Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<p><strong>Chartonics webcast </strong>Thursday 25 February 2016</p><p><strong>Risk on/off triggers</strong><br>To view click on this link: <strong><a href="http://www.screencast.com/t/tcb804OIQI" target="_blank">http://www.screencast.com/t/tcb804OIQI</a> </strong>4:17 min.</p><div>We see the following as defining a risk off turn lower or continue mild risk on bias.</div><div><strong>1. Brent breakout of triangulation</strong></div><div><strong>2. AUD at 0.72 pivot</strong></div><div><strong>3. USD/JPY dual low or new low along with Nikkei 16,400 line.</strong></div><div>
<strong>4.Shanghai's turn is in line with our bounce call to 2,850-3,000 and then turning lower to 2,500.This will put pressure on Asia and should sway the AUD and</strong>…</div>

Chartonics webcast Thursday 25 February 2016Risk on/off triggers To view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/tcb804OIQI 4:17 min.We see the following as defining a risk off turn lower or continue mild risk on bias.1. Brent breakout of triangulation2. AUD at 0.72 pivot3. USD/JPY dual low or new low along with Nikkei 16,400 line.
4.Shanghai's turn is in line with our bounce call to 2,850-3,000 and then turning lower to 2,500.This will put pressure on Asia and should sway the AUD and…

Leading Independent Investment Research, Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar

Leading Independent Investment Research

Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. We offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors. 

Morningstar provides data on more than 500,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 16 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries, with more than $180 billion in assets under advisement or management as of June 30, 2015. We have operations in 27 countries.

Download the Morningstar Fact Sheet : http://corporate.morningstar.com/US/documents/MarketingFactSheets/AboutMorningstarFactsheet.pdf

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li class="p1">Exploration and production companies have long relied on capital markets to fund stellar growth, perhaps assuming that persistently high commodity prices would drive sufficiently strong returns in the future to justify their initial excesses.</li><li class="p1">But with crude prices now at once-in-a-generation lows and with a recovery still probably several quarters away, shale producers have been forced to adapt to an environment that few (if any) were built to profitably operate in.</li></ul><p class="p1"><em>Analyst: David Meats</em></p>

Exploration and production companies have long relied on capital markets to fund stellar growth, perhaps assuming that persistently high commodity prices would drive sufficiently strong returns in the future to justify their initial excesses.But with crude prices now at once-in-a-generation lows and with a recovery still probably several quarters away, shale producers have been forced to adapt to an environment that few (if any) were built to profitably operate in.Analyst: David Meats

Parsley Energy Inc Class A / Technical Analysis

<p><strong>Chartonics webcast </strong>Tuesday February 16 2016</p><p><strong>Draw down prior to bullish March</strong></p><div>To view click on this link:</div><div><strong><a href="http://www.screencast.com/t/9zHCmBOXxT5" target="_blank">http://www.screencast.com/t/9zHCmBOXxT5</a></strong></div><p>6:26 min.</p><div>Our focus is on a ST top in equities tonight in NY or Wednesday followed by a draw down into next week that sets the stage for a much bigger rally in March and viewed as an equity and dollar buying opportunity.</div><p>S&amp;P buy support lies at 1,850-60. Pushing above 1,870 does initiate a more bullish bias per our view outlined Friday after key sectors hit…</p>

Chartonics webcast Tuesday February 16 2016Draw down prior to bullish MarchTo view click on this link:http://www.screencast.com/t/9zHCmBOXxT56:26 min.Our focus is on a ST top in equities tonight in NY or Wednesday followed by a draw down into next week that sets the stage for a much bigger rally in March and viewed as an equity and dollar buying opportunity.S&amp;P buy support lies at 1,850-60. Pushing above 1,870 does initiate a more bullish bias per our view outlined Friday after key sectors hit…

FX Strategist

Greg Gibbs

Fundamental analysis of topical themes in FX

Amplifying Global FX Capital

Amplifying Global FX Capital was founded in 2015 and is fully owned by Greg Gibbs. It is a registered company both in Australia and Colorado, USA and is a licensed in Australia to provide financial services.

We are producing a regular trading view orientated macroeconomic analysis of topical themes in global financial markets, with a particular focus on foreign exchange. We invite you to view an “executive summary” of these reports in “AmpGFX Reports” under our “Research” menu.

These reports are drawn from the analysis of Greg Gibbs and inform the capital management he undertakes on behalf of the company. The trading performance is posted periodically on our website. We aim to build our company into both a research and capital management business. We are currently in the planning phase for managing capital for wholesale customers.

