Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Chariot (CHAR LN)C; target price of £0.50 per share: Receiving EIA approval for onshore drilling in Morocco – Chariot has received approval for its EIA for a total of 20 well at Loukos, onshore Morocco.</li>
<li>The approval covers the initial drilling campaign of two exploration wells (Gaufrette and Dartois) as well as 17 further well locations and the re-entry of an existing gas discovery.</li>
<li>Operations are expected to start at the end of 1Q24 as indicated previously.</li>
</ul>


Chariot (CHAR LN)C; target price of £0.50 per share: Receiving EIA approval for onshore drilling in Morocco – Chariot has received approval for its EIA for a total of 20 well at Loukos, onshore Morocco.
The approval covers the initial drilling campaign of two exploration wells (Gaufrette and Dartois) as well as 17 further well locations and the re-entry of an existing gas discovery.
Operations are expected to start at the end of 1Q24 as indicated previously.


Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.65 per share: Drilling rig on location of high impact well by the end of January – A rig is expected to be mobilised to the high impact Welchau-1 drilling location during the last week of January.</li>
<li>The total vertical depth of the well is only 1,800 m with a dry hole cost estimated at ~EUR5.1 mm.</li>
<li>BW Energy (BWE NO): BW Offshore sells interests in BW Energy to BW Group – BW Offshore will sell 58,111,461 (22.52%) shares in BW Energy to BW Group at a price of NOK32 per share, resulting in total proceeds ~US$176 mm.</li>
</ul>


ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.65 per share: Drilling rig on location of high impact well by the end of January – A rig is expected to be mobilised to the high impact Welchau-1 drilling location during the last week of January.
The total vertical depth of the well is only 1,800 m with a dry hole cost estimated at ~EUR5.1 mm.
BW Energy (BWE NO): BW Offshore sells interests in BW Energy to BW Group – BW Offshore will sell 58,111,461 (22.52%) shares in BW Energy to BW Group at a price of NOK32 per share, resulting in total proceeds ~US$176 mm.


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Dec 22nd (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in BHP, Wisetech Global, Woodside Energy, Telstra, Fortescue, Macquarie, Allkem, Santos.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Dec 22nd (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.9bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in BHP, Wisetech Global, Woodside Energy, Telstra, Fortescue, Macquarie, Allkem, Santos.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 22nd): BHP, Wisetech Global, Woodside Energy, Telstra, Fortescue

<ul><li>________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.80 per share: Adding further exploration prospects in FY24 - ADX has farmed out a 50% interest in an exploration area within the ADX AT I licence to MND in return for a A$0.73 mm back costs payment plus A$7.34 mm funding in exploration drilling.</li><li>The exploration area farmed-out to MND includes the LICHT and IRR gas prospects.</li><li>The cash and carry component alone values 10% of the project at US$220 mm or US$440 mm for Chariot’s residual 20% interest (£0.31/sh).</li></ul>

________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.80 per share: Adding further exploration prospects in FY24 - ADX has farmed out a 50% interest in an exploration area within the ADX AT I licence to MND in return for a A$0.73 mm back costs payment plus A$7.34 mm funding in exploration drilling.The exploration area farmed-out to MND includes the LICHT and IRR gas prospects.The cash and carry component alone values 10% of the project at US$220 mm or US$440 mm for Chariot’s residual 20% interest (£0.31/sh).

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/a2-milk-co-ltd-95d4fbed-afa1-41e9-bafb-a5f1ef97622e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22775:1" rel="noopener">A2 Milk Co Ltd (A2M AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:678:1" rel="noopener">AMP Ltd (AMP AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/charter-hall-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5593:1" rel="noopener">Charter Hall (CHC AU)</a> will be deleted from the MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index at the close 15 December.</li>
<li>Constituent changes plus capping and float changes result in a one-way turnover of 5.05% and will result in a one-way trade of A$99m.</li>
<li>There is a fair amount of short interest on the deletions and shorts could look to cover against the passive flow.</li>
</ul>



A2 Milk Co Ltd (A2M AU), AMP Ltd (AMP AU) and Charter Hall (CHC AU) will be deleted from the MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index at the close 15 December.
Constituent changes plus capping and float changes result in a one-way turnover of 5.05% and will result in a one-way trade of A$99m.
There is a fair amount of short interest on the deletions and shorts could look to cover against the passive flow.


MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: Three Deletions & Other Changes

Australia

Woodside Energy Group Ltd offers services to the underground coal mining industry, and builds oil, natural gas, and water pipelines.

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Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS AU)

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 09/02/2024

The approval covers the initial drilling campaign of two exploration wells (Gaufrette and Dartois) as well as 17 further well locations and the re...

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 26/01/2024

ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.65 per share: Drilling rig on location of high impact well by the end of January

Auctus Advisors

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 22nd): BHP, Wisetech Global, Woodside Energy, Telstra, Fortescue

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in BHP, Wisetech Global, Woodside Energy, Telstra,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Auctus on Friday - 08/12/2023

________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.80 per share: Adding further exploration prospects in FY24 -...

Auctus Advisors

MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: Three Deletions & Other Changes

There are 3 deletions for the index in December. Estimated one-way turnover is 5% resulting in a one-way trade of A$99m. Shorts will look to cover...

Brian Freitas

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