Research from Quam Securities, Quam Securities

Quam Securities Research

Research from Quam Securities

Quam Securities

Since its inception in 1986, Quam Securities Limited (Quam Securities) has grown to become one of the few mid-tier securities brokerages in Hong Kong with global execution capabilities for both private and institutional clients. It boasts a well-established network in Greater China including Taiwan and in major world markets through the Global Alliance Partners (GAP). Quam Securities is well-positioned not only to harness and drive business within the China Tonghai International Financial Limited but also between China and the world markets.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div><div><div><div><ul><li>Despite shipment continued to fall y/y, all major markets experienced deceleration in decline.</li><li>DMs like US &amp; W Europe did better with more material deceleration, which helped Apple to solidify its market position.</li><li>EMs remained weak with APAC (ex-Jap &amp; China), CEE and MEA falling 17-20% y/y, which was a bigger headache to the Android camp, especially the Chinese players, among which, Xiaomi had relatively poorer performance.</li></ul></div></div></div></div>

Despite shipment continued to fall y/y, all major markets experienced deceleration in decline.DMs like US &amp; W Europe did better with more material deceleration, which helped Apple to solidify its market position.EMs remained weak with APAC (ex-Jap &amp; China), CEE and MEA falling 17-20% y/y, which was a bigger headache to the Android camp, especially the Chinese players, among which, Xiaomi had relatively poorer performance.

Smartphone – Global Vs China Decelerated Downtrends

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>IDC released 4Q22 global smartphone shipment with 18% YoY decline (vs -9.3% in 3Q22), mainly due to weak consumer demand, rising inflation and China COVID-19 impact.</li><li>For 2022, global smartphone shipment fell 11% YoY to 1.21bn unit, marking the lowest annual shipment since 2013.</li><li>By brand, Apple/ Samsung/Xiaomi/Oppo/Vivo declined 15%/16%/26%/16%/19% YoY in 4Q22.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

IDC released 4Q22 global smartphone shipment with 18% YoY decline (vs -9.3% in 3Q22), mainly due to weak consumer demand, rising inflation and China COVID-19 impact.For 2022, global smartphone shipment fell 11% YoY to 1.21bn unit, marking the lowest annual shipment since 2013.By brand, Apple/ Samsung/Xiaomi/Oppo/Vivo declined 15%/16%/26%/16%/19% YoY in 4Q22.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology - 4Q22 Global Smartphone Shipment Down 18% YoY

<ul><li>According to Bloomberg, India is considering imposing restriction on low-end smartphone (ASP &lt; US$150) from China. Chinese brands dominate India and, among the top-5 players, Chinese brands combined had a market share of 65% in 6M22.</li><li>If we use 1Q22 data, which has more detailed breakdown for smaller players, Chinese brands captured 74% of the market in India.</li><li>The policy, if implemented, would hit Xiaomi (1810 HK, NR) as India was the second largest smartphone market for the company in both 2021 and 6M2022, when the company was also the market leader in India in both periods.</li></ul>

According to Bloomberg, India is considering imposing restriction on low-end smartphone (ASP &lt; US$150) from China. Chinese brands dominate India and, among the top-5 players, Chinese brands combined had a market share of 65% in 6M22.If we use 1Q22 data, which has more detailed breakdown for smaller players, Chinese brands captured 74% of the market in India.The policy, if implemented, would hit Xiaomi (1810 HK, NR) as India was the second largest smartphone market for the company in both 2021 and 6M2022, when the company was also the market leader in India in both periods.

