Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 121.6% as of Nov 10th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 3.1ppt week on week, led by information technology, utilities, communication services and offset by consumer discretionary, real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Ping An Insurance, Ganfeng Lithium, Gwmotor, China Longyuan.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 121.6% as of Nov 10th.
The average A-H premium changed by 3.1ppt week on week, led by information technology, utilities, communication services and offset by consumer discretionary, real estate.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Ping An Insurance, Ganfeng Lithium, Gwmotor, China Longyuan.


A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 10th): Ping An Insurance, Ganfeng Lithium, GWM, China Longyuan

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Four companies reported their 3Q23 results last night. Weichai Power and Zoomlion reported better-than-expected results, while SANY Heavy and Jiangsu Hengli are below expectations.</li><li>All of them reported gross margin expansion but very different revenue growth trends due to different product mixes and geographic focuses.</li><li>All of them reported declines in net finance income due to the volatility of FX rates. Weichai Power and Zhejiang Dingli (reported over the weekend) remain our sector key picks.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Four companies reported their 3Q23 results last night. Weichai Power and Zoomlion reported better-than-expected results, while SANY Heavy and Jiangsu Hengli are below expectations.All of them reported gross margin expansion but very different revenue growth trends due to different product mixes and geographic focuses.All of them reported declines in net finance income due to the volatility of FX rates. Weichai Power and Zhejiang Dingli (reported over the weekend) remain our sector key picks.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Construction Machinery & HDT – 3Q23 Earnings Review

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Over the weekend, Weichai pre-announced that net profit in 3Q23 is expected to surge 120-200% YoY to RMB2.03-2.77bn, which is better than our expectation.</li><li>The impressive 3Q23 earnings boosted the net profit in 9M23 up by 80-100% YoY. We believe the strong growth in 3Q was driven by natural gas trucks and export.</li><li>We maintain our positive stance on Weichai as the decline in LNG price will continue to boost sales of LNG trucks/engines, where Weichai has strong presence. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Over the weekend, Weichai pre-announced that net profit in 3Q23 is expected to surge 120-200% YoY to RMB2.03-2.77bn, which is better than our expectation.The impressive 3Q23 earnings boosted the net profit in 9M23 up by 80-100% YoY. We believe the strong growth in 3Q was driven by natural gas trucks and export.We maintain our positive stance on Weichai as the decline in LNG price will continue to boost sales of LNG trucks/engines, where Weichai has strong presence. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weichai Power (000338 CH) – 3Q23 Earnings Surged 120-200% YoY

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 5th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$75.1 million, led by information technology, materials, and offset by financials, consumer staples, health care.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Kweichow Moutai, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Gree Electric Appliances.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 5th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$75.1 million, led by information technology, materials, and offset by financials, consumer staples, health care.
We highlight flows for Kweichow Moutai, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Gree Electric Appliances.


Northbound Flows (May 5th): Kweichow Moutai, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Gree Electric Appliances

Weichai Power Co Ltd H / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Weichai’s 1Q23 net profit growth of 68% YoY is above our expectation.</li><li>We believe the impressive earnings growth was driven by the strong operating leverage of the HDT engine segment.</li><li>We are turning more positive on Weichai’s recovery story, with new catalysts coming from: (1) the recent sharp decline in LNG price (down ~40% since Dec) that will boost the sales of LNG trucks/engines, where Weichai has strong presence on; (2) the easing supply chain pressure that will help KION achieve strong-than-expected margin recovery. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weichai’s 1Q23 net profit growth of 68% YoY is above our expectation.We believe the impressive earnings growth was driven by the strong operating leverage of the HDT engine segment.We are turning more positive on Weichai’s recovery story, with new catalysts coming from: (1) the recent sharp decline in LNG price (down ~40% since Dec) that will boost the sales of LNG trucks/engines, where Weichai has strong presence on; (2) the easing supply chain pressure that will help KION achieve strong-than-expected margin recovery. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weichai Power (2338 HK) – Impressive 1Q23 Earnings

China

Weichai Power Co., Ltd. specializes in the research and development, manufacturing and sales of diesel engines. The company's products are applicable to markets such as, heavy-duty vehicles, coaches, construction machines, vessels and power generator.

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Weichai Power Co Ltd H (2338 HK)

A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 10th): Ping An Insurance, Ganfeng Lithium, GWM, China Longyuan

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Ping An Insurance, Ganfeng Lithium, Gwmotor, China Longyuan.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Construction Machinery & HDT – 3Q23 Earnings Review

Four companies reported their 3Q23 results last night. Weichai Power and Zoomlion reported better-than-expected results, while SANY Heavy and...

CMB International

Weichai Power (000338 CH) – 3Q23 Earnings Surged 120-200% YoY

Over the weekend, Weichai pre-announced that net profit in 3Q23 is expected to surge 120-200% YoY to RMB2.03-2.77bn, which is better than our...

CMB International

Northbound Flows (May 5th): Kweichow Moutai, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Gree Electric Appliances

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Kweichow Moutai, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Gree...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Weichai Power (2338 HK) – Impressive 1Q23 Earnings

Weichai’s 1Q23 net profit growth of 68% YoY is above our expectation. We believe the impressive earnings growth was driven by the strong operating...

CMB International

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