External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Maintain BUY. Xpeng’s 1Q25 earnings beat on GPM and government subsidies.</li><li>We further raise our FY25E sales volume and GPM forecasts given the current sales momentum and more new model rollouts in 2H25.</li><li>We are of the view that Xpeng may achieve a breakeven at the net level in 3Q25.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY. Xpeng’s 1Q25 earnings beat on GPM and government subsidies.We further raise our FY25E sales volume and GPM forecasts given the current sales momentum and more new model rollouts in 2H25.We are of the view that Xpeng may achieve a breakeven at the net level in 3Q25.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Xpeng Inc. (XPEV US/9868 HK) - Entered a Virtuous Circle

<ul><li>Upgrade to BUY. The success of Xpeng’s recent two new models, the Mona M03 and P7+ could help Xpeng better understand its target customers’ needs and increase the chance of success for its four new models in 2025.</li><li>We raise our FY25E sales volume forecast to 390,000 units accordingly.</li><li>Such topline growth, along with its improving GPM, could turn Xpeng profitable in FY26E, based on our estimates.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Upgrade to BUY. The success of Xpeng’s recent two new models, the Mona M03 and P7+ could help Xpeng better understand its target customers’ needs and increase the chance of success for its four new models in 2025.We raise our FY25E sales volume forecast to 390,000 units accordingly.Such topline growth, along with its improving GPM, could turn Xpeng profitable in FY26E, based on our estimates.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

XPEV US - Mona M03, P7+’s Success with 3Q24 GPM Beat Could Make Xpeng’s Breakeven Possible

<ul><li>Maintain HOLD. Xpeng’s 2Q24 earnings were largely in line with our forecast. Although we assume its 2H24E sales volume to more than double HoH, we see no loss narrowing HoH in 2H24E.</li><li>We believe that Xpeng’s vehicle gross margin could be capped by the lower-priced Mona models, as the company now bets on these models to boost sales.</li><li>We are of the view that the underlying rationale of such strategy is Xpeng’s diminishing brand image, especially as peers are narrowing the gap in autonomous driving (AD) technologies.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain HOLD. Xpeng’s 2Q24 earnings were largely in line with our forecast. Although we assume its 2H24E sales volume to more than double HoH, we see no loss narrowing HoH in 2H24E.We believe that Xpeng’s vehicle gross margin could be capped by the lower-priced Mona models, as the company now bets on these models to boost sales.We are of the view that the underlying rationale of such strategy is Xpeng’s diminishing brand image, especially as peers are narrowing the gap in autonomous driving (AD) technologies.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Xpeng Inc. (XPEV US) - Mona M03 May Not Be the Game-Changer

<ul><li>Maintain HOLD. Management’s upbeat view on the Mona and the new B-class sedan has probably given investors more confidence in Xpeng’s substantial sales growth in 4Q24 (similar to 4Q23) and FY25.</li><li>We have largely factored in such growth in our prior forecast. 1Q24 GPM was largely lifted by service revenue, as vehicle sales only accounted for 36% of total gross profit.</li><li>We are of the view that Xpeng is still unlikely to turn profitable in FY25E.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain HOLD. Management’s upbeat view on the Mona and the new B-class sedan has probably given investors more confidence in Xpeng’s substantial sales growth in 4Q24 (similar to 4Q23) and FY25.We have largely factored in such growth in our prior forecast. 1Q24 GPM was largely lifted by service revenue, as vehicle sales only accounted for 36% of total gross profit.We are of the view that Xpeng is still unlikely to turn profitable in FY25E.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Xpeng Inc. (XPEV US) - Await More Details About Mona

<ul><li>Maintain HOLD. We cut our FY24E net loss by RMB2.6bn to RMB6.7bn, as the 4Q23 GPM beat and the X9 may contribute a larger portion of sales.</li><li>On the other hand, Xpeng’s model pipeline in 2024 underscored our prior argument that the automaker has not found its brand proposition and comprehensive product mix.</li><li>We still see little signals for Xpeng to turn profitable in the foreseeable future, as it could be difficult for the automaker to achieve sizable sales and 15% GPM at the same time, in our view.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain HOLD. We cut our FY24E net loss by RMB2.6bn to RMB6.7bn, as the 4Q23 GPM beat and the X9 may contribute a larger portion of sales.On the other hand, Xpeng’s model pipeline in 2024 underscored our prior argument that the automaker has not found its brand proposition and comprehensive product mix.We still see little signals for Xpeng to turn profitable in the foreseeable future, as it could be difficult for the automaker to achieve sizable sales and 15% GPM at the same time, in our view.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Xpeng Inc. (XPEV US) - Margin Lift Mixed with Unexciting New Models

China

XPeng Inc. designs, produces, and distributes electric vehicles. The Company designs, develops, manufactures and markets smart smart electric vehicles, as well as finance, parts, and maintenance services. XPeng serves customers in China.

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XPeng (XPEV US)

Xpeng Inc. (XPEV US/9868 HK) - Entered a Virtuous Circle

We further raise our FY25E sales volume and GPM forecasts given the current sales momentum and more new model rollouts in 2H25.

CMB International

XPEV US - Mona M03, P7+’s Success with 3Q24 GPM Beat Could Make Xpeng’s Breakeven Possible

The success of Xpeng’s recent two new models, the Mona M03 and P7+ could help Xpeng better understand its target customers’ needs and increase the...

CMB International

Xpeng Inc. (XPEV US) - Mona M03 May Not Be the Game-Changer

Maintain HOLD. Xpeng’s 2Q24 earnings were largely in line with our forecast. Although we assume its 2H24E sales volume to more than double HoH, we...

CMB International

Xpeng Inc. (XPEV US) - Await More Details About Mona

Management’s upbeat view on the Mona and the new B-class sedan has probably given investors more confidence in Xpeng’s substantial sales growth in...

CMB International

Xpeng Inc. (XPEV US) - Margin Lift Mixed with Unexciting New Models

Maintain HOLD. We cut our FY24E net loss by RMB2.6bn to RMB6.7bn, as the 4Q23 GPM beat and the X9 may contribute a larger portion of sales.

CMB International

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