Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

Mobvoi Information Technology Company Limited is a technological company headquartered in Beijing, China that sells and develops consumer electronics and Chinese voice recognition, natural language processing, and vertical search technology in-house.

<ul>
<li>Mobvoi, an emerging AIGC market player in China, set terms for an IPO and plans to raise ~HK$330M (~$42M) in Hong Kong. CICC and CMB International are leading the offering.</li>
<li>The initial public offering is expected to be between HK$3.70 and HK$4.10. At the midpoint of the range, Mobvoi has a market value of ~HK$5.8B based on 1491.5M outstanding shares.</li>
<li>In my insight, I discuss valuation framework for comparable company analysis and outline revenue growth scenarios for each business segment under my base case.</li>
</ul>


Mobvoi, an emerging AIGC market player in China, set terms for an IPO and plans to raise ~HK$330M (~$42M) in Hong Kong. CICC and CMB International are leading the offering.
The initial public offering is expected to be between HK$3.70 and HK$4.10. At the midpoint of the range, Mobvoi has a market value of ~HK$5.8B based on 1491.5M outstanding shares.
In my insight, I discuss valuation framework for comparable company analysis and outline revenue growth scenarios for each business segment under my base case.


Upcoming Mobvoi’s Debut: Downsized IPO Despite Hyper-Growth In AIGC Business Segment

Horizon Robotics / Equity Capital Markets

Horizon Robotics Inc develops chips for robots. The Compnay develops artificial intelligence chips for smart driving, smart retailing, and other fields. Horizon Robotics markets its products throughout China.

<ul>
<li>Horizon Robotics, a consumer-centric and fast-growing provider of integrated ADAS and AD solutions for passenger vehicles, filed for an IPO and plans to raise up to $500M in Hong Kong.</li>
<li>Horizon Robotics was founded in 2015 by Dr. Yu Kai, Dr. Chang Huang, Ms. Feiwen Tao, and a group of scientists and tech entrepreneurs. </li>
<li>I have a positive view of an upcoming IPO and believe Horizon Robotics is in a great position to capitalize on rapidly growing smart vehicles market in China and worldwide.</li>
</ul>


Horizon Robotics, a consumer-centric and fast-growing provider of integrated ADAS and AD solutions for passenger vehicles, filed for an IPO and plans to raise up to $500M in Hong Kong.
Horizon Robotics was founded in 2015 by Dr. Yu Kai, Dr. Chang Huang, Ms. Feiwen Tao, and a group of scientists and tech entrepreneurs. 
I have a positive view of an upcoming IPO and believe Horizon Robotics is in a great position to capitalize on rapidly growing smart vehicles market in China and worldwide.


Horizon Robotics IPO Preview: “Journey Together”, Strong Business Position and Market Share Gains

Rubrik, Inc. operates as a cloud data management and data security company. The Company offers a platform which helps enterprises to achieve resilience against cyber-attacks, malicious insiders, operational disruptions, cloud mobility, and regulatory compliance. Rubrik serves government, health care, legal, and financial industries worldwide.

<ul>
<li>Rubrik, a leading VC-backed security software company, filed for a long-awaited IPO in the United States, with Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, Barclays and Wells Fargo leading the offering. </li>
<li>The technology company is focused on data protection and helps organizations to protect their data and recover it in case of cyberattacks.</li>
<li>Rubrik was founded by Bipul Sinha, Arvind Nithrakashyap, Arvind Jain and Soham Mazumdar, and backed by VC investors, including Lightspeed Venture Partners, Greylock Partners and Khosla Ventures.</li>
</ul>


Rubrik, a leading VC-backed security software company, filed for a long-awaited IPO in the United States, with Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, Barclays and Wells Fargo leading the offering. 
The technology company is focused on data protection and helps organizations to protect their data and recover it in case of cyberattacks.
Rubrik was founded by Bipul Sinha, Arvind Nithrakashyap, Arvind Jain and Soham Mazumdar, and backed by VC investors, including Lightspeed Venture Partners, Greylock Partners and Khosla Ventures.


Rubrik IPO Preview and Valuation Analysis: 2024’s Hottest SaaS Investment Opportunity

Ibotta, Inc. provides e-commerce software solutions. The Company offers free-to-use performance marketing platform that allows brands to deliver digital promotions and cash rewards to its users for making purchases at brands and retail partners in-stores, on mobile applications, and via websites through a network of publishers. Ibotta serves customers in the United States.

