Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>NIO US: NIO’s losses expanded in the first quarter of 2024, and C2Q likely will see better numbers.(/)</li>
<li>NIO US:  Nio plans to launch the 3rd brand in December to target low end market.(/)</li>
<li>LI US: LI L6 production capacity ramps up and delivery cycle shortens(+)</li>
</ul>


NIO US: NIO’s losses expanded in the first quarter of 2024, and C2Q likely will see better numbers.(/)
NIO US:  Nio plans to launch the 3rd brand in December to target low end market.(/)
LI US: LI L6 production capacity ramps up and delivery cycle shortens(+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:NIO US/LI US/XPEV US/1211 HK/1810 HK

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>We summarize the May 2024 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.</li><li>Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Apr 2024 retail sales volume for each model, as May 2024 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>The industrywide average discounts widened by 0.6ppt MoM in May based on our calculations, the largest MoM increase YTD, mainly driven by German and Japanese brands. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the May 2024 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Apr 2024 retail sales volume for each model, as May 2024 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.The industrywide average discounts widened by 0.6ppt MoM in May based on our calculations, the largest MoM increase YTD, mainly driven by German and Japanese brands. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Foreign Brands’ Pricing System Has Faltered

<ul><li>Chinese automakers including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap, and Xiaomi etc reported their May 2024 sales volumes during 1-2 Jun.</li><li>Total sales volume combined rose 38% YoY (ranging from -22% to +234%) and 12% MoM (ranging from +6% to +43%).</li><li>NIO beat, Li Auto in-line, Xpeng could be restocking. Li Auto delivered about 35,000 units (+36% MoM) in May, with about 13,000 units from the L6, which also implied that the other models’ total deliveries declined MoM in May, based on our calculations.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Chinese automakers including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap, and Xiaomi etc reported their May 2024 sales volumes during 1-2 Jun.Total sales volume combined rose 38% YoY (ranging from -22% to +234%) and 12% MoM (ranging from +6% to +43%).NIO beat, Li Auto in-line, Xpeng could be restocking. Li Auto delivered about 35,000 units (+36% MoM) in May, with about 13,000 units from the L6, which also implied that the other models’ total deliveries declined MoM in May, based on our calculations.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - May NEV Retail Share to Hit 45%; NIO Beat

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In 1Q24, Revenues of Xpeng, Tongcheng, Kanzhun, and Gaotu grew by 62% YoY, 50%, YoY, 43% YoY and 34% YoY.</li>
<li>KE’s revenue decreased by 20% YoY in 1Q24 due to the weak property market.</li>
<li>Bilibili’s value added services revenue grew by 17% YoY and advertising revenue grew by 31% YoY.</li>
</ul>


In 1Q24, Revenues of Xpeng, Tongcheng, Kanzhun, and Gaotu grew by 62% YoY, 50%, YoY, 43% YoY and 34% YoY.
KE’s revenue decreased by 20% YoY in 1Q24 due to the weak property market.
Bilibili’s value added services revenue grew by 17% YoY and advertising revenue grew by 31% YoY.


China Consumption Weekly (27 May 2024): Xpeng, Tongcheng, Kanzhun, Gaotu, KE, Bilibili, and Weibo

<ul>
<li>300274 SZ/DQ US/CSIQ US/JKS US/601615 SH/2208 HK/601012 SH: Domestic new energy installed capacity further slows downDomestic new energy installed capacity further slows down (/////////////)</li>
<li>XPEV US: Xpeng Motors' losses narrowed slightly in the first quarter of 2024 as software sales to Volkswagen increased gross profits (+)</li>
<li>1211HK/LIUS/NIOUS/XPEVUS/TSLAUS:20th week of 2024, BYD fell back a bit while Tesla recovered most of lost ground, Nio and Xiaomi had strong deliveries, and LI once again beat AITO (-/+/+/-/+)</li>
</ul>


300274 SZ/DQ US/CSIQ US/JKS US/601615 SH/2208 HK/601012 SH: Domestic new energy installed capacity further slows downDomestic new energy installed capacity further slows down (/////////////)
XPEV US: Xpeng Motors' losses narrowed slightly in the first quarter of 2024 as software sales to Volkswagen increased gross profits (+)
1211HK/LIUS/NIOUS/XPEVUS/TSLAUS:20th week of 2024, BYD fell back a bit while Tesla recovered most of lost ground, Nio and Xiaomi had strong deliveries, and LI once again beat AITO (-/+/+/-/+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]: 300274SZ/DQ US/CSIQ US/JKSUS/601615SH/2208HK/601012SH/XPEV/1211HK/LI/NIO/TSLA

China

XPeng Inc. designs, produces, and distributes electric vehicles. The Company designs, develops, manufactures and markets smart smart electric vehicles, as well as finance, parts, and maintenance services. XPeng serves customers in China.

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XPeng (XPEV US)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:NIO US/LI US/XPEV US/1211 HK/1810 HK

NIO US reports increased losses in Q1 2024 but expects improvement in Q2; plans to launch 3rd brand for low-end market. LI sees production...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Auto - Foreign Brands’ Pricing System Has Faltered

The industrywide average discounts widened by 0.6ppt MoM in May based on our calculations, the largest MoM increase YTD, mainly driven by German...

CMB International

China Consumption Weekly (27 May 2024): Xpeng, Tongcheng, Kanzhun, Gaotu, KE, Bilibili, and Weibo

In 1Q24, Xpeng, Tongcheng, Kanzhun, and Gaotu grew by 62% YoY, 50%, YoY, 43% YoY and 34% YoY. KE’s revenue decreased by 20% YoY in 1Q24 due to the...

Ming Lu

[Blue Lotus Daily]: 300274SZ/DQ US/CSIQ US/JKSUS/601615SH/2208HK/601012SH/XPEV/1211HK/LI/NIO/TSLA

new energy installed capacity slows down, Xpeng Motors' losses narrow with increased software sales to Volkswagen, BYD falls while Tesla recovers,...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:NIO US/LI US/XPEV US/1211 HK/1810 HK

​NIO US reports increased losses in Q1 2024 but expects improvement in Q2; plans to launch 3rd brand for low-end market. LI sees production...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Auto - Foreign Brands’ Pricing System Has Faltered

The industrywide average discounts widened by 0.6ppt MoM in May based on our calculations, the largest MoM increase YTD, mainly driven by German...

CMB International

Auto - May NEV Retail Share to Hit 45%; NIO Beat

Chinese automakers including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap, and Xiaomi etc reported their May 2024 sales volumes during 1-2 Jun.

CMB International

China Consumption Weekly (27 May 2024): Xpeng, Tongcheng, Kanzhun, Gaotu, KE, Bilibili, and Weibo

In 1Q24, Xpeng, Tongcheng, Kanzhun, and Gaotu grew by 62% YoY, 50%, YoY, 43% YoY and 34% YoY. KE’s revenue decreased by 20% YoY in 1Q24 due to the...

Ming Lu

[Blue Lotus Daily]: 300274SZ/DQ US/CSIQ US/JKSUS/601615SH/2208HK/601012SH/XPEV/1211HK/LI/NIO/TSLA

new energy installed capacity slows down, Xpeng Motors' losses narrow with increased software sales to Volkswagen, BYD falls while Tesla recovers,...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

NIO US reports increased losses in Q1 2024 but expects improvement in Q2; plans to launch 3rd brand for low-end market. LI sees production...