Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We see global equities (MSCI ACWI) going through a pause/pullback amid short-term breakouts in the U.S. dollar (DXY) and global sovereign 10-year yields.</li>
<li>A rising DXY and climbing yields is a near-term headwind, and we could continue to see more choppy price action in the weeks ahead.</li>
<li>With that said, as long as the DXY remains below $106, the 10-year Treasury yield remains below 4.35%, and ACWI-US is <em>above</em> $98, we would view pullbacks as buying opportunities.</li>
</ul>


We see global equities (MSCI ACWI) going through a pause/pullback amid short-term breakouts in the U.S. dollar (DXY) and global sovereign 10-year yields.
A rising DXY and climbing yields is a near-term headwind, and we could continue to see more choppy price action in the weeks ahead.
With that said, as long as the DXY remains below $106, the 10-year Treasury yield remains below 4.35%, and ACWI-US is above $98, we would view pullbacks as buying opportunities.


Pause/Pullback Underway; Downgrading Europe and Mexico; Buys in Services, Tech, Comm, Healthcare

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The ES50 Index is one of the most highly-tracked indices in Europe and the annual index review takes place in September every year.</li>
<li>This annual index review usually results in some of the most significant index flow events in Europe every year typically amounting to billions of dollars.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take an early look the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the upcoming index review in September 2024.</li>
</ul>


The ES50 Index is one of the most highly-tracked indices in Europe and the annual index review takes place in September every year.
This annual index review usually results in some of the most significant index flow events in Europe every year typically amounting to billions of dollars.
In this insight, we take an early look the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the upcoming index review in September 2024.


Quiddity Leaderboard ES50 Sep 24: Engie Close to US$1.2bn Index Flow

Quiddity Leaderboard ES50 Sep 24: The Race For Europe's Multi-Billion Dollar Index Flows

<ul>
<li>The ES50 Index is one of the most highly-tracked indices in mainland Europe and the annual index review takes place in September.</li>
<li>As ES50 index changes generally involve large cap names, these Rebalance events have historically had significant volume and ADV impact.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the upcoming index review in September 2023.</li>
</ul>


The ES50 Index is one of the most highly-tracked indices in mainland Europe and the annual index review takes place in September.
As ES50 index changes generally involve large cap names, these Rebalance events have historically had significant volume and ADV impact.
In this insight, we take a look the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the upcoming index review in September 2023.


Quiddity Leaderboard ES50 Sep 23: Massive Flows; Might Be Time for LONG Ferrari - SHORT Vonovia

<ul>
<li>The ES50 Index is one of the most highly-tracked indices in mainland Europe and the annual index review takes place in September.</li>
<li>Historically, these Rebalance events have had significant volume and ADV impact and they generally involve large cap names. </li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the upcoming index review in September 2023.</li>
</ul>


The ES50 Index is one of the most highly-tracked indices in mainland Europe and the annual index review takes place in September.
Historically, these Rebalance events have had significant volume and ADV impact and they generally involve large cap names. 
In this insight, we take a look the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the upcoming index review in September 2023.


Quiddity Leaderboard ES50 Sep 23: Ferrari Retains the Lead; US$1.26bn Potential Inflow

Netherlands

Wolters Kluwer NV provides information services to professionals in the areas of legal, business, tax, accounting, finance, audit, risk, compliance and healthcare. The Company provides its customers information-enabled tools and software solutions to manage their business efficiently. Wolters Kluwer operates in over 40 countries in Europe, North America, Asia Pacific and Latin America.

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Wolters Kluwer Nv (WKL NA)

Pause/Pullback Underway; Downgrading Europe and Mexico; Buys in Services, Tech, Comm, Healthcare

Pause/pullback underway in $ACWI, but as long as the $DXY remains below $106, the 10-year Treasury yield remains below 4.35%, and $ACWI is above...

Vermilion Research

Quiddity Leaderboard ES50 Sep 24: Engie Close to US$1.2bn Index Flow

France-based energy company Engie SA (ENGI FP) is the highest-ranked potential ADD and if it gains 12% vs the other names it could become an ADD...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard ES50 Sep 24: The Race For Europe's Multi-Billion Dollar Index Flows

Netherlands-based professional information company Wolters Kluwer is the highest-ranked potential ADD. Finland-based telco and consumer electronics...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard ES50 Sep 23: Massive Flows; Might Be Time for LONG Ferrari - SHORT Vonovia

I would go LONG Ferrari - SHORT Vonovia until the Inclusion event considering the significance of the expected index flow dynamics even though...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard ES50 Sep 23: Ferrari Retains the Lead; US$1.26bn Potential Inflow

If Ferrari's share price does not fall by more than 10% vs other potential ADDs, Ferrari could become an ADD and experience an index inflow of...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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