Tactical Trade Ideas - India May Restrict Low-End Chinese Smartphones

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Apple’s (AAPL US, NR) FY4Q25 (CY3Q25) results were solid, with revenue growth of 8% YoY and adjusted EPS growth of 13% YoY, driven by iPhone/Mac sales (+6%/13% YoY) and record Service revenue (+15% YoY), offsetting weakness in Greater China (-4% YoY) due to supply constraints on strong iPhone 16/17 demand.</li><li>For FY1Q26E (CY4Q25E), mgmt. guided for 10-12% YoY revenue growth, double-digit iPhone revenue growth and resilient GPM of 47-48%, which includes US$1.4bn tariff impact (vs US$1.1bn in 4Q).</li><li>We believe this set of robust guidance should alleviate market concerns, especially given ongoing supply constraints for iPhone 17 and reduction in channel inventories QoQ. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Apple’s (AAPL US, NR) FY4Q25 (CY3Q25) results were solid, with revenue growth of 8% YoY and adjusted EPS growth of 13% YoY, driven by iPhone/Mac sales (+6%/13% YoY) and record Service revenue (+15% YoY), offsetting weakness in Greater China (-4% YoY) due to supply constraints on strong iPhone 16/17 demand.For FY1Q26E (CY4Q25E), mgmt. guided for 10-12% YoY revenue growth, double-digit iPhone revenue growth and resilient GPM of 47-48%, which includes US$1.4bn tariff impact (vs US$1.1bn in 4Q).We believe this set of robust guidance should alleviate market concerns, especially given ongoing supply constraints for iPhone 17 and reduction in channel inventories QoQ. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Technology - Apple FY4Q25 Read-Through: Resilient IPhone/Services Momentum...

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Topline Securities

Topline Securities

Topline Securities is one of the fastest growing brokerage houses in Pakistan. It has strong equity brokerage, economic / equity research, mutual fund distribution, commodity trading and corporate finance & advisory functions. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Air Link Communication / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Air Link Communication (AIRLINK) held its Corporate Briefing Session today, following the announcement of 1QFY26 results.</li><li>In 1QFY26, the company reported consolidated earnings of Rs1,583mn (EPS of Rs4.01), up 88% YoY and down 16% QoQ.</li><li>Net sales clocked in at Rs24bn, up 11% YoY and 30% QoQ. The QoQ growth in sales is primarily due to higher sales volumes during the quarter, following subdued sales in 4QFY25 due to supply chain disruptions amid regional conflicts.</li></ul>

Air Link Communication (AIRLINK) held its Corporate Briefing Session today, following the announcement of 1QFY26 results.In 1QFY26, the company reported consolidated earnings of Rs1,583mn (EPS of Rs4.01), up 88% YoY and down 16% QoQ.Net sales clocked in at Rs24bn, up 11% YoY and 30% QoQ. The QoQ growth in sales is primarily due to higher sales volumes during the quarter, following subdued sales in 4QFY25 due to supply chain disruptions amid regional conflicts.

Topline Flash Note: Airlink Communication - AIRLINK - Corporate Briefing Key Takeaways

China

Xiaomi is a Chinese multinational corporation specializing in consumer electronics and technology, primarily known for its smartphones (Mi, Redmi, POCO series) and a wide range of AIoT (Artificial Intelligence of Things) devices, including smart home products, wearables, and laptops. The company also provides internet services, including its MIUI operating system. Xiaomi was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

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Xiaomi (1810 HK)

Smartphone – Global Vs China Decelerated Downtrends

Despite shipment continued to fall y/y, all major markets experienced deceleration in decline. DMs like US & W Europe did better with more material...

Quam Securities

China Technology - 4Q22 Global Smartphone Shipment Down 18% YoY

IDC released 4Q22 global smartphone shipment with 18% YoY decline (vs -9.3% in 3Q22), mainly due to weak consumer demand, rising inflation and...

CMB International

Tactical Trade Ideas - India May Restrict Low-End Chinese Smartphones

India’s Potential Restriction on Low-End Chinese Smartphones Could Hit 3-4% of Total Revenue. According to Bloomberg, India is considering imposing...

Quam Securities

Technology - Apple FY4Q25 Read-Through: Resilient IPhone/Services Momentum...

Apple’s (AAPL US, NR) FY4Q25 (CY3Q25) results were solid, with revenue growth of 8% YoY and adjusted EPS growth of 13% YoY, driven by iPhone/Mac...

CMB International

Topline Flash Note: Airlink Communication - AIRLINK - Corporate Briefing Key Takeaways

Air Link Communication (AIRLINK) held its Corporate Briefing Session today, following the announcement of 1QFY26 results. In 1QFY26, the company...

Topline Securities

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