Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: West China Cement, China Vanke, Sunny Optical</li>
<li>
In the US, the January CPI came in higher than expected at 3.0% y-o-y (2.9% e / 2.9% p) and 0.5% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.4% p). The core CPI (excluding food and energy) accelerated slightly to 3.3% y-o-y (3.1% e / 3.2% p) and 0.4% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.2% p).
</li>
<li>Speaking after the CPI data release, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell acknowledged that the CPI figure came in above nearly every forecast, but cautioned against overreacting to one or two readings.</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: West China Cement, China Vanke, Sunny Optical

In the US, the January CPI came in higher than expected at 3.0% y-o-y (2.9% e / 2.9% p) and 0.5% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.4% p). The core CPI (excluding food and energy) accelerated slightly to 3.3% y-o-y (3.1% e / 3.2% p) and 0.4% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.2% p).

Speaking after the CPI data release, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell acknowledged that the CPI figure came in above nearly every forecast, but cautioned against overreacting to one or two readings.


<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: West China Cement, Greentown China, Softbank Group, Bharti Airtel</li>
<li>In the US, the January nonfarm payrolls came in below estimates at 143 k (175 k e / 307 k revised p). That said, payrolls for December were revised upwards to 307 k (from 256 k), with the two-month revision rising to 100 k (from negative 8 k).</li>
<li>The average hourly earnings in January increased to 0.5% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.3% p), and stood at 4.1% y-o-y (3.8% e / 4.1% revised p). The unemployment rate declined to 4.0% in the same month (4.1% e / 4.1% p).</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: West China Cement, Greentown China, Softbank Group, Bharti Airtel
In the US, the January nonfarm payrolls came in below estimates at 143 k (175 k e / 307 k revised p). That said, payrolls for December were revised upwards to 307 k (from 256 k), with the two-month revision rising to 100 k (from negative 8 k).
The average hourly earnings in January increased to 0.5% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.3% p), and stood at 4.1% y-o-y (3.8% e / 4.1% revised p). The unemployment rate declined to 4.0% in the same month (4.1% e / 4.1% p).


<ul>
<li>UST yields increased yesterday, led by the long end, following Merck &amp; Co’s USD 8 bn eight-part offering and in tandem with a jump in JGB yields following rate-hike comments by Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda.</li>
<li>The yield on the 2Y UST rose 4 bps to 3.53%, while the yield on the 10Y UST jumped 7 bps to 4.09%. Equities retreated on risk aversion, amid a sell-off in cryptocurrencies.</li>
<li>The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq declined 0.5% and 0.4% to 6,813 and 23,276, respectively. </li>
</ul>


UST yields increased yesterday, led by the long end, following Merck &amp; Co’s USD 8 bn eight-part offering and in tandem with a jump in JGB yields following rate-hike comments by Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda.
The yield on the 2Y UST rose 4 bps to 3.53%, while the yield on the 10Y UST jumped 7 bps to 4.09%. Equities retreated on risk aversion, amid a sell-off in cryptocurrencies.
The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq declined 0.5% and 0.4% to 6,813 and 23,276, respectively. 


<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: West China Cement, Adani Ports, Vedanta Resources, Softbank Group, Tata Motors, UPL Limited</li>
<li>In the US, the December personal spending came in above estimates at 0.7% m-o-m (0.5% e / 0.6% revised p), while personal income inched up to 0.4% m-o-m (0.4% e / 0.3% p).</li>
<li>Separately, the PCE price index climbed to 2.6% y-o-y (2.6% e / 2.4% p) and 0.3% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.1% p). That said, the core PCE price index (the Fed's preferred measure of inflation) was largely stable at 2.8% y-o-y (2.8% e / 2.8% p) and 0.2% m-o-m (0.2% e / 0.1% p).</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: West China Cement, Adani Ports, Vedanta Resources, Softbank Group, Tata Motors, UPL Limited
In the US, the December personal spending came in above estimates at 0.7% m-o-m (0.5% e / 0.6% revised p), while personal income inched up to 0.4% m-o-m (0.4% e / 0.3% p).
Separately, the PCE price index climbed to 2.6% y-o-y (2.6% e / 2.4% p) and 0.3% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.1% p). That said, the core PCE price index (the Fed's preferred measure of inflation) was largely stable at 2.8% y-o-y (2.8% e / 2.8% p) and 0.2% m-o-m (0.2% e / 0.1% p).


Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong Alpha portfolio gained 8.45% in September and 60.89% and 62.80% YTD and since launch one year ago.  The portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by more than 40%.</li>
<li>The portfolio has a Sharpe ratio of 3.23 YTD and has generated more than 40% of its returns from stock-picking (alpha).  Its beta is low at only 1.17.</li>
<li>At the end of September, we increased exposure to AI and robotics and sold positions in the consumer and finance sectors.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong Alpha portfolio gained 8.45% in September and 60.89% and 62.80% YTD and since launch one year ago.  The portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by more than 40%.
The portfolio has a Sharpe ratio of 3.23 YTD and has generated more than 40% of its returns from stock-picking (alpha).  Its beta is low at only 1.17.
At the end of September, we increased exposure to AI and robotics and sold positions in the consumer and finance sectors.


HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (September 2025)

China

West China Cement Limited produces and distributes cement products.

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West China Cement (2233 HK)

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: West China Cement, China Vanke, Sunny Optical

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: West China Cement, Greentown China, Softbank...

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: China Water Affairs, West China Cement

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: West China Cement, Adani Ports, Vedanta...

Lucror Analytics

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (September 2025)

Due to the sudden escalation of US/China tensions we have decided to reduce AI and other risk exposure in the Hong Kong Alpha portfolio at the open...

David Mudd

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