Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>China (Shanghai Composite) has been a major focus ever since our July 3 report titled "China and Japan Breaking Out," and it's pulling back toward 10-year base support at 3675-3725;buy.</li>
<li>Japan's TOPIX and TOPIX Small indexes remain bullish (BUY), but RS remains below multi-month resistances; we would upgrade Japan to overweight on RS breakouts.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
China (Shanghai Composite) has been a major focus ever since our July 3 report titled "China and Japan Breaking Out," and it's pulling back toward 10-year base support at 3675-3725;buy.
Japan's TOPIX and TOPIX Small indexes remain bullish (BUY), but RS remains below multi-month resistances; we would upgrade Japan to overweight on RS breakouts.


Buys in Japan and Europe; China Pulling Back -- Buy; MSCI ACWI Uptrend Intact

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Simcere Pharmaceutical Group / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/simcere-pharmaceutical-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29186:1" rel="noopener">Simcere Pharmaceutical Group (2096 HK)</a> is looking to raise around US$200m via a top-up placement.</li>
<li>This is the first primary raising by the company since its listing. There have been a few secondary deals, with mixed results.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Simcere Pharmaceutical Group (2096 HK) is looking to raise around US$200m via a top-up placement.
This is the first primary raising by the company since its listing. There have been a few secondary deals, with mixed results.
In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Simcere Pharma Placement - First Primary Raising, past Deals Have Been Mixed

Akeso Biopharma Inc / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akeso-biopharma-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28830:1" rel="noopener">Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK)</a> is looking to raise around US$460m from a mix of primary placement and selldown by its founders.</li>
<li>Past deals in the name have been mixed, but the shares have been doing well and the deal size remains small.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK) is looking to raise around US$460m from a mix of primary placement and selldown by its founders.
Past deals in the name have been mixed, but the shares have been doing well and the deal size remains small.
In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Akeso Inc Placement - Another Opportunistic Raise, Mixed past Deal but Is Relatively Small

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>WuXi Bio’s 25H1 growth was driven by XDC against the backdrop of BD wave of innovative drug assets. Coupled with biotech booming market, we witnessed obvious recovery in CXO’s performance. </li>
<li>Intensive share reduction by major shareholders has weakened market confidence in long-term value. Given Li Ge's rich experience in capital operation, WuXi Bio’s valuation potential may have been fully realized.</li>
<li>Current investment logic has shifted to the growth of overseas BD/licensing cooperation based on China’s low-priced but high-quality innovative drugs due to engineer dividend, which may have certain growth ceilings.</li>
</ul>


WuXi Bio’s 25H1 growth was driven by XDC against the backdrop of BD wave of innovative drug assets. Coupled with biotech booming market, we witnessed obvious recovery in CXO’s performance. 
Intensive share reduction by major shareholders has weakened market confidence in long-term value. Given Li Ge's rich experience in capital operation, WuXi Bio’s valuation potential may have been fully realized.
Current investment logic has shifted to the growth of overseas BD/licensing cooperation based on China’s low-priced but high-quality innovative drugs due to engineer dividend, which may have certain growth ceilings.


Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK) 25H1 - Concerns Behind the Performance Rebound

Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hansoh-pharmaceutical-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23675:1" rel="noopener">Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK)</a> aims to raise around US$500m via a primary placement.</li>
<li>The stock has done exceptionally well this year but is now trading at near its all-time highs and it doesn’t really need the cash.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK) aims to raise around US$500m via a primary placement.
The stock has done exceptionally well this year but is now trading at near its all-time highs and it doesn’t really need the cash.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Hansoh Pharma Placement - Somewhat Expected but Still Opportunistic

China

WuXi XDC Cayman Inc. operates as a leading contract testing, development and manufacturing organization focused on the global antibody drug conjugates and broader bioconjugate market. The Company provides bioconjugation discovery, analytical development, intermediate and conjugation manufacturing, and other services. WuXi XDC Cayman provides its services worldwide.

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WuXi XDC Cayman (2268 HK)

Buys in Japan and Europe; China Pulling Back -- Buy; MSCI ACWI Uptrend Intact

Buys in Japan and Europe; China's Shanghai Composite Pulling Back to 10-year Base Support -- Buy; MSCI $ACWI Uptrend Intact. Actionable Themes:...

Vermilion Research

Simcere Pharma Placement - First Primary Raising, past Deals Have Been Mixed

Simcere Pharmaceutical Group (2096 HK) is looking to raise around US$200m via a top-up placement. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Akeso Inc Placement - Another Opportunistic Raise, Mixed past Deal but Is Relatively Small

Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK) is looking to raise around US$460m from a mix of primary placement and selldown by its founders. In this note, we...

Sumeet Singh

Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK) 25H1 - Concerns Behind the Performance Rebound

WuXi Bio's growth driven by XDC, with focus on overseas licensing cooperation for growth potential. Intensive share reduction by major...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hansoh Pharma Placement - Somewhat Expected but Still Opportunistic

Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK) aims to raise around US$500m via a primary placement. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Buys in Japan and Europe; China Pulling Back -- Buy; MSCI ACWI Uptrend Intact

Buys in Japan and Europe; China's Shanghai Composite Pulling Back to 10-year Base Support -- Buy; MSCI $ACWI Uptrend Intact. Actionable Themes:...

Vermilion Research

Simcere Pharma Placement - First Primary Raising, past Deals Have Been Mixed

Simcere Pharmaceutical Group (2096 HK) is looking to raise around US$200m via a top-up placement. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

Akeso Inc Placement - Another Opportunistic Raise, Mixed past Deal but Is Relatively Small

Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK) is looking to raise around US$460m from a mix of primary placement and selldown by its founders. In this note, we...

Sumeet Singh

Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK) 25H1 - Concerns Behind the Performance Rebound

​WuXi Bio's growth driven by XDC, with focus on overseas licensing cooperation for growth potential. Intensive share reduction by major...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hansoh Pharma Placement - Somewhat Expected but Still Opportunistic

Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK) aims to raise around US$500m via a primary placement. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

WuXi Bio's growth driven by XDC, with focus on overseas licensing cooperation for growth potential. Intensive share reduction by major...