenum Co Ltd H (3993 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baoshan-iron-steel-co-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3891:1" rel="noopener">Baoshan Iron &amp; Steel Co A (600019 CH)</a> as seeing investment levels rise from a very low base, having previously being off the radar for the majority of active China investors.Relative to 5-year history, allocations are now looking overstretched, but relative to 10 year history, allocations still have some way to go, and absolute weights are still tiny compared to the large allocations awarded to Consumer and Communication Services stocks.  In short, are the recent moves part of a short-term shift in momentum, or the early part of a longer-term structural shift?Taken from our active China fund universe, consisting of 116 funds with AUM $65bn.

Despite playing such a minor role in China investment portfolios, Materials allocations have been on the rise.  Current holding weights represent an 8-year high and the percentage of funds invested is at the top of the 6 year range.  Activity over the last 6-months shows some of the pure metal plays gaining tracking with China investors.  A further 11.2% of funds added Steel exposure over the period and 10.3% Aluminum.  In contrast, Construction Materials suffered outflows and a scaling back of exposure from active managers.We would highlight stocks such as Beijing Oriental Yuhong A (002271 CH) , Wanhua Chemical Group Co A (600309 CH) , Shandong Sinocera Functional Material (300285 CH) , China Molybdenum Co Ltd H (3993 HK) and Baoshan Iron &amp; Steel Co A (600019 CH) as seeing investment levels rise from a very low base, having previously being off the radar for the majority of active China investors.Relative to 5-year history, allocations are now looking overstretched, but relative to 10 year history, allocations still have some way to go, and absolute weights are still tiny compared to the large allocations awarded to Consumer and Communication Services stocks.  In short, are the recent moves part of a short-term shift in momentum, or the early part of a longer-term structural shift?Taken from our active China fund universe, consisting of 116 funds with AUM $65bn.

China

Wanhua Chemical Group Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets pure isocyanate, polymeric isocyanate, polyurethane, and other related chemical products.

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Wanhua Chemical Group Co A (600309 CH)

Northbound Flows (Feb 24th): Muyuan Foods, Shaanxi Coal Industry, Byd, Ping An Insurance

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Muyuan Foods, Shaanxi Coal Industry, Byd, Ping An...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai/Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (2 September 2022)

Overall, net inflow over the past week in the HK -Shanghai-Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities was ~US$0.7bn, split between Shanghai (+US$0.3bn)...

David Blennerhassett

Northbound Flows Monthly (July): Financials, Industrials and Materials Led Outflows

Northbound investors sold $2.9bn stocks last month. We highlight flows for Shenzhen Mindray, Zhejiang Huayou, Tianqi Lithium, Yunnan Energy New...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

SSE50 Index Rebalance: Some Large Impact Changes

There are 5 changes to the SSE50 Index in June that will have one-way turnover estimated at 3.95% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 3,187m....

Brian Freitas

China Materials: Exposure on the Rise

China Materials allocations are on the rise. Current holding weights represent an 8-year high and the percentage of funds invested is at the top...

Steven Holden

Price Gauge

52-week Range

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Northbound Flows (Feb 24th): Muyuan Foods, Shaanxi Coal Industry, Byd, Ping An Insurance

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Muyuan Foods, Shaanxi Coal Industry, Byd, Ping An...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (2 September 2022)

Overall, net inflow over the past week in the HK -Shanghai-Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities was ~US$0.7bn, split between Shanghai (+US$0.3bn)...

David Blennerhassett

Northbound Flows Monthly (July): Financials, Industrials and Materials Led Outflows

Northbound investors sold $2.9bn stocks last month. We highlight flows for Shenzhen Mindray, Zhejiang Huayou, Tianqi Lithium, Yunnan Energy New...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

SSE50 Index Rebalance: Some Large Impact Changes

There are 5 changes to the SSE50 Index in June that will have one-way turnover estimated at 3.95% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 3,187m....

Brian Freitas

China Materials: Exposure on the Rise

China Materials allocations are on the rise. Current holding weights represent an 8-year high and the percentage of funds invested is at the top...

Steven Holden

Shanghai/Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (2 September 2022)