<ul>
<li>In my insight, I discuss valuation framework for comparable company analysis and outline revenue growth scenario under my base case.</li>
<li>Considering Ibotta achieved profitability in 2023 driven by strong growth in the segment of third-party publishers, I view EV/Revenue as the most appropriate methodology to value Ibotta.</li>
<li>I have a positive view of the upcoming Ibotta IPO. The company’s efficient B2B2C business model, success-based marketing approach and scale provide Ibotta with a long runway of growth.</li>
</ul>


In my insight, I discuss valuation framework for comparable company analysis and outline revenue growth scenario under my base case.
Considering Ibotta achieved profitability in 2023 driven by strong growth in the segment of third-party publishers, I view EV/Revenue as the most appropriate methodology to value Ibotta.
I have a positive view of the upcoming Ibotta IPO. The company’s efficient B2B2C business model, success-based marketing approach and scale provide Ibotta with a long runway of growth.


Equity Bottom-Up

Astera Labs, Inc. operates as a fabless semiconductor company. The Company offers product portfolio includes system-aware semiconductor integrated circuits, boards, and services to enable robust PCI Express connectivity. Astera Labs serves customers worldwide.

<ul>
<li>Astera Labs, an overvalued fabless semiconductor company, has completed its IPO and raised ~$565M of net proceeds in the offering. The IPO was priced at $36/share.</li>
<li>Astera Labs shares jumped 70%+ in their first trading day and finished session at $62.03. The stock peaked at $95.21 on Tuesday and fell ~21% over the next 2 days.</li>
<li>According to their prospectus, ~5.9M shares of Astera Labs will be available for sale following the public release of earnings for 1Q’24, which I expect to be announced in April.</li>
</ul>


Astera Labs, an overvalued fabless semiconductor company, has completed its IPO and raised ~$565M of net proceeds in the offering. The IPO was priced at $36/share.
Astera Labs shares jumped 70%+ in their first trading day and finished session at $62.03. The stock peaked at $95.21 on Tuesday and fell ~21% over the next 2 days.
According to their prospectus, ~5.9M shares of Astera Labs will be available for sale following the public release of earnings for 1Q’24, which I expect to be announced in April.


Astera Labs: Early Lock-Up Expiry Is Coming, ~$450M Worth of Shares Will Be Available For Sale

A highly collaborative investment professional and US software research analyst with 10+ years of international experience in equity research, treasury operations, and trading positions across multiple asset classes at leading multinational banks Citibank and Morgan Stanley, UHNWI-backed family office and European independent equity research firm. A respectable background in equity capital markets, corporate treasury, investment banking operations, equity research analysis and portfolio management.

Andrei Zakharov
Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Upcoming Mobvoi’s Debut: Downsized IPO Despite Hyper-Growth In AIGC Business Segment

Mobvoi is expected to price its IPO next week and I have a positive long-term view on the high-growth name in AIGC business segment

Andrei Zakharov

Rubrik IPO Preview and Valuation Analysis: 2024’s Hottest SaaS Investment Opportunity

In my in-depth insight, I highlight Rubrik's potential as a top investment opportunity in the software IPO market this year

Andrei Zakharov

Ibotta IPO Valuation Analysis

Ibotta is expected to price its IPO in April. In my insight, I discuss valuation framework for comparable company analysis under my base case...

Andrei Zakharov

Astera Labs: Early Lock-Up Expiry Is Coming, ~$450M Worth of Shares Will Be Available For Sale

Astera Labs stock currently trades at 60x my 2024 revenue estimate of $215M and I view valuation multiples as unsustainable given upcoming early...

Andrei Zakharov

Upcoming Mobvoi’s Debut: Downsized IPO Despite Hyper-Growth In AIGC Business Segment

Mobvoi is expected to price its IPO next week and I have a positive long-term view on the high-growth name in AIGC business segment

Andrei Zakharov

Horizon Robotics IPO Preview: “Journey Together”, Strong Business Position and Market Share Gains

China’s Horizon Robotics, a leading provider of ADAS and AD solutions for smart vehicles, filed for an IPO and may raise up to $500M in Hong Kong.

Andrei Zakharov

Rubrik IPO Preview and Valuation Analysis: 2024’s Hottest SaaS Investment Opportunity

In my in-depth insight, I highlight Rubrik's potential as a top investment opportunity in the software IPO market this year

Andrei Zakharov

Ibotta IPO Valuation Analysis

Ibotta is expected to price its IPO in April. In my insight, I discuss valuation framework for comparable company analysis under my base case...

Andrei Zakharov

Astera Labs: Early Lock-Up Expiry Is Coming, ~$450M Worth of Shares Will Be Available For Sale

Astera Labs stock currently trades at 60x my 2024 revenue estimate of $215M and I view valuation multiples as unsustainable given upcoming early...

Andrei Zakharov