Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 7th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,104.6 million, led by consumer staples, financials, and offset by consumer discretionary, communication services, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Zte, BYD, Goertek, CATL, CMB, Moutai, Focus Media Information Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 7th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,104.6 million, led by consumer staples, financials, and offset by consumer discretionary, communication services, utilities.
We highlight flows for Zte, BYD, Goertek, CATL, CMB, Moutai, Focus Media Information Technology.


Northbound Flows (Jul 7th): ZTE, BYD, Goertek, CATL, CMB, Moutai, Focus Media

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 19th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$152.9 million, led by financials, consumer staples, and offset by industrials, information technology, health care.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CATL, Advanced Micro, Kunlun Tech, Tianqi Lithium, Sungrow Power Supply, Moutai, Longi Green, Ping An Insurance, Haitian Flavouring.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 19th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$152.9 million, led by financials, consumer staples, and offset by industrials, information technology, health care.
We highlight flows for CATL, Advanced Micro, Kunlun Tech, Tianqi Lithium, Sungrow Power Supply, Moutai, Longi Green, Ping An Insurance, Haitian Flavouring.


Northbound Flows (May 19th): CATL, Advanced Micro, Kunlun Tech, Tianqi Lithium, Sungrow

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 6th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$412.5 million, led by information technology, materials, and offset by financials, consumer staples, industrials.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for East Money Information, Muyuan Foods, China Tourism Group Duty Free, Ping An Insurance, Hundsun Technologies, China Merchants Bank, Foxconn Industrial Internet.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 6th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$412.5 million, led by information technology, materials, and offset by financials, consumer staples, industrials.
We highlight flows for East Money Information, Muyuan Foods, China Tourism Group Duty Free, Ping An Insurance, Hundsun Technologies, China Merchants Bank, Foxconn Industrial Internet.


Northbound Flows (Apr 6th): East Money, Muyuan Foods, CTG, Ping An Insurance, Hundsun, CMB, Foxconn

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Index Rebalance

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)

<ul>
<li>There are 28 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> at the upcoming rebalance that will be implemented at the close of trading on 10 December.</li>
<li>The inclusion of ChiNext stocks with 1 year of listing history (down from 3 years) and the inclusion of other large stocks results in a one-way turnover greater than 10%.</li>
<li>There are 10 trading days to implementation and we expect the inclusions to outperform the market. A long inclusion basket can be hedged with CSI300 index futures.</li>
</ul>


There are 28 changes for the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) at the upcoming rebalance that will be implemented at the close of trading on 10 December.
The inclusion of ChiNext stocks with 1 year of listing history (down from 3 years) and the inclusion of other large stocks results in a one-way turnover greater than 10%.
There are 10 trading days to implementation and we expect the inclusions to outperform the market. A long inclusion basket can be hedged with CSI300 index futures.


CSI300 Index Rebalance: Methodology Tweak Results in More Changes & Larger Turnover

<div><p>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> consists of stocks from the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and is one of the most widely tracked A-share indices with passive tracking products listed in multiple markets globally. There are CFFEX listed futures that are actively traded as well.</p></div><div>
<p>China Securities Index Co (CSI) will most likely announce the changes for the December rebalance after market close on 26 November and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 10 December.</p>
<p>The review period ended on 29 October and we see 26 potential changes at the December rebalance. Of these, 23 are high probability changes with another 3 likely to take place.</p>
<p>Since our last Insight a month ago, the potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletion by 13% with the inclusions rising on average and the deletions dropping on average. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> was flat over the period. We recommend trimming positions and waiting for an opportunity to re-enter the trade at lower levels in the next couple of weeks.</p>
</div>

The Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) consists of stocks from the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and is one of the most widely tracked A-share indices with passive tracking products listed in multiple markets globally. There are CFFEX listed futures that are actively traded as well.
China Securities Index Co (CSI) will most likely announce the changes for the December rebalance after market close on 26 November and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 10 December.
The review period ended on 29 October and we see 26 potential changes at the December rebalance. Of these, 23 are high probability changes with another 3 likely to take place.
Since our last Insight a month ago, the potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletion by 13% with the inclusions rising on average and the deletions dropping on average. The Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) was flat over the period. We recommend trimming positions and waiting for an opportunity to re-enter the trade at lower levels in the next couple of weeks.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 2021): It Was A Good Entry Point

China

WUS Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co., Ltd produces and sells electrical equipments and related products.  The Company's products include double-side circuit board, multi-layers circuit board, and connector for electrical equipments.

Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co,Ltd. (002463 CH)

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Wus Printed Circuit (Kunshan) Co,Ltd. (002463 CH)

Northbound Flows (Jul 7th): ZTE, BYD, Goertek, CATL, CMB, Moutai, Focus Media

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Zte, BYD, Goertek, CATL, CMB, Moutai, Focus Media.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (May 19th): CATL, Advanced Micro, Kunlun Tech, Tianqi Lithium, Sungrow

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for CATL, Advanced Micro, Kunlun Tech, Tianqi Lithium,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Apr 6th): East Money, Muyuan Foods, CTG, Ping An Insurance, Hundsun, CMB, Foxconn

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for East Money, Muyuan Foods, CTG, Ping An Insurance, Hundsun,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CSI300 Index Rebalance: Methodology Tweak Results in More Changes & Larger Turnover

There are 28 changes to the CSI300 index at the Dec rebalance. A few large inclusions plus the expansion of the index universe pushes one-way...

Brian Freitas

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview (Dec 2021): It Was A Good Entry Point

We forecast 26 changes to the CSI300 Index at the December rebalance. The inclusions outperformed the deletions by 13% in October. Trim positions...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)