Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 7th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in AIA, Wuxi Apptec, HSCEI ETF.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 7th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in AIA, Wuxi Apptec, HSCEI ETF.


HK Short Interest Weekly: AIA, Wuxi Apptec, HSCEI ETF

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Double Medical Technology  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be up to 6 changes for the CSI Medical Service Index at the December rebalance with the number of changes mainly driven by the inclusions.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 6.9% and the round-trip trade is estimated at CNY 4.11bn (US$578m). There are 8 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes since June but have underperformed in the short-term. With the review period complete and announcement in 3 weeks, positioning could resume.</li>
</ul>


There could be up to 6 changes for the CSI Medical Service Index at the December rebalance with the number of changes mainly driven by the inclusions.
Estimated one-way turnover is 6.9% and the round-trip trade is estimated at CNY 4.11bn (US$578m). There are 8 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade from passive trackers.
The forecast adds have outperformed the forecast deletes since June but have underperformed in the short-term. With the review period complete and announcement in 3 weeks, positioning could resume.


CSI Medical Service Index Rebalance Preview: Six Potential Changes in December

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 61.6% as of Nov 7th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.4ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, communication services, health care and offset by utilities, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Beone Medicines, China Eastern Airlines, China Citic Bank, Foshan Haitian Flavouring And Food.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 61.6% as of Nov 7th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.4ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, communication services, health care and offset by utilities, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Beone Medicines, China Eastern Airlines, China Citic Bank, Foshan Haitian Flavouring And Food.


A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 7th): Beone Medicines, China Eastern Airlines, China Citic Bank

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

MegaRobo Technologies / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>MegaRobo has established a clear revenue structure and formed a sustainable business model. Core revenue stream is the sale of autonomous agents/multi-agent solutions.Customized solutions and Megalab have high growth potential.</li>
<li>MegaRobo will face competition pressure from international giants in the field of life science automation. The relatively weak international patent layout may affect the process of globalization.</li>
<li>Revenue growth in the next three years would be kept above 30% YoY. The Company is still in the growth stage. A comfortable valuation range could be P/S of 6-8x.</li>
</ul>


MegaRobo has established a clear revenue structure and formed a sustainable business model. Core revenue stream is the sale of autonomous agents/multi-agent solutions.Customized solutions and Megalab have high growth potential.
MegaRobo will face competition pressure from international giants in the field of life science automation. The relatively weak international patent layout may affect the process of globalization.
Revenue growth in the next three years would be kept above 30% YoY. The Company is still in the growth stage. A comfortable valuation range could be P/S of 6-8x.


Pre-IPO MegaRobo Technologies - The Business and the Concerns

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 62.2% as of Oct 31st.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 2.3ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, information technology, financials and offset by real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Sinotrans, Jiangxi Copper, Everbright Securities, Guangzhou Automobile.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 62.2% as of Oct 31st.
The average A-H premium changed by 2.3ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, information technology, financials and offset by real estate.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Sinotrans, Jiangxi Copper, Everbright Securities, Guangzhou Automobile.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 31st): Sinotrans, Jiangxi Copper, Everbright Securities

China

WuXi AppTec Co., Ltd. manufactures medical products. The Company produces biological agents, antibodies, biological diagnostic reagents, and other products. WuXi AppTec also provides biological analysis, technical study, and other services.

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WuXi AppTec (603259 CH)

HK Short Interest Weekly: AIA, Wuxi Apptec, HSCEI ETF

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 7th and highlight short interest changes in AIA, Wuxi Apptec, HSCEI ETF.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CSI Medical Service Index Rebalance Preview: Six Potential Changes in December

There could be 6 changes for the index in Dec. Estimated one-way turnover is 6.9% and the round-trip trade is estimated at US$578m. There are 8...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (Nov 7th): Beone Medicines, China Eastern Airlines, China Citic Bank

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Beone Medicines, China Eastern Airlines, China Citic Bank,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Pre-IPO MegaRobo Technologies - The Business and the Concerns

MegaRobo has established a clear revenue structure and a sustainable business model, but will face competition from international giants/domestic...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 31st): Sinotrans, Jiangxi Copper, Everbright Securities

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Sinotrans, Jiangxi Copper, Everbright Securities, Guangzhou...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)