Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>3Q25 marks a clear earnings inflection, with record revenue, strong EBITDA growth, and underlying net profit above ₩250 bn after adjusting for one-off derivative losses.</li>
<li>TC/RC recovery and rare-metals strength drive upgrades, lifting FY25–27 EBITDA/EPS by 8–20% and establishing a higher structural margin base.</li>
<li>Overnance resolution and treasury cancellations offer re-rating potential, with a target price of ₩1.52 mn implying ~27% upside.</li>
</ul>


3Q25 marks a clear earnings inflection, with record revenue, strong EBITDA growth, and underlying net profit above ₩250 bn after adjusting for one-off derivative losses.
TC/RC recovery and rare-metals strength drive upgrades, lifting FY25–27 EBITDA/EPS by 8–20% and establishing a higher structural margin base.
Overnance resolution and treasury cancellations offer re-rating potential, with a target price of ₩1.52 mn implying ~27% upside.


Korea Zinc – 3Q25 Review, TC/RC Upcycle, Rare-Metals Leverage & Governance Outlook

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

Foxconn Industrial Internet / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>SSE 50 and SSE 180, respectively, aim to represent the performance of the 50 and 180 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our expectations for potential index changes for SSE 50 and SSE 180 during the June 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>I continue to expect 5 changes for SSE 50 and 18 changes for SSE 180 but some of the names have changed since my last insight.</li>
</ul>


SSE 50 and SSE 180, respectively, aim to represent the performance of the 50 and 180 largest and most liquid A-share stocks listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
In this insight, we take a look at our expectations for potential index changes for SSE 50 and SSE 180 during the June 2024 index rebal event.
I continue to expect 5 changes for SSE 50 and 18 changes for SSE 180 but some of the names have changed since my last insight.


Quiddity Leaderboard SSE50/180 Jun 24: US$1.3bn One-Way; Some New Names in the Expected Changes List

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 31st.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$1,598.1 million, led by consumer staples, industrials, communication services sectors, and offset by financials, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Kweichow Moutai, Contemporary Amperex Technology, Byd, China Petroleum And Chemical, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Haier Smart Home, Beijing Kingsoft Office Software.Inc, East Money Information, Gree Electric Appliances.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 31st.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$1,598.1 million, led by consumer staples, industrials, communication services sectors, and offset by financials, materials.
We highlight flows for Kweichow Moutai, Contemporary Amperex Technology, Byd, China Petroleum And Chemical, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Haier Smart Home, Beijing Kingsoft Office Software.Inc, East Money Information, Gree Electric Appliances.


Northbound Flows (Mar 31st): Moutai, CATL, Byd, Sinopec, Foxconn, Haier Smart Home

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Monthly inflows of $9bn was led by Financials (inflows of $2,658 million), Materials (inflows of $2,286 million), Consumer Discretionary (inflows of $1,779 million). </li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Midea, Zijin Mining, Ping An Insurance, Moutai, Mindray, and outflows from Yangtze Power, Yunnan Energy New Material, Poly Developments, Wingtec, Shenhua.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Monthly inflows of $9bn was led by Financials (inflows of $2,658 million), Materials (inflows of $2,286 million), Consumer Discretionary (inflows of $1,779 million). 
We highlight inflows into Midea, Zijin Mining, Ping An Insurance, Moutai, Mindray, and outflows from Yangtze Power, Yunnan Energy New Material, Poly Developments, Wingtec, Shenhua.


Northbound Flows Monthly: $9bn Inflows in November

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

The MSCI EM index (local currency) remains in an uptrend and is testing all-time highs set in January 2018 near 65,800; as long as the index is above 60,000 we are constructive from a price perspective.  China (CSI 300, MSCI China) continues to offer many attractive setups and accounts for the vast majority of today’s recommendations. Taiwan (TAIEX) continues to be worthy of an overweight within the EM universe, while South Korea (KOSPI) and India (SENSEX) display improving price and RS trends -- add exposure.

The MSCI EM index (local currency) remains in an uptrend and is testing all-time highs set in January 2018 near 65,800; as long as the index is above 60,000 we are constructive from a price perspective.  China (CSI 300, MSCI China) continues to offer many attractive setups and accounts for the vast majority of today’s recommendations. Taiwan (TAIEX) continues to be worthy of an overweight within the EM universe, while South Korea (KOSPI) and India (SENSEX) display improving price and RS trends -- add exposure.

China

Western Mining Co., Ltd. is a mineral exploration company. The Company primarily explores, refines and markets copper, lead and zinc.

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Western Mining Co A (601168 CH)

Korea Zinc – 3Q25 Review, TC/RC Upcycle, Rare-Metals Leverage & Governance Outlook

3Q25 shows strong earnings growth with record revenue and net profit above ₩250 bn, driven by TC/RC recovery and rare-metals strength, leading to...

Rahul Jain

Quiddity Leaderboard SSE50/180 Jun 24: US$1.3bn One-Way; Some New Names in the Expected Changes List

Collectively, the 5 expected changes for SSE 50 and the 18 expected changes for SSE 180 could generate US$1.3bn in one-way index flows.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Northbound Flows (Mar 31st): Moutai, CATL, Byd, Sinopec, Foxconn, Haier Smart Home

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, Byd, Sinopec, Foxconn, Haier Smart Home.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows Monthly: $9bn Inflows in November

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for November and highlight flows for Midea, Zijin Mining, Ping An Insurance, Moutai, Mindray,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Remain Overweight EM Relative To EAFE

The MSCI EM index (local currency) remains in an uptrend and is testing all-time highs set in January 2018 near 65,800; as long as the index is...

Vermilion Research

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52-week Range

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Korea Zinc – 3Q25 Review, TC/RC Upcycle, Rare-Metals Leverage & Governance Outlook

​3Q25 shows strong earnings growth with record revenue and net profit above ₩250 bn, driven by TC/RC recovery and rare-metals strength, leading to...

Rahul Jain

Quiddity Leaderboard SSE50/180 Jun 24: US$1.3bn One-Way; Some New Names in the Expected Changes List

Collectively, the 5 expected changes for SSE 50 and the 18 expected changes for SSE 180 could generate US$1.3bn in one-way index flows.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Northbound Flows (Mar 31st): Moutai, CATL, Byd, Sinopec, Foxconn, Haier Smart Home

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, Byd, Sinopec, Foxconn, Haier Smart Home.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows Monthly: $9bn Inflows in November

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for November and highlight flows for Midea, Zijin Mining, Ping An Insurance, Moutai, Mindray,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Remain Overweight EM Relative To EAFE

The MSCI EM index (local currency) remains in an uptrend and is testing all-time highs set in January 2018 near 65,800; as long as the index is...

Vermilion Research

3Q25 shows strong earnings growth with record revenue and net profit above ₩250 bn, driven by TC/RC recovery and rare-metals strength, leading to...