Greg Gibbs has spent his working life of more than 26 years in financial markets, beginning in 1989 at the Reserve Bank of Australia, after completing a Bachelor of Economics Degree (Honours) at the Australian National University. He has been a CFA Charterholder since 2005. He has worked in Sydney, Singapore, New York and London for major global banks and presented on foreign exchange markets to major financial institutions and companies around the world, and maintained a high profile in the financial media.

Before Amplifying Global FX Capital, Greg was the Head of Asia Pacific Market Strategy at the Royal Bank of Scotland based Singapore. He now resides in Breckenridge Colorado.

Macroeconomics

<p><em> In stepping back for a moment to assess what exactly is hurting global investor confidence, it is not as easy as it seems to put a finger on the source or extent of the problem and, therefore, what might restore confidence.  There is a wide degree of global market uncertainty at this time that in itself is holding markets back.  It may take some time for confidence to be restored, and indeed confidence may remain relatively low for the foreseeable future.  Most recently the oil market appears to be at the epicenter of the upheaval.  Uncertainty and volatility in the oil market is unprecedented in recent memory and the contagion to global markets has reached globally systemic levels.  Until greater clarity is restored to the oil market, the risk is high of still more severe global market upheaval and more extreme central bank policy responses.</em></p>

 In stepping back for a moment to assess what exactly is hurting global investor confidence, it is not as easy as it seems to put a finger on the source or extent of the problem and, therefore, what might restore confidence.  There is a wide degree of global market uncertainty at this time that in itself is holding markets back.  It may take some time for confidence to be restored, and indeed confidence may remain relatively low for the foreseeable future.  Most recently the oil market appears to be at the epicenter of the upheaval.  Uncertainty and volatility in the oil market is unprecedented in recent memory and the contagion to global markets has reached globally systemic levels.  Until greater clarity is restored to the oil market, the risk is high of still more severe global market upheaval and more extreme central bank policy responses.

AmpGFX - Oil Leaves a Slippery Slick for Global Markets

<p>Given the large discrepancy that has emerged between 2017-18 Brent futures prices (currently $40-$47 per barrel) and the Morningstar energy team's outlook for midterm oil industry fundamentals, we are amending our methodology for forecasting near-term oil and gas prices.</p><p>Based on our current expectation that oil supply and demand will come into balance in mid-2017, we are launching updated Brent forecasts of $50-$55 for the second half of 2017 and $55-$60 for 2018 (approximately 20% higher than current strip prices on average). </p><p>We will update our oil and gas producer valuations with this new pricing by the end of the current earnings period.</p><p><em>Analyst: Lorraine Tan, CFA</em></p><p> </p>

Given the large discrepancy that has emerged between 2017-18 Brent futures prices (currently $40-$47 per barrel) and the Morningstar energy team's outlook for midterm oil industry fundamentals, we are amending our methodology for forecasting near-term oil and gas prices.Based on our current expectation that oil supply and demand will come into balance in mid-2017, we are launching updated Brent forecasts of $50-$55 for the second half of 2017 and $55-$60 for 2018 (approximately 20% higher than current strip prices on average). We will update our oil and gas producer valuations with this new pricing by the end of the current earnings period.Analyst: Lorraine Tan, CFA 

Oil and Gas Price Outlook: Updating Our Near-Term Methodology for Forecasting Prices

United States

Western Refining, Inc., through a subsidiary, refines crude oil and markets petroleum products.  The subsidiary primarily produces gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel.  The products are marketed in Arizona, New Mexico and Texas in the United States, and Juarez, Mexico.

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Western Refining (WNR US)

Risk On/Off Inflection Pivots

Chartonics webcast Thursday 25 February 2016Risk on/off triggersTo view click on this link: http://www.screencast.com/t/tcb804OIQI 4:17 min.We see...

Thomas Schroeder

Moat or Mother Fracker?

Exploration and production companies have long relied on capital markets to fund stellar growth, perhaps assuming that persistently high commodity...

Morningstar, Inc.

Draw Down Prior to Bullish March

Chartonics webcast Tuesday February 16 2016Draw down prior to bullish MarchTo view click on this link:http://www.screencast.com/t/9zHCmBOXxT56:26...

Thomas Schroeder

AmpGFX - Oil Leaves a Slippery Slick for Global Markets

In stepping back for a moment to assess what exactly is hurting global investor confidence, it is not as easy as it seems to put a finger on the...

Greg Gibbs

Oil and Gas Price Outlook: Updating Our Near-Term Methodology for Forecasting Prices

Given the large discrepancy that has emerged between 2017-18 Brent futures prices (currently $40-$47 per barrel) and the Morningstar energy team's...

Morningstar, Inc.

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