Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.80 per share: Adding further exploration prospects in FY24 - ADX has farmed out a 50% interest in an exploration area within the ADX AT I licence to MND in return for a A$0.73 mm back costs payment plus A$7.34 mm funding in exploration drilling.</li><li>The exploration area farmed-out to MND includes the LICHT and IRR gas prospects.</li><li>The cash and carry component alone values 10% of the project at US$220 mm or US$440 mm for Chariot’s residual 20% interest (£0.31/sh).</li></ul>

________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.80 per share: Adding further exploration prospects in FY24 - ADX has farmed out a 50% interest in an exploration area within the ADX AT I licence to MND in return for a A$0.73 mm back costs payment plus A$7.34 mm funding in exploration drilling.The exploration area farmed-out to MND includes the LICHT and IRR gas prospects.The cash and carry component alone values 10% of the project at US$220 mm or US$440 mm for Chariot’s residual 20% interest (£0.31/sh).

Woodside Energy Group Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>________________________________________ GeoPark (GPRK US)C; target price of US$25 per share: 2Q23 production in line.</li><li>Adding horizontal wells at Llanos-34 – 2Q23 production of 36,581 boe/d was in line with our expectations with strong performance at Llanos-34, Platanillo and CPO-5, offsetting lower production in Chile and Ecuador.</li><li>The company has re-iterated its FY23 production target of 38.0-40.0 mboe/d but the guidance is sensitive to the timing of production restart at Indico 6 and Indico 7.</li></ul>

________________________________________ GeoPark (GPRK US)C; target price of US$25 per share: 2Q23 production in line.Adding horizontal wells at Llanos-34 – 2Q23 production of 36,581 boe/d was in line with our expectations with strong performance at Llanos-34, Platanillo and CPO-5, offsetting lower production in Chile and Ecuador.The company has re-iterated its FY23 production target of 38.0-40.0 mboe/d but the guidance is sensitive to the timing of production restart at Indico 6 and Indico 7.

<ul><li>ADX Energy (ADX AU) C : Target price of A$0.100 per share: Competent person report confirms the materiality of the Welchau pospect – The Welchau prospect has been estimated to hold between 365 bcfe and 1,128 bcfe of prospective resources by Gaffney, Cline &amp; Associates (GCA) with a mid-case at 645 bcfe including 10.1 mmbbl of condensate.</li><li>While this is below the 807 bcfe mid-case estimated by ADX, the fact that the lower end of the GCA range (332 bcf of natural gas plus 5.5 mmbbl of condensate in the 1U case) is significantly larger than ADX’s estimate of 212 bcfe is the most important take away in our view.</li><li>The unrisked value of the asset (A$0.09 per share) is very high even in the low case. Welchau is now expected to be drilled in September. </li></ul>

ADX Energy (ADX AU) C : Target price of A$0.100 per share: Competent person report confirms the materiality of the Welchau pospect – The Welchau prospect has been estimated to hold between 365 bcfe and 1,128 bcfe of prospective resources by Gaffney, Cline &amp; Associates (GCA) with a mid-case at 645 bcfe including 10.1 mmbbl of condensate.While this is below the 807 bcfe mid-case estimated by ADX, the fact that the lower end of the GCA range (332 bcf of natural gas plus 5.5 mmbbl of condensate in the 1U case) is significantly larger than ADX’s estimate of 212 bcfe is the most important take away in our view.The unrisked value of the asset (A$0.09 per share) is very high even in the low case. Welchau is now expected to be drilled in September. 

<ul><li><strong>GeoPark (GPRK US)C: Target price of US$31 per share:</strong><strong>Two new strong development wells at CPO-5</strong> – Two new development wells, Indico 6 and Indico 7, tested over 11,000 bbl/d gross (in aggregate) with hardly any water (Indico 6: 6,270 bbl/d, Indico 7: 5,245 bbl/d).</li><li>This would take gross production from the field from ~20 mbbl/d in 4Q22 to 25-27 mbbl/d.</li><li>OKEA Energy (OKEA NO): 4Q22 update – 4Q22 production in Norway was 19,887 boe/d.</li></ul>

GeoPark (GPRK US)C: Target price of US$31 per share:Two new strong development wells at CPO-5 – Two new development wells, Indico 6 and Indico 7, tested over 11,000 bbl/d gross (in aggregate) with hardly any water (Indico 6: 6,270 bbl/d, Indico 7: 5,245 bbl/d).This would take gross production from the field from ~20 mbbl/d in 4Q22 to 25-27 mbbl/d.OKEA Energy (OKEA NO): 4Q22 update – 4Q22 production in Norway was 19,887 boe/d.

<ul><li>ADX Energy (HHR AU)C; Target price of AS0.07 per share: Farm-in transaction at Welchau provides validation for the prospect – Kepis &amp; Pobe Financial Group (KPFG) is acquiring 20% in the Welchau Farmin Area in return for funding 50% of the cost of the exploration well (EUR3.8 mm gross).</li><li>KPFG has also the option to acquire a further 20% in the Farmin Area in return for funding a further 50% of the cost of the well (100% in total).</li><li>Block Energy (BOE LN): SLB not exercising option – SLB will not exercise its right to acquire 108 mm shares in Block Energy.</li></ul>

ADX Energy (HHR AU)C; Target price of AS0.07 per share: Farm-in transaction at Welchau provides validation for the prospect – Kepis &amp; Pobe Financial Group (KPFG) is acquiring 20% in the Welchau Farmin Area in return for funding 50% of the cost of the exploration well (EUR3.8 mm gross).KPFG has also the option to acquire a further 20% in the Farmin Area in return for funding a further 50% of the cost of the well (100% in total).Block Energy (BOE LN): SLB not exercising option – SLB will not exercise its right to acquire 108 mm shares in Block Energy.

Australia

Woodside Energy Group Ltd offers services to the underground coal mining industry, and builds oil, natural gas, and water pipelines.

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Woodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS AU)

Auctus on Friday - 08/12/2023

________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.80 per share: Adding further exploration prospects in FY24 -...

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 21/07/2023

________________________________________ GeoPark (GPRK US)C; target price of US$25 per share: 2Q23 production in line. Adding horizontal wells at...

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 21/04/2023

The Welchau prospect has been estimated to hold between 365 bcfe and 1,128 bcfe of prospective resources by Gaffney, Cline & Associates (GCA) with...

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 27/02/2023

Two new development wells, Indico 6 and Indico 7, tested over 11,000 bbl/d gross (in aggregate) with hardly any water (Indico 6: 6,270 bbl/d,...

Auctus Advisors

Auctus on Friday - 02/12/2022

KPFG has also the option to acquire a further 20% in the Farmin Area in return for funding a further 50% of the cost of the well (100% in total).

Auctus Advisors

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