External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Maintain HOLD. Although we see upside potential for Xpeng’s FY24E sales volume and revise it up to 0.26mn units, its low GPM could persist until 1H24E</li><li>. We believe the new-model effect from the G6 has been priced in and its current valuation is fair. Its smart-EV brand image could be challenged by Huawei.</li><li>3Q23 GPM miss. Xpeng’s 3Q23 revenue was 2% lower than we had projected. Even excluding the higher-than-expected inventory write-down for the G3i, GPM in 3Q23 was still worse than our prior forecast, partially reflecting the fierce competition that Xpeng faces.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain HOLD. Although we see upside potential for Xpeng’s FY24E sales volume and revise it up to 0.26mn units, its low GPM could persist until 1H24E. We believe the new-model effect from the G6 has been priced in and its current valuation is fair. Its smart-EV brand image could be challenged by Huawei.3Q23 GPM miss. Xpeng’s 3Q23 revenue was 2% lower than we had projected. Even excluding the higher-than-expected inventory write-down for the G3i, GPM in 3Q23 was still worse than our prior forecast, partially reflecting the fierce competition that Xpeng faces.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Xpeng Inc. (XPEV US) – GPM Pressure Persists Despite Possible Sales Beat

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We summarize the Oct 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.</li><li>Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 major cities in China.</li><li>In general, new orders per store for most brands have been rising MoM since Apr 2023, which have been consistent with our prior projection that NEV market share in China could rise sequentially for the remainder of the year. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Oct 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 major cities in China.In general, new orders per store for most brands have been rising MoM since Apr 2023, which have been consistent with our prior projection that NEV market share in China could rise sequentially for the remainder of the year. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Improving Leading Indicators Imply Strong 4Q23

<ul><li>We summarize the Oct 2023 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.</li><li>Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on weighted average of Sep 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Oct retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>Discounts at dealers for most brands continued to widen MoM in Oct 2023.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Oct 2023 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on weighted average of Sep 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Oct retail sales volume data have not been released yet.Discounts at dealers for most brands continued to widen MoM in Oct 2023.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Oct discounts widened after 3Q23 earnings beat

<ul><li>China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 6% YoY and 3% MoM to 1.97mn units in Sep 2023, 4% higher than our prior forecast.</li><li>YTD retail sales volume rose 4% YoY. Wholesale volume rose 7% YoY and 9% MoM to 2.49mn units in Sep 2023, the best Sep in history, and 9% higher than our prior forecast.</li><li>Wholesale volume rose 7% YoY (or +1.14mn units YoY) YTD, all aided by 67% YoY growth (or +1.14mn units YoY) of exports. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 6% YoY and 3% MoM to 1.97mn units in Sep 2023, 4% higher than our prior forecast.YTD retail sales volume rose 4% YoY. Wholesale volume rose 7% YoY and 9% MoM to 2.49mn units in Sep 2023, the best Sep in history, and 9% higher than our prior forecast.Wholesale volume rose 7% YoY (or +1.14mn units YoY) YTD, all aided by 67% YoY growth (or +1.14mn units YoY) of exports. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Strong 4Q23 sales mixed with rising competition

<ul><li>We summarize the Sep 2023 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.</li><li>Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on weighted average of Aug 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Sep retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>Discounts at dealers for most brands widened MoM in Sep 2023, as the price war persists with more and more competitive product rollouts and raw material price decline. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Sep 2023 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on weighted average of Aug 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Sep retail sales volume data have not been released yet.Discounts at dealers for most brands widened MoM in Sep 2023, as the price war persists with more and more competitive product rollouts and raw material price decline. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Sep discounts widened again

China

XPeng Inc. designs, produces, and distributes electric vehicles. The Company designs, develops, manufactures and markets smart smart electric vehicles, as well as finance, parts, and maintenance services. XPeng serves customers in China.

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XPeng (XPEV US)

Xpeng Inc. (XPEV US) – GPM Pressure Persists Despite Possible Sales Beat

Maintain HOLD. Although we see upside potential for Xpeng’s FY24E sales volume and revise it up to 0.26mn units, its low GPM could persist until 1H24E

CMB International

China Auto Sector – Improving Leading Indicators Imply Strong 4Q23

We summarize the Oct 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li...

CMB International

China Auto Sector – Oct discounts widened after 3Q23 earnings beat

Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on weighted average of Sep 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Oct retail...

CMB International

China Auto Sector – Strong 4Q23 sales mixed with rising competition

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 6% YoY and 3% MoM to 1.97mn units in Sep 2023, 4% higher than our prior forecast.

CMB International

China Auto Sector – Sep discounts widened again

Discounts at dealers for most brands widened MoM in Sep 2023, as the price war persists with more and more competitive product rollouts and raw...

CMB International

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