External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We summarize the Nov 2023 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.</li><li>Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Oct 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Nov retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>Discounts at dealers for most brands continued to widen MoM in Nov 2023, especially in the second half of Nov. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Nov 2023 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Oct 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Nov retail sales volume data have not been released yet.Discounts at dealers for most brands continued to widen MoM in Nov 2023, especially in the second half of Nov. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Year-end price war came a bit earlier in 2023

<ul><li>We summarize the Nov 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.</li><li>Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 major cities in China.</li><li>Note that the following data reflects same-store metrics, and the total new orders and other metrics could rise more than these figures, as most players have reaccelerated their store expansion. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Nov 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 major cities in China.Note that the following data reflects same-store metrics, and the total new orders and other metrics could rise more than these figures, as most players have reaccelerated their store expansion. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Nov 2023 sales volumes on 1 Dec 2023.</li><li>Sales volume of the 11 automakers combined rose 49% YoY (ranging from -17% to +245%) and 2% MoM (ranging from -1% to +48%) in Nov.</li><li>Seven out of the 11 automakers posted their all-time high sales volume in Nov.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Nov 2023 sales volumes on 1 Dec 2023.Sales volume of the 11 automakers combined rose 49% YoY (ranging from -17% to +245%) and 2% MoM (ranging from -1% to +48%) in Nov.Seven out of the 11 automakers posted their all-time high sales volume in Nov.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – NEV Sales Volume MoM Growth Narrowed in Nov

<ul><li>After a strong sales beat in 2023, we expect China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) sales growth to be moderate in 2024E.</li><li>While it is still difficult to identify long-term winner in China’s auto industry, competition, overseas expansion and technological advancement would still be the key topics for 2024.</li><li>Exports, Chinese brands’ market share gain and competition still key topics.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

After a strong sales beat in 2023, we expect China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) sales growth to be moderate in 2024E.While it is still difficult to identify long-term winner in China’s auto industry, competition, overseas expansion and technological advancement would still be the key topics for 2024.Exports, Chinese brands’ market share gain and competition still key topics.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Competition Pushes Technological Advancement, Overseas Expansion

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Maintain HOLD. Although we see upside potential for Xpeng’s FY24E sales volume and revise it up to 0.26mn units, its low GPM could persist until 1H24E</li><li>. We believe the new-model effect from the G6 has been priced in and its current valuation is fair. Its smart-EV brand image could be challenged by Huawei.</li><li>3Q23 GPM miss. Xpeng’s 3Q23 revenue was 2% lower than we had projected. Even excluding the higher-than-expected inventory write-down for the G3i, GPM in 3Q23 was still worse than our prior forecast, partially reflecting the fierce competition that Xpeng faces.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain HOLD. Although we see upside potential for Xpeng’s FY24E sales volume and revise it up to 0.26mn units, its low GPM could persist until 1H24E. We believe the new-model effect from the G6 has been priced in and its current valuation is fair. Its smart-EV brand image could be challenged by Huawei.3Q23 GPM miss. Xpeng’s 3Q23 revenue was 2% lower than we had projected. Even excluding the higher-than-expected inventory write-down for the G3i, GPM in 3Q23 was still worse than our prior forecast, partially reflecting the fierce competition that Xpeng faces.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Xpeng Inc. (XPEV US) – GPM Pressure Persists Despite Possible Sales Beat

China

XPeng Inc. designs, produces, and distributes electric vehicles. The Company designs, develops, manufactures and markets smart smart electric vehicles, as well as finance, parts, and maintenance services. XPeng serves customers in China.

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XPeng (XPEV US)

China Auto Sector – Year-end price war came a bit earlier in 2023

Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Oct 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Nov...

CMB International

China Auto Sector - Nov 2023

We summarize the Nov 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li...

CMB International

China Auto Sector – NEV Sales Volume MoM Growth Narrowed in Nov

Eleven Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap and Aito reported their Nov 2023 sales...

CMB International

China Auto Sector – Competition Pushes Technological Advancement, Overseas Expansion

While it is still difficult to identify long-term winner in China’s auto industry, competition, overseas expansion and technological advancement...

CMB International

Xpeng Inc. (XPEV US) – GPM Pressure Persists Despite Possible Sales Beat

Maintain HOLD. Although we see upside potential for Xpeng’s FY24E sales volume and revise it up to 0.26mn units, its low GPM could persist until 1H24E

CMB International

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