Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 30th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tencent (700 HK), Xiaomi Corporation (1810 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 30th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Tencent (700 HK), Xiaomi Corporation (1810 HK).


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Aug 30th): Tencent, Xiaomi Corporation

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>WuXi XDC’s YoY revenue growth rate fell to double-digit while it was kept triple-digit growth rate in previous periods. How much revenue generated from backlog isn’t within WuXi XDC’s control. </li>
<li>The significance of healthy growth of the global ADC market is that the good story of ADC CXO is able to continue. So, WuXi XDC’s short-term performance growth is guaranteed.</li>
<li>The establishment of an independent biopharmaceutical supply chain based on US national security concerns is inevitable. So, WuXi XDC’s stock price performance is more influenced by geopolitical conflicts than fundamentals. </li>
</ul>


WuXi XDC’s YoY revenue growth rate fell to double-digit while it was kept triple-digit growth rate in previous periods. How much revenue generated from backlog isn’t within WuXi XDC’s control. 
The significance of healthy growth of the global ADC market is that the good story of ADC CXO is able to continue. So, WuXi XDC’s short-term performance growth is guaranteed.
The establishment of an independent biopharmaceutical supply chain based on US national security concerns is inevitable. So, WuXi XDC’s stock price performance is more influenced by geopolitical conflicts than fundamentals. 


WuXi XDC Cayman (2268.HK) 24H1- High Growth of ADC Market Ensures Investment Logic, but Risks Remain

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

Bicara Therapeutics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Bicara Therapeutics, a clinical-stage biotech company with focus on the treatment of patients with HPV-negative head and neck cancer, files for a $200M IPO.</li>
<li>The biotech firm was backed by Biocon Limited, India’s largest biopharmaceutical company, venture capital and investment firms, among others.  </li>
<li>I believe Bicara Therapeutics will succeed in its pivotal Phase 2/3 trial of their bifunctional antibody in combination with Keytruda (pembrolizumab) during 2025.</li>
</ul>


Bicara Therapeutics, a clinical-stage biotech company with focus on the treatment of patients with HPV-negative head and neck cancer, files for a $200M IPO.
The biotech firm was backed by Biocon Limited, India’s largest biopharmaceutical company, venture capital and investment firms, among others.  
I believe Bicara Therapeutics will succeed in its pivotal Phase 2/3 trial of their bifunctional antibody in combination with Keytruda (pembrolizumab) during 2025.


Bicara Therapeutics IPO: A Promising Combination with Merck’s Keytruda For Patients With HNSCC

<ul>
<li>WuXi Bio's 24H1 performance is disappointing. Since XDC has become new growth driver for WuXi Bio, why continue to invest in WuXi Bio instead of directly investing in WuXi XDC?</li>
<li>Production capacity expansion is aggressive, with high personnel salaries/cost pressure. Without sustained growth in high-margin orders, WuXi Bio's profitability will continue to decline. Gross margin may not bounce back quickly.</li>
<li>The mid-to-late stage order increment in US would be dominated by Japanese/Korean CXO. Without a definitive long-term logic, valuation cannot return to previous highs. Any rebound is difficult to sustain.</li>
</ul>


WuXi Bio's 24H1 performance is disappointing. Since XDC has become new growth driver for WuXi Bio, why continue to invest in WuXi Bio instead of directly investing in WuXi XDC?
Production capacity expansion is aggressive, with high personnel salaries/cost pressure. Without sustained growth in high-margin orders, WuXi Bio's profitability will continue to decline. Gross margin may not bounce back quickly.
The mid-to-late stage order increment in US would be dominated by Japanese/Korean CXO. Without a definitive long-term logic, valuation cannot return to previous highs. Any rebound is difficult to sustain.


Wuxi Biologics (2269.HK) 24H1 - The Best Semi-Annual Report for the Next Three Years?

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 16th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Baba, Wuxi Bio, HSBC, Galaxy Ent, Link Reit.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 16th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Baba, Wuxi Bio, HSBC, Galaxy Ent, Link Reit.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Baba, Wuxi Bio, HSBC, Galaxy Ent, Link Reit

China

WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc. is a leading open-access R&D capability and technology platform company serving the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, and medical device industries, with operations in China, U.S., and Iceland.  We provide a broad and integrated portfolio of laboratory and manufacturing services throughout the drug and medical device R&D process.  Our services are designed to help our global partners in shortening the cycle and lowering the cost of drug and medical device R&D through cost-effective and efficient solutions. 

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Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK)

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Aug 30th): Tencent, Xiaomi Corporation

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Tencent (700 HK), Xiaomi Corporation (1810 HK).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

WuXi XDC Cayman (2268.HK) 24H1- High Growth of ADC Market Ensures Investment Logic, but Risks Remain

Global ADC market growth ensures short-term performance stability,but WuXi XDC faces challenges due to factors beyond its control.Geopolitical...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Bicara Therapeutics IPO: A Promising Combination with Merck’s Keytruda For Patients With HNSCC

Bicara Therapeutics, backed by Biocon Limited, files for a $200M IPO in the United States. Their bifunctional antibody in combination with...

Andrei Zakharov