Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/13644" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13644:1">Coach Inc (COH US)</a> fell another -2.3% today in the US after an analyst downgrade, and the stock is down -14.4% since reporting unexciting Q4 FY16 earnings results on the morning of August 9th. We remain bearish on the stock; in our view, the Street's sales and earnings estimates for FY17 and FY18 remain far too optimistic given weaker spending by Asian tourists in the US and overly aggressive Street assumptions for Japanese and Chinese consumer spending. We also believe that COH will struggle to…</p>

Coach Inc (COH US) fell another -2.3% today in the US after an analyst downgrade, and the stock is down -14.4% since reporting unexciting Q4 FY16 earnings results on the morning of August 9th. We remain bearish on the stock; in our view, the Street's sales and earnings estimates for FY17 and FY18 remain far too optimistic given weaker spending by Asian tourists in the US and overly aggressive Street assumptions for Japanese and Chinese consumer spending. We also believe that COH will struggle to…

July Tourism & Macro Data Suggest Coach Q1 FY17 Will Disappoint

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Ridge Outdoor International / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Ridge’s recovery momentum is not yet stable.OBM gross margin is far lower than the level of industry-leading brands, reflecting the weak position of Ridge's business model in the value chain.</li>
<li>Ridge's short-term growth depends on the revival of OEM/ODM business. In the long term, its prospects hinge on the success of its own brand Solar and the high-growth Asian market.</li>
<li>The IPO pricing is HK$11.25-12.25/share, with market value of HK$1.44bn-1.57bn. Based on 2025, 2026, 2027 forecast, P/E is 18.3-20x, 15-16.4x, 12.8-14x respectively.We think the IPO valuation is in reasonable range. </li>
</ul>


Ridge’s recovery momentum is not yet stable.OBM gross margin is far lower than the level of industry-leading brands, reflecting the weak position of Ridge's business model in the value chain.
Ridge's short-term growth depends on the revival of OEM/ODM business. In the long term, its prospects hinge on the success of its own brand Solar and the high-growth Asian market.
The IPO pricing is HK$11.25-12.25/share, with market value of HK$1.44bn-1.57bn. Based on 2025, 2026, 2027 forecast, P/E is 18.3-20x, 15-16.4x, 12.8-14x respectively.We think the IPO valuation is in reasonable range. 


Pre-IPO Pre-IPO Ridge Outdoor International (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We review the upcoming results for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nameson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22670:1" rel="noopener">Nameson Holdings (1982 HK)/</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/texwinca-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16983:1" rel="noopener">Texwinca Holdings (321 HK)</a>. We also examine <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pacific-textiles-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12638:1" rel="noopener">Pacific Textiles (1382 HK)</a>, following its negative profit warning.</li>
<li>We like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nameson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22670:1" rel="noopener">Nameson Holdings (1982 HK)</a> for its 13% dividend yield and 6x PE. We like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jnby-design-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23642:1" rel="noopener">JNBY Design Ltd (3306 HK)</a> for its &gt;30% ROCE and 7.2% dividend yield. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pacific-textiles-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12638:1" rel="noopener">Pacific Textiles (1382 HK)</a> 's recent <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/1107/2025110700682.pdf?utm_campaign=website&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=sendgrid.com%20" target="_blank" rel="noopener">profit warning </a>came as a bit of a surprise but was cushioned by guidance that its factories in Vietnam are currently operating at 80-90% utilization. </li>
</ul>


We review the upcoming results for Nameson Holdings (1982 HK)/Texwinca Holdings (321 HK). We also examine Pacific Textiles (1382 HK), following its negative profit warning.
We like Nameson Holdings (1982 HK) for its 13% dividend yield and 6x PE. We like JNBY Design Ltd (3306 HK) for its &gt;30% ROCE and 7.2% dividend yield. 

Pacific Textiles (1382 HK) 's recent profit warning came as a bit of a surprise but was cushioned by guidance that its factories in Vietnam are currently operating at 80-90% utilization. 


HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener November 2025: Top Picks And Result Reviews

<ul>
<li>The OEM/ODM model is facing challenges and cannot bring sustainable growth. This business model will lead to a lack of flexibility/innovation ability for Ridge in the face of market changes.</li>
<li>Transition from OEM/ODM to OBM requires high investment of resources in brand incubation/channel restructuring, which will lead to cash flow pressure.We cannot understand the logic behind Ridge's large dividend payout.</li>
<li>Valuation of Ridge could be higher than <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yue-yuen-industrial-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12281:1" rel="noopener">Yue Yuen </a>but lower than <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/techtronic-industries-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4561:1" rel="noopener">Techtronic </a>and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/comefly-outdoor-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30268:1" rel="noopener">Comefly</a>. If the Company’s transformation to OBM business is stagnated, then high valuation is not justified  </li>
</ul>


