Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Despite wide market skepticism,  macro data pointed to shaky but persist recovery. If Trump Tariff 2.0 is delayed, a macro policy overdose is possible; </li>
<li>What does China's EV sector look like in 2025? Our take is robust growth coupled with continuous exits and consolidations;</li>
<li>Is reckless price war the inevitable China story line? Luckin, BYD and Xiaomi showed they want something different this week.</li>
</ul>


Despite wide market skepticism,  macro data pointed to shaky but persist recovery. If Trump Tariff 2.0 is delayed, a macro policy overdose is possible; 
What does China's EV sector look like in 2025? Our take is robust growth coupled with continuous exits and consolidations;
Is reckless price war the inevitable China story line? Luckin, BYD and Xiaomi showed they want something different this week.


[Blue Lotus China Growth Equity Weekly (3/52)] Recovery Persist, Focus on Profitablity New

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) / Event-Driven

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC)

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND gross trading activity was again not stronger per day than the previous several weeks, but SB Net Buying was again BIG. Given the change in Tencent, remarkable even.</li>
<li>The story was follow-through, but SMIC and Xiaomi were also big buys. This is shaping up to be a "let's buy what US Persons cannot" moment.</li>
<li>No sectors saw net selling through CCASS data five days to Weds. Top 10 activity was quite concentrated this week. Very few stray names.</li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND gross trading activity was again not stronger per day than the previous several weeks, but SB Net Buying was again BIG. Given the change in Tencent, remarkable even.
The story was follow-through, but SMIC and Xiaomi were also big buys. This is shaping up to be a "let's buy what US Persons cannot" moment.
No sectors saw net selling through CCASS data five days to Weds. Top 10 activity was quite concentrated this week. Very few stray names.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 17 Jan 2025); Again Big Net Buying by SB, Again on Tech

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

Luxshare Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Apple suppliers shifting focus to India and China for iPhone production growth, adapting supply chains to changing markets.</li><li>Jensen Huang boosting AI chip production by visiting SPIL's new Taiwan factory; Huawei's Mate X6 smartphone making global comeback in EMEA markets.</li><li>TSMC forecasting 5% revenue decrease in 1Q25, setting record capex for 2025; India-US tech ties in jeopardy due to export controls on AI chips.</li></ul>

Apple suppliers shifting focus to India and China for iPhone production growth, adapting supply chains to changing markets.Jensen Huang boosting AI chip production by visiting SPIL's new Taiwan factory; Huawei's Mate X6 smartphone making global comeback in EMEA markets.TSMC forecasting 5% revenue decrease in 1Q25, setting record capex for 2025; India-US tech ties in jeopardy due to export controls on AI chips.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (17-Jan-2025): Apple's supply chain shifts to India and China.

<ul><li>Infineon expands presence in Southeast Asia with new fab in Thailand for backend operations, strengthening its manufacturing capabilities in the region.</li><li>Biden's AI rules emphasize closed models, sparking discussion about the importance of open-source technology development in the industry.</li><li>EU urges Trump to lift AI export ban affecting 17 member states, imposed by Biden, to facilitate international cooperation in the field of artificial intelligence.</li></ul>

Infineon expands presence in Southeast Asia with new fab in Thailand for backend operations, strengthening its manufacturing capabilities in the region.Biden's AI rules emphasize closed models, sparking discussion about the importance of open-source technology development in the industry.EU urges Trump to lift AI export ban affecting 17 member states, imposed by Biden, to facilitate international cooperation in the field of artificial intelligence.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (16-Jan-2025): Infineon builds new fab in Thailand

<ul><li>TSMC ends partnership with PowerAIR in Singapore over Huawei worries, impacting supply chain in tech industry. </li><li>China retaliates against US with customs actions; CXMT starts manufacturing DDR5 chips, meeting demand for next-gen technology.</li><li>India plans display fabrication facility, offering growth potential but encountering challenges. Luxshare's purchase of Wingtech ODM to enhance design capabilities, reduce reliance on Apple, and boost tech industry prowess.</li></ul>

TSMC ends partnership with PowerAIR in Singapore over Huawei worries, impacting supply chain in tech industry. China retaliates against US with customs actions; CXMT starts manufacturing DDR5 chips, meeting demand for next-gen technology.India plans display fabrication facility, offering growth potential but encountering challenges. Luxshare's purchase of Wingtech ODM to enhance design capabilities, reduce reliance on Apple, and boost tech industry prowess.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (14-Jan-2025): TSMC ends PowerAIR Huawei partnership.

China

Xiaomi Corporation manufactures communication equipment and parts. The Company produces and sells mobile phones, smart phone software,  set-top boxes, and related accessories. Xiaomi markets its products worldwide.

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Xiaomi (1810 HK)

[Blue Lotus China Growth Equity Weekly (3/52)] Recovery Persist, Focus on Profitablity New

This week's macro data pointed to gradual recovery. We also found new focus on profitability by leading companies, which is a good sign.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 17 Jan 2025); Again Big Net Buying by SB, Again on Tech

SOUTHBOUND continues to buy heavily in tech and finance. Gross flows remain light but net flows are very strong. AH Premia are now the lowest in...

Travis Lundy

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (17-Jan-2025): Apple's supply chain shifts to India and China.

Apple, Huawei, TSMC, and Acer make moves in the tech industry while US-India tech ties face challenges and Trump's response to economic crisis...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (16-Jan-2025): Infineon builds new fab in Thailand

Infineon expands in Thailand, Biden's AI rules spark discussion, EU urges Trump to lift export ban, Indichip & Yitoa to build SiC fab in India, CES...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (14-Jan-2025): TSMC ends PowerAIR Huawei partnership.

TSMC severs relationship with PowerAIR over Huawei worries, China responds to US with customs actions, CXMT starts DDR5 production; India plans...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

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