External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>NBS data in Oct was in line with market expectation, with property investment decline remaining at -11.3% YoY in Oct (vs. -11.3% in Sep) despite a lower base.</li><li>Property sales also weakened with volume/value declining 28/26% MoM and showing larger divergence between high- and low-tier cities.</li><li>We think Nov-Dec 2023 may continue to be weak as the buying sentiment remains low and is hard to be lifted with the marginally weakening effect from easing policies. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NBS data in Oct was in line with market expectation, with property investment decline remaining at -11.3% YoY in Oct (vs. -11.3% in Sep) despite a lower base.Property sales also weakened with volume/value declining 28/26% MoM and showing larger divergence between high- and low-tier cities.We think Nov-Dec 2023 may continue to be weak as the buying sentiment remains low and is hard to be lifted with the marginally weakening effect from easing policies. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Property Sector – NBS Oct Data in Line

<ul><li>NBS reported an in-line property investment at -11% YoY in Aug (vs. -12% in Jul) and slight beat on property sales at +5%/-16% MoM/YoY (vs. -45%/-19% in Jul).</li><li>We expect sales growth to perform better in Sep-Oct given 1) relaxation in 12 tier-2 cities (more to come) combined with new policy in tier-1 cities (report) would release certain demand to support sales in ST, 2) developers are speeding up project launch to benefit from sentiment tailwind and 3) our Leading Indicator suggests good sales performance in Oct.</li><li>While the sustainability of recovery is uncertain as 1) our channel check in tier-1 cities shows both the project visitor flow/house transaction have signs of retreat during the 2nd week compared to the 1 st week after new policy, 2) continuous fall on home price arouses more watchand-see sentiment of home buyers, 3) concern on future income expectation still exists which suppresses a chunk of demands. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NBS reported an in-line property investment at -11% YoY in Aug (vs. -12% in Jul) and slight beat on property sales at +5%/-16% MoM/YoY (vs. -45%/-19% in Jul).We expect sales growth to perform better in Sep-Oct given 1) relaxation in 12 tier-2 cities (more to come) combined with new policy in tier-1 cities (report) would release certain demand to support sales in ST, 2) developers are speeding up project launch to benefit from sentiment tailwind and 3) our Leading Indicator suggests good sales performance in Oct.While the sustainability of recovery is uncertain as 1) our channel check in tier-1 cities shows both the project visitor flow/house transaction have signs of retreat during the 2nd week compared to the 1 st week after new policy, 2) continuous fall on home price arouses more watchand-see sentiment of home buyers, 3) concern on future income expectation still exists which suppresses a chunk of demands. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Property Sector – NBS Aug Data In-Line

<ul><li>Both primary and secondary market reacted strongly to the new policy (认房不 认贷) during the weekend.</li><li>Project visitors and transactions for new home in BJ &amp; SH showed a rally, and 2 nd -hand house listing volume was boosted by cashout demand and sell-to-buy demand.</li><li>We think it is hard for newly-released demand to hold on and it might be able to support the new home recovery for 1-3 months in our view as part of the demand is relying on the transaction of existing market and is likely to be curbed by 2nd -hand housing price which will keep under pressure in our view due to the reason we illustrated below. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Both primary and secondary market reacted strongly to the new policy (认房不 认贷) during the weekend.Project visitors and transactions for new home in BJ &amp; SH showed a rally, and 2 nd -hand house listing volume was boosted by cashout demand and sell-to-buy demand.We think it is hard for newly-released demand to hold on and it might be able to support the new home recovery for 1-3 months in our view as part of the demand is relying on the transaction of existing market and is likely to be curbed by 2nd -hand housing price which will keep under pressure in our view due to the reason we illustrated below. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Property Sector – Will the newly-released demand hold on?

<ul><li>NBS Jul data was as weak as expected with sluggish property investment (-12% YoY) driven by weakening new starts.</li><li>Better completion due to Jul is the results assessment month for delivery securing funds.</li><li>Property sales saw another dismal month in Jul （-19% YoY）despite a much lower base. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NBS Jul data was as weak as expected with sluggish property investment (-12% YoY) driven by weakening new starts.Better completion due to Jul is the results assessment month for delivery securing funds.Property sales saw another dismal month in Jul （-19% YoY）despite a much lower base. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Property Sector – NBS 7M23 Data: Awaiting for More Policy Implementation

<ul>
<li>We think CIFI event became the triggering point for PBOC and MOF to urgently roll out stimulus measures (cut mortgage rates and refund individual income tax for qualified home buyers).</li>
<li>Together with better-than-expected Sep sales, we expect a sector rebound in the near term led by short cover.</li>
<li>However, the three driving forces (policy, sales and financing) still indicate a bumpy recovery mainly because 1) policy support is only 60% of that in 2015. 2) Oct sales may weaken again as forecasted by our leading indicator and 3) 4Q property loans may still decline by 25% YoY and most of them may go to SOEs rather than POEs.</li>
</ul>
Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.


We think CIFI event became the triggering point for PBOC and MOF to urgently roll out stimulus measures (cut mortgage rates and refund individual income tax for qualified home buyers).
Together with better-than-expected Sep sales, we expect a sector rebound in the near term led by short cover.
However, the three driving forces (policy, sales and financing) still indicate a bumpy recovery mainly because 1) policy support is only 60% of that in 2015. 2) Oct sales may weaken again as forecasted by our leading indicator and 3) 4Q property loans may still decline by 25% YoY and most of them may go to SOEs rather than POEs.

Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Property Sector – “Skrik” of “Hanzawa Naoki”

China

Yuexiu Property Company Ltd., through its subsidiaries, develops, manages and invests in properties. The Company also invests in a Real Estate Investment Trusts.

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Yuexiu Property (123 HK)

China Property Sector – NBS Oct Data in Line

NBS data in Oct was in line with market expectation, with property investment decline remaining at -11.3% YoY in Oct (vs. -11.3% in Sep) despite a...

CMB International

China Property Sector – NBS Aug Data In-Line

NBS reported an in-line property investment at -11% YoY in Aug (vs. -12% in Jul) and slight beat on property sales at +5%/-16% MoM/YoY (vs. -45%/...

CMB International

China Property Sector – Will the newly-released demand hold on?

Project visitors and transactions for new home in BJ & SH showed a rally, and 2 nd -hand house listing volume was boosted by cashout demand and...

CMB International

China Property Sector – NBS 7M23 Data: Awaiting for More Policy Implementation

Better completion due to Jul is the results assessment month for delivery securing funds. Property sales saw another dismal month in Jul （-19%...

CMB International

China Property Sector – “Skrik” of “Hanzawa Naoki”

We think CIFI event became the triggering point for PBOC and MOF to urgently roll out stimulus measures (cut mortgage rates and refund individual...

CMB International

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