Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (TSM US)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>
 Memory's price surge stalled month-over-month. The median memory name's sequential revenue growth fell from +32% in April to +4% in May, back at its no-cycle baseline.</li>
<li>
 The PC pull-forward could be unwinding a quarter early. Acer's and ASUS's revenue both fell roughly 16% month-over-month, against positive seasonality, with neither company commenting.</li>
<li>
 AI server demand is so far untouched, and it is not lifting everything. A fifth straight month of ramp, Hon Hai re-accelerating, a record TSMC month.</li>
</ul>



 Memory's price surge stalled month-over-month. The median memory name's sequential revenue growth fell from +32% in April to +4% in May, back at its no-cycle baseline.

 The PC pull-forward could be unwinding a quarter early. Acer's and ASUS's revenue both fell roughly 16% month-over-month, against positive seasonality, with neither company commenting.

 AI server demand is so far untouched, and it is not lifting everything. A fifth straight month of ramp, Hon Hai re-accelerating, a record TSMC month.


Taiwan Revenue Signals -- Memory Growth Stalls While AI Servers Remain Robust

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

In our October International Strategy, we outline important technical levels across markets and highlight various themes which lead to our neutral outlook, along with areas of the market where we see actionable opportunities, including Japan, and global technology.

In our October International Strategy, we outline important technical levels across markets and highlight various themes which lead to our neutral outlook, along with areas of the market where we see actionable opportunities, including Japan, and global technology.

Global Equity Strategy: Neutral Outlook Intact, Japan and Global Tech Are Bright Spots.

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Powerchip Semiconductor Manufa / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/powerchip-semiconductor-manufa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35299:1" rel="noopener">Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing (6770 TT)</a> is looking to raise around US$895m, selling 420m shares (28m GDRs) via a GDR offering.</li>
<li>Similar to previous GDR listings, the firm has undergone a long drawn out process prior to launching the deal, having to jump through a number of board/shareholder/regulatory approval loops.</li>
<li>In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing (6770 TT) is looking to raise around US$895m, selling 420m shares (28m GDRs) via a GDR offering.
Similar to previous GDR listings, the firm has undergone a long drawn out process prior to launching the deal, having to jump through a number of board/shareholder/regulatory approval loops.
In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.


Aequitas: Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing GDR Offering -

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 5th. The aggregated holding was USD2,282.9bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD3,589mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, UMC, Quanta Computer, MediaTek, Winbond Electronics.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 5th. The aggregated holding was USD2,282.9bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD3,589mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, UMC, Quanta Computer, MediaTek, Winbond Electronics.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 5th): TSMC, UMC, Quanta Computer, MediaTek, Winbond Electronics

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 5th. The aggregated short interest was USD49.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, TSMC, Compal Electronics, Catcher Technology, Fubon Financial.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 5th. The aggregated short interest was USD49.0bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, TSMC, Compal Electronics, Catcher Technology, Fubon Financial.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 5th): Shin Kong Financial, TSMC, Compal Electronics, Fubon Financial

Taiwan

Wistron Corporation manufactures and markets notebook computers, personal computers, and other related information products.

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Wistron Corp (3231 TT)

Taiwan Revenue Signals -- Memory Growth Stalls While AI Servers Remain Robust

Memory prices stalled, PC pull-forward unwinding early, AI server demand remains strong but not boosting all sectors. We analyze the Taiwan AI...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Global Equity Strategy: Neutral Outlook Intact, Japan and Global Tech Are Bright Spots.

In our October International Strategy, we outline important technical levels across markets and highlight various themes which lead to our neutral...

Vermilion Research

Aequitas: Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing GDR Offering -

Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing (6770.TT) is looking to raise around US$895m, selling 420m shares (28m GDRs) via a GDR offering.

Akshat Shah

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 5th): TSMC, UMC, Quanta Computer, MediaTek, Winbond Electronics

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, UMC, Quanta Computer, MediaTek, Winbond...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 5th): Shin Kong Financial, TSMC, Compal Electronics, Fubon Financial

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, TSMC, Compal Electronics,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Taiwan Revenue Signals -- Memory Growth Stalls While AI Servers Remain Robust

​Memory prices stalled, PC pull-forward unwinding early, AI server demand remains strong but not boosting all sectors. We analyze the Taiwan AI...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Global Equity Strategy: Neutral Outlook Intact, Japan and Global Tech Are Bright Spots.

In our October International Strategy, we outline important technical levels across markets and highlight various themes which lead to our neutral...

Vermilion Research

Aequitas: Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing GDR Offering -

Powerchip Semiconductor Manufacturing (6770.TT) is looking to raise around US$895m, selling 420m shares (28m GDRs) via a GDR offering.

Akshat Shah

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jun 5th): TSMC, UMC, Quanta Computer, MediaTek, Winbond Electronics

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, UMC, Quanta Computer, MediaTek, Winbond...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 5th): Shin Kong Financial, TSMC, Compal Electronics, Fubon Financial

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Shin Kong Financial, TSMC, Compal Electronics,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Memory prices stalled, PC pull-forward unwinding early, AI server demand remains strong but not boosting all sectors. We analyze the Taiwan AI...