Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Due to the ongoing earnings season, for the next two weeks, we will temporarily deviate from our regular format and instead focus on reported earnings.</li>
<li>We focus on reported earnings, performance against expectations, and the top three highlights that we believe are important from earnings calls for each company that is usually under coverage.</li>
<li>Besides the Bullish/Bearish names, we draw attention to the ones that are highlighted as interesting and would be pleased to engage in discussions about any of them.</li>
</ul>


Due to the ongoing earnings season, for the next two weeks, we will temporarily deviate from our regular format and instead focus on reported earnings.
We focus on reported earnings, performance against expectations, and the top three highlights that we believe are important from earnings calls for each company that is usually under coverage.
Besides the Bullish/Bearish names, we draw attention to the ones that are highlighted as interesting and would be pleased to engage in discussions about any of them.


[Week 8] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part I

<ul>
<li>Life is good for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> at 20K. Strong domestic sentiment is likely to continue. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/one-97-communications-limited-paytm" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26149:1" rel="noopener">Paytm (PAYTM IN)</a> posted strong operating metrics for August, but this will be the second last update as the company moves to quarterly disclosures for reasons not completely justified. </li>
<li>Other Ideas discussed include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/poonawalla-fincorp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3449:1" rel="noopener">Poonawalla Fincorp (POONAWAL IN)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dabur-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:242:1" rel="noopener">Dabur India Ltd (DABUR IN)</a> and Landmark Cars along with upcoming IPOs. </li>
</ul>


Life is good for the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) at 20K. Strong domestic sentiment is likely to continue. 

Paytm (PAYTM IN) posted strong operating metrics for August, but this will be the second last update as the company moves to quarterly disclosures for reasons not completely justified. 
Other Ideas discussed include Poonawalla Fincorp (POONAWAL IN) , Dabur India Ltd (DABUR IN) and Landmark Cars along with upcoming IPOs. 


[Week 2] Namaste India 🙏 | Paytm (PAYTM IN) | Withdrawing Disclosures

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samhi-hotels-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28359:1" rel="noopener">SAMHI Hotels (SAMHI IN)</a> plans to raise around US$165m in its Indian IPO.</li>
<li>Samhi is India’s third-largest hotel asset owner, by number of keys, with a portfolio of 25 operating hotel assets comprising 3,839 keys, as of Feb 2023.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the updates from the recent filings and our final thoughts on valuations.</li>
</ul>



SAMHI Hotels (SAMHI IN) plans to raise around US$165m in its Indian IPO.
Samhi is India’s third-largest hotel asset owner, by number of keys, with a portfolio of 25 operating hotel assets comprising 3,839 keys, as of Feb 2023.
In this note, we talk about the updates from the recent filings and our final thoughts on valuations.


Samhi Hotels IPO - Taking a Large Hair Cut, Now at a Decent Discount

Indian Railway Catering & Tourism / Equity Capital Markets

Indian Railway Catering & Tourism (IRCTC IN)

<ul>
<li>Government of India (GoI) aims to raise up to US$360m via selling its 5% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indian-railway-catering-and-tourism-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33951:1" rel="noopener">Indian Railway Catering and Tourism (IRCTC IN)</a>.</li>
<li>This is not the first selldown by GoI and won’t be the last either. However, the stock now looks more expensive than ever.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


Government of India (GoI) aims to raise up to US$360m via selling its 5% stake in Indian Railway Catering and Tourism (IRCTC IN).
This is not the first selldown by GoI and won’t be the last either. However, the stock now looks more expensive than ever.
In this note, we will talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


IRCTC OFS - Well Flagged Deal for an Overly Well Priced Stock

Forensic Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Forensic Analyst

Forensic Accounting

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/easy-trip-planners-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34149:1" rel="noopener">Easy Trip Planners (EASEMYTR IN)</a> has had a good run on its bourses and is probably one of the very few new-age companies which is profitable. </li>
<li>However, the overall narrative does not look attractive to us when we deep dive into the forensics, including the cost drivers and balance sheet risks to the company.</li>
<li>Perplexing business model, customer concentration and high valuations make it unattractive inspite of high profitability.</li>
</ul>



Easy Trip Planners (EASEMYTR IN) has had a good run on its bourses and is probably one of the very few new-age companies which is profitable. 
However, the overall narrative does not look attractive to us when we deep dive into the forensics, including the cost drivers and balance sheet risks to the company.
Perplexing business model, customer concentration and high valuations make it unattractive inspite of high profitability.


Easy Trip Planners: Unattractive Inspite of High Profitability

United States

Yatra Online, Inc. provides online travel agency services. The Company helps businesses and consumers to book airline, railway, and bus tickets, as well as car and hotel accommodations for customers. Yatra Online serves customers in India.

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Yatra Online (YTRA US)

[Week 8] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part I

Deviating from our usual format due to earnings season, this is a long but must-read for anyone who is keen to track the earnings of Indian...

Pranav Bhavsar

[Week 2] Namaste India 🙏 | Paytm (PAYTM IN) | Withdrawing Disclosures

Strong domestic sentiment continues as the NIFTY Index reaches 20K. Paytm's strong August metrics. Other discussed ideas include Poonawalla...

Pranav Bhavsar

Samhi Hotels IPO - Taking a Large Hair Cut, Now at a Decent Discount

SAMHI Hotels (SAMHI IN) plans to raise around US$165m in its Indian IPO. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates and provide our thoughts on...

Sumeet Singh

IRCTC OFS - Well Flagged Deal for an Overly Well Priced Stock

Government of India (GoI) aims to raise up to US$360m via selling its 5% stake in Indian Railway Catering and Tourism (IRCTC IN). In this note we...

Sumeet Singh

Easy Trip Planners: Unattractive Inspite of High Profitability

The overall narrative does not look attractive to us when we deep dive into the forensics, including the cost drivers, balance sheet risks to the...

Nitin Mangal

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Week 8] Namaste India 🙏 | Earnings Edition - Part I

Deviating from our usual format due to earnings season, this is a long but must-read for anyone who is keen to track the earnings of Indian...

Pranav Bhavsar

[Week 2] Namaste India 🙏 | Paytm (PAYTM IN) | Withdrawing Disclosures

​Strong domestic sentiment continues as the NIFTY Index reaches 20K. Paytm's strong August metrics. Other discussed ideas include Poonawalla...

Pranav Bhavsar

Samhi Hotels IPO - Taking a Large Hair Cut, Now at a Decent Discount

SAMHI Hotels (SAMHI IN) plans to raise around US$165m in its Indian IPO. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates and provide our thoughts on...

Sumeet Singh

IRCTC OFS - Well Flagged Deal for an Overly Well Priced Stock

Government of India (GoI) aims to raise up to US$360m via selling its 5% stake in Indian Railway Catering and Tourism (IRCTC IN). In this note we...

Sumeet Singh

Easy Trip Planners: Unattractive Inspite of High Profitability

The overall narrative does not look attractive to us when we deep dive into the forensics, including the cost drivers, balance sheet risks to the...

Nitin Mangal

Strong domestic sentiment continues as the NIFTY Index reaches 20K. Paytm's strong August metrics. Other discussed ideas include Poonawalla...