Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio's performance was -2.01% in October versus returns of -0.81 for the benchmark and -3.53 to  -8.62 for Hong Kong indexes.</li>
<li>The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio has captured most of the market gains and minimized drawdowns since inception. The portfolio's outperformance is more than 40% since inception in October 2024.</li>
<li>At month-end, we reduced materials and healthcare exposure.  We had already reduced the tech exposure earlier in the month.  We established positions in the utility, textile, and battery sectors.</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio's performance was -2.01% in October versus returns of -0.81 for the benchmark and -3.53 to  -8.62 for Hong Kong indexes.
The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio has captured most of the market gains and minimized drawdowns since inception. The portfolio's outperformance is more than 40% since inception in October 2024.
At month-end, we reduced materials and healthcare exposure.  We had already reduced the tech exposure earlier in the month.  We established positions in the utility, textile, and battery sectors.


HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (October 2025)

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We review the upcoming results for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nameson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22670:1" rel="noopener">Nameson Holdings (1982 HK)/</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/texwinca-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16983:1" rel="noopener">Texwinca Holdings (321 HK)</a>. We also examine <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pacific-textiles-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12638:1" rel="noopener">Pacific Textiles (1382 HK)</a>, following its negative profit warning.</li>
<li>We like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nameson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22670:1" rel="noopener">Nameson Holdings (1982 HK)</a> for its 13% dividend yield and 6x PE. We like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jnby-design-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23642:1" rel="noopener">JNBY Design Ltd (3306 HK)</a> for its &gt;30% ROCE and 7.2% dividend yield. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pacific-textiles-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12638:1" rel="noopener">Pacific Textiles (1382 HK)</a> 's recent <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/1107/2025110700682.pdf?utm_campaign=website&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=sendgrid.com%20" target="_blank" rel="noopener">profit warning </a>came as a bit of a surprise but was cushioned by guidance that its factories in Vietnam are currently operating at 80-90% utilization. </li>
</ul>


We review the upcoming results for Nameson Holdings (1982 HK)/Texwinca Holdings (321 HK). We also examine Pacific Textiles (1382 HK), following its negative profit warning.
We like Nameson Holdings (1982 HK) for its 13% dividend yield and 6x PE. We like JNBY Design Ltd (3306 HK) for its &gt;30% ROCE and 7.2% dividend yield. 

Pacific Textiles (1382 HK) 's recent profit warning came as a bit of a surprise but was cushioned by guidance that its factories in Vietnam are currently operating at 80-90% utilization. 


HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener November 2025: Top Picks And Result Reviews

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Ridge Outdoor International / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The OEM/ODM model is facing challenges and cannot bring sustainable growth. This business model will lead to a lack of flexibility/innovation ability for Ridge in the face of market changes.</li>
<li>Transition from OEM/ODM to OBM requires high investment of resources in brand incubation/channel restructuring, which will lead to cash flow pressure.We cannot understand the logic behind Ridge's large dividend payout.</li>
<li>Valuation of Ridge could be higher than <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yue-yuen-industrial-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12281:1" rel="noopener">Yue Yuen </a>but lower than <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/techtronic-industries-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4561:1" rel="noopener">Techtronic </a>and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/comefly-outdoor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30268:1" rel="noopener">Comefly</a>. If the Company’s transformation to OBM business is stagnated, then high valuation is not justified  </li>
</ul>


The OEM/ODM model is facing challenges and cannot bring sustainable growth. This business model will lead to a lack of flexibility/innovation ability for Ridge in the face of market changes.
Transition from OEM/ODM to OBM requires high investment of resources in brand incubation/channel restructuring, which will lead to cash flow pressure.We cannot understand the logic behind Ridge's large dividend payout.
Valuation of Ridge could be higher than Yue Yuen but lower than Techtronic and Comefly. If the Company’s transformation to OBM business is stagnated, then high valuation is not justified  


Pre-IPO Ridge Outdoor International - The OEM/ODM Model Has Become a Burden

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>China has announced that it will significantly boost the share of domestic consumption in its next five years, while maintaining tech and manufacturing as top priorities.</li>
<li>The nation's banks will be instrumental in providing consumption financing to spur a virtual growth driver for the economy.  Easing monetary policies will be in addition to the trade-in programs.</li>
<li>Consumer in service sectors like e-commerce, travel &amp; tourism, healthcare, elderly care and AI will benefit from increasing consumption.  Local brands stand to gain market share against foreign competitors.</li>
</ul>


China has announced that it will significantly boost the share of domestic consumption in its next five years, while maintaining tech and manufacturing as top priorities.
The nation's banks will be instrumental in providing consumption financing to spur a virtual growth driver for the economy.  Easing monetary policies will be in addition to the trade-in programs.
Consumer in service sectors like e-commerce, travel &amp; tourism, healthcare, elderly care and AI will benefit from increasing consumption.  Local brands stand to gain market share against foreign competitors.


