HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The 3Q25 results will be testing grounds to justify the multiple expansion, as our coverage saw a 2% downgrade in FY25 earnings since the interim announcement.</li>
<li>Seven stocks will have over 100% YoY earnings growth in 2H25, implying strength in 3Q25 as well. Three stocks, however, will experience earnings decline.</li>
<li>The stronger ones are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-eastern-airlines-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1079:1" rel="noopener">China Eastern Airlines (670 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-electric-group-company-limited-d542164d-4d5a-4ce0-b33e-5fe6bc34722c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8777:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Electric Group Company (2727 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-southern-airlines-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1078:1" rel="noopener">China Southern Airlines (1055 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sany-heavy-equipment-intl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11104:1" rel="noopener">Sany Heavy Equipment (631 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The 3Q25 results will be testing grounds to justify the multiple expansion, as our coverage saw a 2% downgrade in FY25 earnings since the interim announcement.
Seven stocks will have over 100% YoY earnings growth in 2H25, implying strength in 3Q25 as well. Three stocks, however, will experience earnings decline.
The stronger ones are China Eastern Airlines (670 HK), Shanghai Electric Group Company (2727 HK), China Southern Airlines (1055 HK), and Sany Heavy Equipment (631 HK). 


China & HK Strategy: 3Q25 Preview - Beauty and the Beast

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 3rd.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, Tencent, Horizon Robotics, Xiaomi, SMIC, China Mobile, CCB.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 3rd.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, Tencent, Horizon Robotics, Xiaomi, SMIC, China Mobile, CCB.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Oct 3rd): Alibaba, Tencent, Horizon Robotics, Xiaomi, SMIC, China Mobile

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight flows of Alibaba, Horizon Robotics, Meituan, Byd, Xiaomi.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight flows of Alibaba, Horizon Robotics, Meituan, Byd, Xiaomi.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (September): $20bn Inflows

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 59.8% as of Sep 26th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 2.9ppt week-on-week, led by communication services, information technology, financials and offset by real estate, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Cosco Shipping, Zijin Mining, Anjoy Foods, Goldwind, Haier Smart Home, ICBC.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 59.8% as of Sep 26th.
The average A-H premium changed by 2.9ppt week-on-week, led by communication services, information technology, financials and offset by real estate, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Cosco Shipping, Zijin Mining, Anjoy Foods, Goldwind, Haier Smart Home, ICBC.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 26th): Cosco Shipping, Zijin Mining, Anjoy Foods, Goldwind, Haier Smart Home

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 57.0% as of Sep 19th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.8ppt week-on-week, led by industrials, energy, health care and offset by real estate, consumer staples, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Zmj, Yankuang Energy, Liaoning Port, Haier Smart Home, Qingdao Port, China Minsheng Banking.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 57.0% as of Sep 19th.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.8ppt week-on-week, led by industrials, energy, health care and offset by real estate, consumer staples, utilities.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Zmj, Yankuang Energy, Liaoning Port, Haier Smart Home, Qingdao Port, China Minsheng Banking.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 19th): Zmj, Yankuang Energy, Liaoning Port, Haier Smart Home, Qingdao Port

China

Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures wind generator sets, provides consulting service in building and operating wind generating plants, builds and operates middle-sized wind generating plants.

Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology (2208 HK)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Xinjiang Goldwind Science & Technology (2208 HK)

China & HK Strategy: 3Q25 Preview - Beauty and the Beast

3Q25 results will test earnings multiple expansion. Seven stocks will show over 100% YoY earnings growth in 2H25, including China Eastern,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Oct 3rd): Alibaba, Tencent, Horizon Robotics, Xiaomi, SMIC, China Mobile

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Tencent, Horizon Robotics, Xiaomi, SMIC, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (September): $20bn Inflows

We estimate that there were inflows of USD 20,828.1 million into HK Stocks in September. We highlight inflows into Alibaba, Horizon Robotics,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 26th): Cosco Shipping, Zijin Mining, Anjoy Foods, Goldwind, Haier Smart Home

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Cosco Shipping, Zijin Mining, Anjoy Foods, Goldwind, Haier...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 19th): Zmj, Yankuang Energy, Liaoning Port, Haier Smart Home, Qingdao Port

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Zmj, Yankuang Energy, Liaoning Port, Haier Smart Home,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China & HK Strategy: 3Q25 Preview - Beauty and the Beast

​3Q25 results will test earnings multiple expansion. Seven stocks will show over 100% YoY earnings growth in 2H25, including China Eastern,...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Oct 3rd): Alibaba, Tencent, Horizon Robotics, Xiaomi, SMIC, China Mobile

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Tencent, Horizon Robotics, Xiaomi, SMIC, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (September): $20bn Inflows

We estimate that there were inflows of USD 20,828.1 million into HK Stocks in September. We highlight inflows into Alibaba, Horizon Robotics,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 26th): Cosco Shipping, Zijin Mining, Anjoy Foods, Goldwind, Haier Smart Home

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Cosco Shipping, Zijin Mining, Anjoy Foods, Goldwind, Haier...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 19th): Zmj, Yankuang Energy, Liaoning Port, Haier Smart Home, Qingdao Port

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Zmj, Yankuang Energy, Liaoning Port, Haier Smart Home,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

3Q25 results will test earnings multiple expansion. Seven stocks will show over 100% YoY earnings growth in 2H25, including China Eastern,...