Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 28th Mar 2023, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)</a> announced that it would adopt a new organizational and governance structure, splitting into six major business groups and other investments.</li>
<li>Alibaba also stated that each of the business groups would be set up as an independent entity with its own board and the groups will eventually seek to list.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about some of the company’s investments and how the overall Holdco would look post restructuring.</li>
</ul>


On 28th Mar 2023, Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US) announced that it would adopt a new organizational and governance structure, splitting into six major business groups and other investments.
Alibaba also stated that each of the business groups would be set up as an independent entity with its own board and the groups will eventually seek to list.
In this note, we will talk about some of the company’s investments and how the overall Holdco would look post restructuring.


Alibaba Potential IPOs - The Final Part - Quick Look at Investees and Eventual Holdco

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Weibo announced 1Q23 financial results on 25 May.</li><li>Total revenue dropped by 15% YoY (or -7% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$414mn in 1Q23, inline with the consensus estimate.</li><li>1Q23 non-GAAP net income was down by 16% YoY to US$111mn, better than consensus estimate of US$103mn. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Weibo announced 1Q23 financial results on 25 May.Total revenue dropped by 15% YoY (or -7% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$414mn in 1Q23, inline with the consensus estimate.1Q23 non-GAAP net income was down by 16% YoY to US$111mn, better than consensus estimate of US$103mn. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weibo (WB US) – Solid Margin and Attractive Valuation; Wait for Top-Line Recovery

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>Weibo’s 1Q23 top line was in line with our est., and non-GAAP net income beat our est./cons. by 6.5%/ 7.6%, due to cost-saving measures. </li>
<li>While we dial down its 2Q23 revenue forecast, we remain optimistic about its growth in 2H23, as more brand advertisers gradually recover. </li>
<li>Maintain BUY and TP unchanged, which implies 12X PE in 2023.</li>
</ul>


Weibo’s 1Q23 top line was in line with our est., and non-GAAP net income beat our est./cons. by 6.5%/ 7.6%, due to cost-saving measures. 
While we dial down its 2Q23 revenue forecast, we remain optimistic about its growth in 2H23, as more brand advertisers gradually recover. 
Maintain BUY and TP unchanged, which implies 12X PE in 2023.


Weibo (WB US, BUY, TP US$26.9) Earnings Review: Maintain BUY for Margin Improvement

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We recently conducted a round of interviews of several major Chinese online advertising agencies. We conclude that there has been slower-than-expected recovery in February.</li>
<li>Among major advertisers, travel, local service, medical service, and eCommerce have better performances. Gaming, automobile, and FMCG remain weak.</li>
<li>Tencent is still our top pick; maintain BUY to Baidu and Weibo; SELL to Kuaishou and BILI</li>
</ul>


We recently conducted a round of interviews of several major Chinese online advertising agencies. We conclude that there has been slower-than-expected recovery in February.
Among major advertisers, travel, local service, medical service, and eCommerce have better performances. Gaming, automobile, and FMCG remain weak.
Tencent is still our top pick; maintain BUY to Baidu and Weibo; SELL to Kuaishou and BILI


Tencent, Baidu, Weibo, Kuaishou and Bili: Online Ads Show Slow Recovery Trend

<ul>
<li>Weibo’s 4Q22 top line was in line with our est., and non-GAAP net income beat our est./cons. by 34%/46%, due to reverse of a contingent payment agreement with Jiamian Tech. </li>
<li>While we raise its revenue forecast in 2023, we also expect its costs and expenses to rebound due to the recovery of offline promotion events.</li>
<li>Maintain BUY and TP unchanged, which implies 13X PE in 2023.</li>
</ul>


Weibo’s 4Q22 top line was in line with our est., and non-GAAP net income beat our est./cons. by 34%/46%, due to reverse of a contingent payment agreement with Jiamian Tech. 
While we raise its revenue forecast in 2023, we also expect its costs and expenses to rebound due to the recovery of offline promotion events.
Maintain BUY and TP unchanged, which implies 13X PE in 2023.


[Weibo (WB US) Earnings Review]: Maintain BUY for Ads Recovery in Coming Quarters

China

Weibo Corp is a social media platform for people to create, distribute and discover Chinese-language content.  The Company offers users public self-expression in real time with a powerful platform for social interaction, as well as content aggregation and distribution.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Weibo Corp (WB US)

Alibaba Potential IPOs - The Final Part - Quick Look at Investees and Eventual Holdco

Continuining with our series of notes on Alibaba's planned six way reorganisation, in this note, we talk about its investments and eventual holdco.

Sumeet Singh

Weibo (WB US) – Solid Margin and Attractive Valuation; Wait for Top-Line Recovery

Total revenue dropped by 15% YoY (or -7% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$414mn in 1Q23, inline with the consensus estimate.

CMB International

Weibo (WB US, BUY, TP US$26.9) Earnings Review: Maintain BUY for Margin Improvement

While we dial down its 2Q23 revenue forecast, we remain optimistic about its growth in 2H23, as more brand advertisers gradually recover. Maintain...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Tencent, Baidu, Weibo, Kuaishou and Bili: Online Ads Show Slow Recovery Trend

We recently conducted a round of interviews of several major Chinese online advertising agencies. We conclude that there has been slower-than...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Weibo (WB US) Earnings Review]: Maintain BUY for Ads Recovery in Coming Quarters

While we raise its revenue forecast in 2023, we also expect its costs and expenses to rebound. Maintain BUY and TP unchanged, which implies 13X PE...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)