HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>For Pfizer,orders on COVID-19 vaccine and Paxlovid would generate over US$50 billion revenue in 2022. So whether Pfizer would pursue for new M&amp;A opportunities become the focus of the market.</li>
<li>The oral COVID-19 antivirals are a great opportunity for the development of Chinese API companies, improving the overall valuation. However, CXOs are actually the first to benefit from this market.</li>
<li>If the COVID mutates in a more transmissible direction, the valuation and forecast of related companies in this industrial chain needs readjustment.However, if it doesn’t, the logic would change again.</li>
</ul>


For Pfizer,orders on COVID-19 vaccine and Paxlovid would generate over US$50 billion revenue in 2022. So whether Pfizer would pursue for new M&amp;A opportunities become the focus of the market.
The oral COVID-19 antivirals are a great opportunity for the development of Chinese API companies, improving the overall valuation. However, CXOs are actually the first to benefit from this market.
If the COVID mutates in a more transmissible direction, the valuation and forecast of related companies in this industrial chain needs readjustment.However, if it doesn’t, the logic would change again.


Oral COVID-19 Antivirals and the Impact on China

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 195 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 83.0% as of Jul 17th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.9ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, consumer staples, energy.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Hua Hong Semi, Innocare, Yofc, China Life, Zijin Mining.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 195 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 83.0% as of Jul 17th.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.9ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, consumer staples, energy.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Hua Hong Semi, Innocare, Yofc, China Life, Zijin Mining.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 17th): Hua Hong Semi, Innocare, Yofc, China Life, Zijin Mining

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 10th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Alibaba, Tencent, Kingboard Laminates, Knowledge Atlas, CCB, Yofc, ICBC, Hesai, Ntes, Minimax.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 10th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Alibaba, Tencent, Kingboard Laminates, Knowledge Atlas, CCB, Yofc, ICBC, Hesai, Ntes, Minimax.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Alibaba, Tencent, Kingboard Laminates, Knowledge Atlas, CCB, Yofc, ICBC

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the plunge of CXO/biotech sector last week, the potential impact, the afterwards investment logic, the outlook, and the scenarios when are suitable for related investment.</li>
<li>The big concern is that the underlying logic is shaking and the valuation system has switched. Investors could hope for the best,but it is recommended to prepare for the worst.</li>
<li>Either long or short, don't stand on the opposite side of the broken logic at least.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the plunge of CXO/biotech sector last week, the potential impact, the afterwards investment logic, the outlook, and the scenarios when are suitable for related investment.
The big concern is that the underlying logic is shaking and the valuation system has switched. Investors could hope for the best,but it is recommended to prepare for the worst.
Either long or short, don't stand on the opposite side of the broken logic at least.


The CXO/Biotech Plunge and the Afterwards Investment Logic (2022)

<ul>
<li>We reviewed the 2021 performance and summarized the 2022 outlook for China healthcare sector.</li>
<li>We listed the 2022 high conviction ideas and mainly analyzed the industry characteristics, the business, the core competitiveness, the forecast and the concerns of related companies.</li>
<li>Overall, there are still good investment opportunities in China healthcare industry in 2022.</li>
</ul>


We reviewed the 2021 performance and summarized the 2022 outlook for China healthcare sector.
We listed the 2022 high conviction ideas and mainly analyzed the industry characteristics, the business, the core competitiveness, the forecast and the concerns of related companies.
Overall, there are still good investment opportunities in China healthcare industry in 2022.


2022 High Conviction (China Healthcare) - Seek the Relative Certainties Out of the Uncertainties

China

WuXi AppTec is a global contract research, development, and manufacturing organization (CRDMO) for the pharmaceutical and life sciences industries. It provides integrated, end-to-end services including chemistry drug CRDMO, biology discovery, preclinical testing, and clinical research services for various therapeutic modalities. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

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WuXi AppTec (2359 HK)

Oral COVID-19 Antivirals and the Impact on China

This insight analyzed Pfizer's Paxlovid and Merck’s Molnupiravir after FDA EUA, the global market potential, the impact on China market and related...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 17th): Hua Hong Semi, Innocare, Yofc, China Life, Zijin Mining

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Hua Hong Semi, Innocare, Yofc, China Life, Zijin Mining.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Alibaba, Tencent, Kingboard Laminates, Knowledge Atlas, CCB, Yofc, ICBC

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Jul 10th and highlight short interest changes in Alibaba (9988 HK), Tencent...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

The CXO/Biotech Plunge and the Afterwards Investment Logic (2022)

The article analyzed CXO plunge last week, the potential impact, the investment logic, the outlook on CXO and biotech, the scenarios when are...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

2022 High Conviction (China Healthcare) - Seek the Relative Certainties Out of the Uncertainties

The article analyzed the 2021 review and 2022 high conviction ideas, including the industry characteristics, the business, the core...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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