Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index / Technical Analysis

The MSCI EM index continues to develop positively from a price perspective and we expect higher prices ahead. China remains leadership -- overweight. At the same time we recommend selectivity in new purchases considering many Chinese equities are extended. In this report we highlight a number of attractive stocks from Chines markets as well as opportunities within Greece, South Africa, India, and Taiwan.

The MSCI EM index continues to develop positively from a price perspective and we expect higher prices ahead. China remains leadership -- overweight. At the same time we recommend selectivity in new purchases considering many Chinese equities are extended. In this report we highlight a number of attractive stocks from Chines markets as well as opportunities within Greece, South Africa, India, and Taiwan.

EM Equity Strategy: Remain Overweight China

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

Recent USD strength has weighed on EM’s relative performance. Given (1) strength in commodity prices (sans precious metals), (2) the potential for some backing-and-filling of the USD, and (3) MSCI EM price and relative strength support levels continuing to hold, we see recent weakness as a buying opportunity.  The MSCI BRIC index has reasserted its leadership status. In addition to China, fellow BRIC countries Brazil and India exhibit attractive setups, while Chile’sIPSA also presents opportunities. Today’s report includes a wide variety of bottom-up recommendations across the EM universe, spanning most sectors and all market capitalizations.

Recent USD strength has weighed on EM’s relative performance. Given (1) strength in commodity prices (sans precious metals), (2) the potential for some backing-and-filling of the USD, and (3) MSCI EM price and relative strength support levels continuing to hold, we see recent weakness as a buying opportunity.  The MSCI BRIC index has reasserted its leadership status. In addition to China, fellow BRIC countries Brazil and India exhibit attractive setups, while Chile’sIPSA also presents opportunities. Today’s report includes a wide variety of bottom-up recommendations across the EM universe, spanning most sectors and all market capitalizations.

Emerging Markets Strategy: Attractive Setups in China, Brazil, India, and Chile

Asia-Focused Industry Research, Speeda Research

Speeda

Asia-Focused Industry Research

Speeda Research

Speeda Research analysts cover China, Japan, India and SEA on the latest trends and topics. We have analysts of diverse nationalities who are able to access information in their respective local languages to provide customers with comprehensive reports. With access to private company data in these regions, Speeda Research is also able to provide insights into niche sectors which are not usually covered by other parties. We are also able to undertake ad hoc company and industry research reports.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

At 2x the Size, Feature Phone Market Looms over Smartphones in IndiaMuch like the unsophisticated Maruti Suzuki 800 that became a part of 2.6 million households, feature phones too are making a strong drive into the hands of consumers in India, especially in rural areas where wireless teledensity is a low 52.84 compared to 165.04 in urban India. According to Speeda, the Indian mobile phone market is predominantly a feature phone market with smartphones making up for only 39.7% of handset sales…

At 2x the Size, Feature Phone Market Looms over Smartphones in IndiaMuch like the unsophisticated Maruti Suzuki 800 that became a part of 2.6 million households, feature phones too are making a strong drive into the hands of consumers in India, especially in rural areas where wireless teledensity is a low 52.84 compared to 165.04 in urban India. According to Speeda, the Indian mobile phone market is predominantly a feature phone market with smartphones making up for only 39.7% of handset sales…

Feature Phones Dominate Sales Even as India Enters Age Where "Data Is the New Oil"

The total number of telecom towers in India stood at about 420,000 at the end of FY 2016 and the industry was estimated to rake in INR 1.36 trillion in annual revenue, with Bharti Infratel and Indus Towers accounting for 40.8% of the total market share. As the need to manage data traffic rises, tenancy ratio of towers is expected to increase from 1.7-1.9 to 2.9 by March 2020. We believe that this form of leasing will contribute significantly to the top line of telecom tower companies in India.

The total number of telecom towers in India stood at about 420,000 at the end of FY 2016 and the industry was estimated to rake in INR 1.36 trillion in annual revenue, with Bharti Infratel and Indus Towers accounting for 40.8% of the total market share. As the need to manage data traffic rises, tenancy ratio of towers is expected to increase from 1.7-1.9 to 2.9 by March 2020. We believe that this form of leasing will contribute significantly to the top line of telecom tower companies in India.

Telecom Infrastructure in India: Keeping Pace with the Surge in Subscribers

Executive summaryDigitisation of cable in India has disrupted the traditional analogue cable industry and has catapulted DTH (direct-to-home) providers into the limelight. But rising prices could put pressure on consumers who now have the opportunity to substitute DTH with other cord-cutters. Will broadband and OTT (over-the-top) operators disrupt the DTH market in India?DetailDTH Subscribers Capitalise on Digitisation of Cable TV in IndiaThe Indian DTH (Direct-to-Home) market is the largest in…

Executive summaryDigitisation of cable in India has disrupted the traditional analogue cable industry and has catapulted DTH (direct-to-home) providers into the limelight. But rising prices could put pressure on consumers who now have the opportunity to substitute DTH with other cord-cutters. Will broadband and OTT (over-the-top) operators disrupt the DTH market in India?DetailDTH Subscribers Capitalise on Digitisation of Cable TV in IndiaThe Indian DTH (Direct-to-Home) market is the largest in…

Cable TV Digitisation in India: Growth of Broadband Users Unlikely to Lead to Cord-Cutting of DTH

India

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EM Equity Strategy: Remain Overweight China

The MSCI EM index continues to develop positively from a price perspective and we expect higher prices ahead. China remains leadership --...

Vermilion Research

Emerging Markets Strategy: Attractive Setups in China, Brazil, India, and Chile

Recent USD strength has weighed on EM’s relative performance. Given (1) strength in commodity prices (sans precious metals), (2) the potential for...

Vermilion Research

Feature Phones Dominate Sales Even as India Enters Age Where "Data Is the New Oil"

At 2x the Size, Feature Phone Market Looms over Smartphones in IndiaMuch like the unsophisticated Maruti Suzuki 800 that became a part of 2.6...

Speeda Research

Telecom Infrastructure in India: Keeping Pace with the Surge in Subscribers

The total number of telecom towers in India stood at about 420,000 at the end of FY 2016 and the industry was estimated to rake in INR 1.36...

Speeda Research

Cable TV Digitisation in India: Growth of Broadband Users Unlikely to Lead to Cord-Cutting of DTH

Executive summaryDigitisation of cable in India has disrupted the traditional analogue cable industry and has catapulted DTH (direct-to-home)...

Speeda Research

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