The OEM/ODM model is facing challenges and cannot bring sustainable growth. This business model will lead to a lack of flexibility/innovation ability for Ridge in the face of market changes.
Transition from OEM/ODM to OBM requires high investment of resources in brand incubation/channel restructuring, which will lead to cash flow pressure.We cannot understand the logic behind Ridge's large dividend payout.
Valuation of Ridge could be higher than Yue Yuen but lower than Techtronic and Comefly. If the Company’s transformation to OBM business is stagnated, then high valuation is not justified  


Pre-IPO Ridge Outdoor International - The OEM/ODM Model Has Become a Burden

<ul>
<li>We reviewed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lever-style-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35760:1" rel="noopener">Lever Style's (1346 HK)</a>  <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2025/0115/2025011501101.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">positive profit alert</a> and project a final dividend of 7-7.5 cents, an increase from 3 cents per share in H1 FY24.</li>
<li>The overall dividend of 10-10.5 cents indicates a yield over 9%, with positive remarks on new customer additions and increased penetration within the existing customer base.</li>
<li>Our top sector picks include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jnby-design-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23642:1" rel="noopener">JNBY Design Ltd (3306 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pacific-textiles-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12638:1" rel="noopener">Pacific Textiles (1382 HK)</a>, with a favorable mention of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nameson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22670:1" rel="noopener">Nameson Holdings (1982 HK)</a>  due to its attractive dividend yield.</li>
</ul>


We reviewed Lever Style's (1346 HK)  positive profit alert and project a final dividend of 7-7.5 cents, an increase from 3 cents per share in H1 FY24.
The overall dividend of 10-10.5 cents indicates a yield over 9%, with positive remarks on new customer additions and increased penetration within the existing customer base.
Our top sector picks include JNBY Design Ltd (3306 HK) and Pacific Textiles (1382 HK), with a favorable mention of Nameson Holdings (1982 HK)  due to its attractive dividend yield.


HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener: Parsing Lever Styles (1346 HK) Profit Alert

Hong Kong

Yue Yuen Industrial is the world's largest original design manufacturer (ODM) and original equipment manufacturer (OEM) of branded athletic and casual footwear for international brands such as Nike, Adidas, and New Balance. The company also engages in the retail and distribution of sportswear and footwear products through its subsidiary, Pou Sheng International. It was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Hong Kong.

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Yue Yuen Industrial (551 HK)

July Tourism & Macro Data Suggest Coach Q1 FY17 Will Disappoint

Coach Inc (COH US) fell another -2.3% today in the US after an analyst downgrade, and the stock is down -14.4% since reporting unexciting Q4 FY16...

Daniel Hellberg

Pre-IPO Pre-IPO Ridge Outdoor International (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

Ridge’s recovery momentum is not stable, which hinges on OEM/ODM business in short term and success of Solar in long term. IPO pricing is...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener November 2025: Top Picks And Result Reviews

We preview the earnings for Texwinca (321 HK) and Nameson (1982 HK), both trading at ~13% dividend yields, with results to be announced this month....

Sameer Taneja

Pre-IPO Ridge Outdoor International - The OEM/ODM Model Has Become a Burden

Transitioning from OEM/ODM to OBM is challenging due to cashflow pressure.If transformation stalls, high valuation is not justified.We don't...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener: Parsing Lever Styles (1346 HK) Profit Alert

We present a list of ten high-yielding, net cash or low-net debt stocks within Hong Kong's apparel and footwear value chain. Despite the recent...

Sameer Taneja

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52-week Range

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July Tourism & Macro Data Suggest Coach Q1 FY17 Will Disappoint

Coach Inc (COH US) fell another -2.3% today in the US after an analyst downgrade, and the stock is down -14.4% since reporting unexciting Q4 FY16...

Daniel Hellberg

Pre-IPO Pre-IPO Ridge Outdoor International (PHIP Updates) - Some Points Worth the Attention

Ridge’s recovery momentum is not stable, which hinges on OEM/ODM business in short term and success of Solar in long term. IPO pricing is...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener November 2025: Top Picks And Result Reviews

We preview the earnings for Texwinca (321 HK) and Nameson (1982 HK), both trading at ~13% dividend yields, with results to be announced this month....

Sameer Taneja

Pre-IPO Ridge Outdoor International - The OEM/ODM Model Has Become a Burden

​Transitioning from OEM/ODM to OBM is challenging due to cashflow pressure.If transformation stalls, high valuation is not justified.We don't...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HK-Listed Apparel & Footwear Screener: Parsing Lever Styles (1346 HK) Profit Alert

We present a list of ten high-yielding, net cash or low-net debt stocks within Hong Kong's apparel and footwear value chain. Despite the recent...

Sameer Taneja

Transitioning from OEM/ODM to OBM is challenging due to cashflow pressure.If transformation stalls, high valuation is not justified.We don't...