External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Weibo reported 4Q23 results on 14 Mar: total revenue grew by 3% YoY (or +5% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$464mn, vs consensus/our estimate of US$454/458mn.</li><li>Non-GAAP operating income declined by 4% YoY to US$146mn in 4Q23, 7% ahead of consensus, mainly thanks to the stringent control in product development expenses.</li><li>For FY23, total revenue declined by 4% YoY to US$1.76bn, with non-GAAP OPM up by 1ppt YoY to 33.6% on enhanced operating efficiency. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weibo reported 4Q23 results on 14 Mar: total revenue grew by 3% YoY (or +5% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$464mn, vs consensus/our estimate of US$454/458mn.Non-GAAP operating income declined by 4% YoY to US$146mn in 4Q23, 7% ahead of consensus, mainly thanks to the stringent control in product development expenses.For FY23, total revenue declined by 4% YoY to US$1.76bn, with non-GAAP OPM up by 1ppt YoY to 33.6% on enhanced operating efficiency. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weibo (WB US) - Weathering a Challenging FY24

<ul><li>Weibo announced 3Q23 results on 9 Nov: total revenue declined by 3% YoY (or grew by 2% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$442mn, in line with consensus/our estimate.</li><li>Non-GAAP net income was up 15% YoY to US$137mn in 3Q23, which is in line with our estimate but beat consensus by 6%, primarily due to effective execution of expense control.</li><li>Macro uncertainty continues to weigh on advertisers’ sentiment and their ad budget. Weibo’s relatively high exposure to consumption-related verticals further drags its ad revenue recovery pace. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weibo announced 3Q23 results on 9 Nov: total revenue declined by 3% YoY (or grew by 2% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$442mn, in line with consensus/our estimate.Non-GAAP net income was up 15% YoY to US$137mn in 3Q23, which is in line with our estimate but beat consensus by 6%, primarily due to effective execution of expense control.Macro uncertainty continues to weigh on advertisers’ sentiment and their ad budget. Weibo’s relatively high exposure to consumption-related verticals further drags its ad revenue recovery pace. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weibo (WB US) – Soft Consumption Weighs on Ad Recovery

<ul><li>Weibo reported 2Q23 results on 24 Aug: total revenue decreased by 2% YoY (+5% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$440mn, in line with consensus estimate of US$439mn.</li><li>Non-GAAP net income grew by 15% YoY to US$126mn in 2Q23, ahead of consensus estimate of US$120mn, mainly due to effective expense control.</li><li>Looking ahead in 3Q23E, the recovery pace of ad demand was slower than expected (especially in July), due to the weak consumption sentiment. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weibo reported 2Q23 results on 24 Aug: total revenue decreased by 2% YoY (+5% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$440mn, in line with consensus estimate of US$439mn.Non-GAAP net income grew by 15% YoY to US$126mn in 2Q23, ahead of consensus estimate of US$120mn, mainly due to effective expense control.Looking ahead in 3Q23E, the recovery pace of ad demand was slower than expected (especially in July), due to the weak consumption sentiment. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weibo (WB US) – Expect mild recovery in 3Q23E

<ul><li>Weibo announced 1Q23 financial results on 25 May.</li><li>Total revenue dropped by 15% YoY (or -7% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$414mn in 1Q23, inline with the consensus estimate.</li><li>1Q23 non-GAAP net income was down by 16% YoY to US$111mn, better than consensus estimate of US$103mn. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weibo announced 1Q23 financial results on 25 May.Total revenue dropped by 15% YoY (or -7% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$414mn in 1Q23, inline with the consensus estimate.1Q23 non-GAAP net income was down by 16% YoY to US$111mn, better than consensus estimate of US$103mn. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weibo (WB US) – Solid Margin and Attractive Valuation; Wait for Top-Line Recovery

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Based on NBS data, 2M24 online retail sales GMV/online physical goods GMV reached RMB2.2tn/1.8tn, up 15.3/14.4% YoY, which implied a two-year CAGR of 10.7/9.8%.</li><li>The growth of total online retail sales GMV continued to outpace that of online physical goods GMV, which was likely due to the robust growth in online travel bookings during the CNY holiday.</li><li>Leading e-commerce platforms are prioritizing GMV and revenue growth over margin improvement in 2024, and guided to reinvest incremental operating profit generated to drive further business growth, which likely indicates more intensified industry competition. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Based on NBS data, 2M24 online retail sales GMV/online physical goods GMV reached RMB2.2tn/1.8tn, up 15.3/14.4% YoY, which implied a two-year CAGR of 10.7/9.8%.The growth of total online retail sales GMV continued to outpace that of online physical goods GMV, which was likely due to the robust growth in online travel bookings during the CNY holiday.Leading e-commerce platforms are prioritizing GMV and revenue growth over margin improvement in 2024, and guided to reinvest incremental operating profit generated to drive further business growth, which likely indicates more intensified industry competition. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Internet - 2M24 online retail sales recap

China

Weibo Corp is a social media platform for people to create, distribute and discover Chinese-language content.  The Company offers users public self-expression in real time with a powerful platform for social interaction, as well as content aggregation and distribution.

Weibo Corp (WB US)

Weibo (WB US) - Weathering a Challenging FY24

Weibo reported 4Q23 results on 14 Mar: total revenue grew by 3% YoY (or +5% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$464mn, vs consensus/our...

CMB International

Weibo (WB US) – Soft Consumption Weighs on Ad Recovery

Weibo announced 3Q23 results on 9 Nov: total revenue declined by 3% YoY (or grew by 2% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$442mn, in line with...

CMB International

Weibo (WB US) – Expect mild recovery in 3Q23E

Weibo reported 2Q23 results on 24 Aug: total revenue decreased by 2% YoY (+5% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$440mn, in line with consensus...

CMB International

Weibo (WB US) – Solid Margin and Attractive Valuation; Wait for Top-Line Recovery

Total revenue dropped by 15% YoY (or -7% YoY on a constant currency basis) to US$414mn in 1Q23, inline with the consensus estimate.

CMB International

Internet - 2M24 online retail sales recap

Based on NBS data, 2M24 online retail sales GMV/online physical goods GMV reached RMB2.2tn/1.8tn, up 15.3/14.4% YoY, which implied a two-year CAGR...

CMB International