External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We summarize the Apr 2024 leading indicators as below, including the number of leads, customer flows and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.</li><li>Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15-18 stores for each brand) in 15 cities in China.</li><li>The following data reflect same-store metrics, and the metrics on a company level could be better than these figures, as most players are still expanding their sales network. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Apr 2024 leading indicators as below, including the number of leads, customer flows and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15-18 stores for each brand) in 15 cities in China.The following data reflect same-store metrics, and the metrics on a company level could be better than these figures, as most players are still expanding their sales network. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Leading Indicators, Policy Imply a Strong May

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Maintain HOLD. We cut our FY24E net loss by RMB2.6bn to RMB6.7bn, as the 4Q23 GPM beat and the X9 may contribute a larger portion of sales.</li><li>On the other hand, Xpeng’s model pipeline in 2024 underscored our prior argument that the automaker has not found its brand proposition and comprehensive product mix.</li><li>We still see little signals for Xpeng to turn profitable in the foreseeable future, as it could be difficult for the automaker to achieve sizable sales and 15% GPM at the same time, in our view.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain HOLD. We cut our FY24E net loss by RMB2.6bn to RMB6.7bn, as the 4Q23 GPM beat and the X9 may contribute a larger portion of sales.On the other hand, Xpeng’s model pipeline in 2024 underscored our prior argument that the automaker has not found its brand proposition and comprehensive product mix.We still see little signals for Xpeng to turn profitable in the foreseeable future, as it could be difficult for the automaker to achieve sizable sales and 15% GPM at the same time, in our view.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Xpeng Inc. (XPEV US) - Margin Lift Mixed with Unexciting New Models

<ul><li>We summarize the Feb 2024 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.</li><li>Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Jan 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Feb 2024 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>The industrywide average discounts remained largely flat MoM in Feb 2024, partially due to the Chinese New Year (CNY). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Feb 2024 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Jan 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Feb 2024 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.The industrywide average discounts remained largely flat MoM in Feb 2024, partially due to the Chinese New Year (CNY). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Competition is stiffer than what discounts show

<ul><li>11 Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Feb 2024 NEV sales volumes on 1 Mar 2024.</li><li>Sales volume of the 11 automakers combined fell 19% YoY (ranging from -45% to +503%) and 39% MoM (ranging from -51% to -19%) in Feb 2024 due to the Chinese New Year holiday.</li><li>Li Auto rose YoY, Xpeng fell the most MoM. Li Auto’s deliveries rose 22% YoY and fell 35% MoM to about 20,000 units in Feb 2024, in line with our prior expectation.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

11 Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Feb 2024 NEV sales volumes on 1 Mar 2024.Sales volume of the 11 automakers combined fell 19% YoY (ranging from -45% to +503%) and 39% MoM (ranging from -51% to -19%) in Feb 2024 due to the Chinese New Year holiday.Li Auto rose YoY, Xpeng fell the most MoM. Li Auto’s deliveries rose 22% YoY and fell 35% MoM to about 20,000 units in Feb 2024, in line with our prior expectation.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Feb NEV Sales Fell; More New Models from Mar

<ul><li>Maintain HOLD. We expect Xpeng’s 4Q23E vehicle GPM to turn positive.</li><li>However, such margin lift may not be enough to narrow its net loss significantly in FY24E.</li><li>Although we see possible share price recovery for automakers, Xpeng may lack positive catalysts, as its new models are scheduled in 2H24.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain HOLD. We expect Xpeng’s 4Q23E vehicle GPM to turn positive.However, such margin lift may not be enough to narrow its net loss significantly in FY24E.Although we see possible share price recovery for automakers, Xpeng may lack positive catalysts, as its new models are scheduled in 2H24.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Xpeng Inc. (XPEV US) - Lack of New Model Catalysts

China

XPeng Inc. designs, produces, and distributes electric vehicles. The Company designs, develops, manufactures and markets smart smart electric vehicles, as well as finance, parts, and maintenance services. XPeng serves customers in China.

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XPeng (XPEV US)

Auto - Leading Indicators, Policy Imply a Strong May

We summarize the Apr 2024 leading indicators as below, including the number of leads, customer flows and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li...

CMB International

Xpeng Inc. (XPEV US) - Margin Lift Mixed with Unexciting New Models

Maintain HOLD. We cut our FY24E net loss by RMB2.6bn to RMB6.7bn, as the 4Q23 GPM beat and the X9 may contribute a larger portion of sales.

CMB International

Auto - Competition is stiffer than what discounts show

We summarize the Feb 2024 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report. Note that such discounts for each automaker are...

CMB International

Auto - Feb NEV Sales Fell; More New Models from Mar

11 Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Feb 2024 NEV sales...

CMB International

Xpeng Inc. (XPEV US) - Lack of New Model Catalysts

Although we see possible share price recovery for automakers, Xpeng may lack positive catalysts, as its new models are scheduled in 2H24.

CMB International

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