CHINA HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION: Unlocking Growth Potential in Five-Year Plan

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>President Trump has indicated that he will lower tariffs on ASEAN countries in exchange for future supply commitments of Rare Earth Elements (REEs) to counter China's industry dominance.</li>
<li>Although the supply commitments of REEs to supplant China's production will take years to fulfill, the tariff relief will provide immediate benefits to Chinese textile manufacturers with Southeast Asian production.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhou-intl-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10415:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhou Intl Group Holdings (2313 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bosideng-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6537:1" rel="noopener">Bosideng International Holdings (3998 HK)</a> ,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yue-yuen-industrial-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12281:1" rel="noopener">Yue Yuen Industrial Holdings (551 HK)</a> , and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stella-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7610:1" rel="noopener">Stella International (1836 HK)</a> will benefit from the tariff relief.
</li>
</ul>


President Trump has indicated that he will lower tariffs on ASEAN countries in exchange for future supply commitments of Rare Earth Elements (REEs) to counter China's industry dominance.
Although the supply commitments of REEs to supplant China's production will take years to fulfill, the tariff relief will provide immediate benefits to Chinese textile manufacturers with Southeast Asian production.

Shenzhou Intl Group Holdings (2313 HK) , Bosideng International Holdings (3998 HK) ,Yue Yuen Industrial Holdings (551 HK) , and Stella International (1836 HK) will benefit from the tariff relief.



How Rare Earth Elements Helped China's Textile Companies

Hong Kong

Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets athletic, athletic style leisure, and casual and outdoor footwear.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Yue Yuen Industrial Holdings (551 HK)

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (October 2025)

We made mid-month adjustments to the portfolio due to sudden re-escalation of tensions with the US & concurrent sectoral de-rating. Several...

David Mudd

HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener November 2025: Top Picks And Result Reviews

We preview the earnings for Texwinca (321 HK) and Nameson (1982 HK), both trading at ~13% dividend yields, with results to be announced this month....

Sameer Taneja

Pre-IPO Ridge Outdoor International - The OEM/ODM Model Has Become a Burden

Transitioning from OEM/ODM to OBM is challenging due to cashflow pressure.If transformation stalls, high valuation is not justified.We don't...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

CHINA HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION: Unlocking Growth Potential in Five-Year Plan

China has announced that it will significantly boost the share of domestic consumption in its next five years, while maintaining tech and...

David Mudd

How Rare Earth Elements Helped China's Textile Companies

President Trump will lower tariffs on ASEAN countries in exchange for future supply commitments of Rare Earth Elements (REEs) to counter China's...

David Mudd

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (October 2025)

We made mid-month adjustments to the portfolio due to sudden re-escalation of tensions with the US & concurrent sectoral de-rating. Several...

David Mudd

HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener November 2025: Top Picks And Result Reviews

We preview the earnings for Texwinca (321 HK) and Nameson (1982 HK), both trading at ~13% dividend yields, with results to be announced this month....

Sameer Taneja

Pre-IPO Ridge Outdoor International - The OEM/ODM Model Has Become a Burden

​Transitioning from OEM/ODM to OBM is challenging due to cashflow pressure.If transformation stalls, high valuation is not justified.We don't...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

CHINA HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION: Unlocking Growth Potential in Five-Year Plan

China has announced that it will significantly boost the share of domestic consumption in its next five years, while maintaining tech and...

David Mudd

How Rare Earth Elements Helped China's Textile Companies

President Trump will lower tariffs on ASEAN countries in exchange for future supply commitments of Rare Earth Elements (REEs) to counter China's...

David Mudd

Transitioning from OEM/ODM to OBM is challenging due to cashflow pressure.If transformation stalls, high valuation is not justified.We don't...