HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Dingdang Health Technology Gro / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Dingdang has formed a system integrating front-end consultation, self-built pharmacies and back-end distribution. The “heavy asset model” leads to large liabilities, negative equity balance, cash flow pressure and poor profitability.</li>
<li>Dingdang lacks core competitiveness in introducing customer flow or rapidly expanding user base. Together with fierce competition, the gap between the Company and JD Health/Alibaba Health will become bigger.</li>
<li>It’s difficult to achieve high profits based on the business model when break-even is barely achieved. Dingdang has it hard to successfully run through its ecosystem.We’re bearish on the outlook.</li>
</ul>


Dingdang has formed a system integrating front-end consultation, self-built pharmacies and back-end distribution. The “heavy asset model” leads to large liabilities, negative equity balance, cash flow pressure and poor profitability.
Dingdang lacks core competitiveness in introducing customer flow or rapidly expanding user base. Together with fierce competition, the gap between the Company and JD Health/Alibaba Health will become bigger.
It’s difficult to achieve high profits based on the business model when break-even is barely achieved. Dingdang has it hard to successfully run through its ecosystem.We’re bearish on the outlook.


Dingdang Health Technology (9886HK)-Business Model Face Test; Hard to Run the Ecosystem Successfully

Alibaba Health Information Tec / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Alibaba Health’s core pharmaceutical direct sales business is facing challenges in terms of increasing competition as well as lower revenue growth and margins, dragging down the overall performance.</li>
<li>The recent new policies about online drug sales on third-party digital healthcare platforms and online diagnosis and treatment would add more uncertainties on Alibaba Health’s business and outlook.</li>
<li>If such unfavorable trend continues, the gap between Alibaba Health and JD Health would be wider. It’s not easy to break the deadlock. Investors may need to take heed.</li>
</ul>


Alibaba Health’s core pharmaceutical direct sales business is facing challenges in terms of increasing competition as well as lower revenue growth and margins, dragging down the overall performance.
The recent new policies about online drug sales on third-party digital healthcare platforms and online diagnosis and treatment would add more uncertainties on Alibaba Health’s business and outlook.
If such unfavorable trend continues, the gap between Alibaba Health and JD Health would be wider. It’s not easy to break the deadlock. Investors may need to take heed.


Alibaba Health Information Technology (241.HK) - It’s Not Easy to Break a Deadlock

JD Health International  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The exposure draft about online drug sales activities on third-party digital healthcare platforms would add uncertainties on JD Health’s business. We analyzed the potential impact and the logic behind.</li>
<li>Keeping both self-run and third-party business is the optimal option because JD Health cannot afford losing either one. The exact impact will have to wait until policy details are released.</li>
<li>As main revenue contributor, there are concerns on JD Pharmacy in terms of profitability and policy risks. Before second growth point emerges, expectation on long-term valuation expansion would be discounted.</li>
</ul>


The exposure draft about online drug sales activities on third-party digital healthcare platforms would add uncertainties on JD Health’s business. We analyzed the potential impact and the logic behind.
Keeping both self-run and third-party business is the optimal option because JD Health cannot afford losing either one. The exact impact will have to wait until policy details are released.
As main revenue contributor, there are concerns on JD Pharmacy in terms of profitability and policy risks. Before second growth point emerges, expectation on long-term valuation expansion would be discounted.


JD Health (6618.HK) - Logic Change Due to the New Policy?

Equity Capital Markets

Beijing Yuanxin Technology Group Co Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Based on the business analysis, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-yuanxin-technology-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34685:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Yuanxin Technology Group Co Ltd (1865453D CH)</a> is more of a traditional offline chain drugstores than a healthcare technology company.</li>
<li>Yuanxin has been suffering from loss for years. With a gross margin of lower than 10%, it's going to be tough to turn a profit, leading to concerns on survival. </li>
<li>Due to the fierce competition in each of its businesses, homogeneous business model, weak financial position, lack of high moat, policy risks, etc., we are conservative about the Company’s outlook.</li>
</ul>


Based on the business analysis, Beijing Yuanxin Technology Group Co Ltd (1865453D CH) is more of a traditional offline chain drugstores than a healthcare technology company.
Yuanxin has been suffering from loss for years. With a gross margin of lower than 10%, it's going to be tough to turn a profit, leading to concerns on survival. 
Due to the fierce competition in each of its businesses, homogeneous business model, weak financial position, lack of high moat, policy risks, etc., we are conservative about the Company’s outlook.


Pre-IPO Beijing Yuanxin Technology Group - Conservative About the Outlook

Medbanks Network Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>For Medbanks, who entered the market from the SMO business and then PBM business, building core competitiveness around this closed loop may be quite challenging.</li>
<li>The PRS business has growth ceilings; The low margins of PBM and PPS business and the increasing competition make Medbanks difficult to generate solid financial position for future business expansion.</li>
<li>Therefore, based on the analysis above, we are conservative about this Company’s outlook.</li>
</ul>


For Medbanks, who entered the market from the SMO business and then PBM business, building core competitiveness around this closed loop may be quite challenging.
The PRS business has growth ceilings; The low margins of PBM and PPS business and the increasing competition make Medbanks difficult to generate solid financial position for future business expansion.
Therefore, based on the analysis above, we are conservative about this Company’s outlook.


Pre-IPO Medbanks Network Technology - Conservative About the Outlook

China

Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd. operates pharmaceutical stores. The Company retails Chinese medicines, western medicines, and other products. Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group also provides medical equipment.

Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group (002727 CH)

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Yixintang Pharmaceutical Group (002727 CH)

Dingdang Health Technology (9886HK)-Business Model Face Test; Hard to Run the Ecosystem Successfully

Dingdang's "heavy asset model" leads to large liabilities/negative equity balance/cash flow pressure/poor profitability. Dingdang is hard to...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Alibaba Health Information Technology (241.HK) - It’s Not Easy to Break a Deadlock

Alibaba Health is facing challenges in both business and policy sides,with declining performance.The gap with JD Health becomes wider.It’s not easy...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

JD Health (6618.HK) - Logic Change Due to the New Policy?

The policy about online drug sales on third-party digital platforms will add uncertainties on JD Health.Before new growth point emerges,...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO Beijing Yuanxin Technology Group - Conservative About the Outlook

Yuanxin is more of a traditional offline drugstores than a healthcare technology company. The fierce competition/homogeneous business model/weak...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO Medbanks Network Technology - Conservative About the Outlook

We analyzed the business logic, concerns and outlook of Medbanks's three business lines PRS, PBM and PPS. The low margin, fierce competition and...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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