Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

VanEck Oil Services ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain bullish (as of our 4/21/26 Compass) on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM).</li>
<li>As long as last Wednesday's (Aug. 12) bullish gaps remain unfilled and hold as support on semiconductors (SOXX, SMH), generative A.I. (CHAT), memory(DRAM), neoclouds(NCLD), and momentum(MTUM), bulls are in control</li>
<li>Specifically, we are bullish as long as price is above last Tuesday's highs on the aforementioned ETFs. On SPX, we will remain bullish as long as support at 7580-7629 holds.</li>
</ul>


We remain bullish (as of our 4/21/26 Compass) on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM).
As long as last Wednesday's (Aug. 12) bullish gaps remain unfilled and hold as support on semiconductors (SOXX, SMH), generative A.I. (CHAT), memory(DRAM), neoclouds(NCLD), and momentum(MTUM), bulls are in control
Specifically, we are bullish as long as price is above last Tuesday's highs on the aforementioned ETFs. On SPX, we will remain bullish as long as support at 7580-7629 holds.


Energy Improving; Levels to Watch on A.I. And Technology $SOXX $CHAT $DRAM $MTUM

Index Rebalance and Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Afridi Reyal

Index Rebalance and Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we look at the potential index changes for the F100 and F250 in the run-up to the December 2026 rebal.</li>
<li>We currently expect one F100 change and two F250 changes for the December 2026 rebal. An IPO drives the F100 change, while one F250 change depends on a market transfer.</li>
<li>We also expect one intra-review change for the F250 prior to the December 2026 rebal.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we look at the potential index changes for the F100 and F250 in the run-up to the December 2026 rebal.
We currently expect one F100 change and two F250 changes for the December 2026 rebal. An IPO drives the F100 change, while one F250 change depends on a market transfer.
We also expect one intra-review change for the F250 prior to the December 2026 rebal.


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Dec26: Airtel Money IPO and Serica Transfer in Focus

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>WPP Plc, once the undisputed leader of the global advertising industry, is now at the center of intense takeover speculation following a report by The Times revealing high-level discussions at Havas N.V. and renewed interest from major private equity firms, including KKR and Apollo.</li>
<li>These conversations come at a time when WPP is undergoing significant operational restructuring and facing mounting pressure from shareholders after a series of underwhelming results.</li>
<li>Havas, based near Paris and backed by Vivendi, is reportedly exploring both full and partial acquisition opportunities.</li>
</ul>


WPP Plc, once the undisputed leader of the global advertising industry, is now at the center of intense takeover speculation following a report by The Times revealing high-level discussions at Havas N.V. and renewed interest from major private equity firms, including KKR and Apollo.
These conversations come at a time when WPP is undergoing significant operational restructuring and facing mounting pressure from shareholders after a series of underwhelming results.
Havas, based near Paris and backed by Vivendi, is reportedly exploring both full and partial acquisition opportunities.


WPP Takeover Looms? Havas & Wall Street Titans Eye a Piece of the Ad Giant

European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Takeover speculation re-ignites WPP plc, with interest reportedly from Havas, Apollo, and KKR. Depressed valuation, strategic review, and FTSE ejection risk position WPP as a live event-driven opportunity.</li>
<li>Valuation disconnect significant: FY2024 EV/EBITDA only 3.8× versus peers 8–10× (5.4x NTM consensus, vs. peers NTM averaging ~6.7x). Base-case bid 430–550 p implies 50–80 % upside, assuming £7.5–9.5 billion EV.</li>
<li>Arbitrage setup compelling: Expected 6-month return ≈ 34 % (IRR 45 %), asymmetric 3:1 reward-to-risk profile. Key catalysts – formal bid indication, Havas/Vivendi stake-building, or private-equity consortium approach.</li>
</ul>


Takeover speculation re-ignites WPP plc, with interest reportedly from Havas, Apollo, and KKR. Depressed valuation, strategic review, and FTSE ejection risk position WPP as a live event-driven opportunity.
Valuation disconnect significant: FY2024 EV/EBITDA only 3.8× versus peers 8–10× (5.4x NTM consensus, vs. peers NTM averaging ~6.7x). Base-case bid 430–550 p implies 50–80 % upside, assuming £7.5–9.5 billion EV.
Arbitrage setup compelling: Expected 6-month return ≈ 34 % (IRR 45 %), asymmetric 3:1 reward-to-risk profile. Key catalysts – formal bid indication, Havas/Vivendi stake-building, or private-equity consortium approach.


Potential Takeover of WPP Plc — Event-Driven Risk Arbitrage Catalyst Emerging

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we look at the potential index changes for the F100 and F250 in the run-up to the December 2026 rebal. The Airtel Money IPO is a question.</li>
<li>Beazley is set to be deleted from the F100 at the close of 30th September 2026. We have discussed the intra-review implications for the F100 and F250.</li>
<li>Airtel Money isn't certain (more below). Currently we see no likely regular changes taking place for F100 or F250 but some names are close to the border. </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we look at the potential index changes for the F100 and F250 in the run-up to the December 2026 rebal. The Airtel Money IPO is a question.
Beazley is set to be deleted from the F100 at the close of 30th September 2026. We have discussed the intra-review implications for the F100 and F250.
Airtel Money isn't certain (more below). Currently we see no likely regular changes taking place for F100 or F250 but some names are close to the border. 


Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Dec26: Beazley F100 DEL 30th Sep; Airtel Money IPO Question

United Kingdom

WPP is a British multinational communications, advertising, public relations, technology, and commerce holding company. It offers a comprehensive range of services including advertising, media planning and buying, public relations, brand consulting, and digital marketing. The company is headquartered in London, England, and was founded in 1971.

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WPP (WPP LN)

Energy Improving; Levels to Watch on A.I. And Technology $SOXX $CHAT $DRAM $MTUM

Energy $XLE $OIH $IEO Improving; Levels to Watch in A.I. and Technology Areas $CHAT $SOXX $MTUM $DRAM. Still bullish $SPX, but some reason for...

Vermilion Research

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Dec26: Airtel Money IPO and Serica Transfer in Focus

Airtel Money could become a strong name for the F100 inclusion in December 2026. We also see Serica Energy as an F250 ADD if it transfers to the...

Afridi Reyal

WPP Takeover Looms? Havas & Wall Street Titans Eye a Piece of the Ad Giant

WPP Plc, once the undisputed leader of the global advertising industry, is now at the center of intense takeover speculation following a report by...

Baptista Research

Potential Takeover of WPP Plc — Event-Driven Risk Arbitrage Catalyst Emerging

WPP’s valuation collapse and takeover interest from Havas, Apollo, and KKR create a live event-driven opportunity; base-case bid 430–550 p implies...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Quiddity Leaderboard F100/F250 Dec26: Beazley F100 DEL 30th Sep; Airtel Money IPO Question

F100 members Beazley and Schroders will be deleted from the index following their acquisitions by Zurich and Nuveen respectively. As a result, WPP...

Afridi Reyal

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