Fixed Income and Currency Strategist

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

FX & Rates

Despite rising inflationary risks, the South African Reserve Bank held rates steady as it continues to focus on growth risks for now. We expect short-end rates to rise gradually, which combined with the risk premium in the long end coming off, should result in curve flattening.Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of the EM 10y rates market in which we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among countries by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other countries based on their respective betas to an EM rates index.

Despite rising inflationary risks, the South African Reserve Bank held rates steady as it continues to focus on growth risks for now. We expect short-end rates to rise gradually, which combined with the risk premium in the long end coming off, should result in curve flattening.Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of the EM 10y rates market in which we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among countries by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other countries based on their respective betas to an EM rates index.

Rates 10y Dashboard: South Africa’s Rising Breakeven Inflation

This is the third edition of our monthly trade ideas recap note in which we list our current trade recommendations and discuss whether any need to be closed. We have made a total of 12 trade recommendations so far, of which 8 are in the money.

This is the third edition of our monthly trade ideas recap note in which we list our current trade recommendations and discuss whether any need to be closed. We have made a total of 12 trade recommendations so far, of which 8 are in the money.

Alpha Bites: Monthly Trade Ideas Recap (May 2021)

In this note, we looked at the beta-adjusted performance of EM rates as US rates rallied this month to identify the countries that have lagged.Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of EM 10y rates market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among countries by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other countries based on their respective betas to the broad market.

In this note, we looked at the beta-adjusted performance of EM rates as US rates rallied this month to identify the countries that have lagged.Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of EM 10y rates market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among countries by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other countries based on their respective betas to the broad market.

Rates 10y Dashboard: Which Countries Underperformed as US Rates Rallied?

In this note, we discuss the adjustment higher in Poland's curve on the back of higher inflation readings and expectations of inflation rising further. These adjustments are supporting two trade recommendations that we currently have outstanding. Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of EM 10y rates market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among countries by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other countries based on their respective betas to the broad market.

In this note, we discuss the adjustment higher in Poland's curve on the back of higher inflation readings and expectations of inflation rising further. These adjustments are supporting two trade recommendations that we currently have outstanding. Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of EM 10y rates market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among countries by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other countries based on their respective betas to the broad market.

Rates 10y Dashboard: Poland’s Curve Starts Pricing in Rate Hikes

In this note, we discuss the drivers behind the curve steepening in Chile, which has defied the curve flattening in the US. Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of EM 10y rates market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among countries by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other countries based on their respective betas to the broad market.

In this note, we discuss the drivers behind the curve steepening in Chile, which has defied the curve flattening in the US. Separately, the attached file is a snapshot of EM 10y rates market, which we produce daily, and where we seek to identify the leaders and laggards among countries by comparing the performance of each to its history as well as to other countries based on their respective betas to the broad market.

Rates 10y Dashboard: Chile’s Curve Steepens Even as US Curve Flattens

South Africa

A vanila interest rate swap us an agreement between two counterparties to exchange cashflows (fixed vs floating) in the same currency. This agreement is often used by counterparties to change their fixed cashflows to floating or vice versa. The payments are made during the life of the swap in the frequency that is pre-established by the counterparties.

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ZAR 10Y (SASW10 CURNCY)

Rates 10y Dashboard: South Africa’s Rising Breakeven Inflation

Given the rising inflation breakeven in South Africa, we expect short-end rates to rise gradually, which combined with the risk premium in the long...

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

Alpha Bites: Monthly Trade Ideas Recap (May 2021)

In our monthly trade ideas recap note, we list our current recommendations and discuss whether any need to be closed. We have made a total of 12...

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

Rates 10y Dashboard: Which Countries Underperformed as US Rates Rallied?

In this note, we looked at the beta-adjusted performance of EM rates as US rates rallied this month to identify the countries that have lagged.

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

Rates 10y Dashboard: Poland’s Curve Starts Pricing in Rate Hikes

We discuss the adjustment higher in Poland's curve on the back of higher inflation readings and expectations, which are supporting two trade...

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

Rates 10y Dashboard: Chile’s Curve Steepens Even as US Curve Flattens

In this note, we discuss the drivers behind the curve steepening in Chile, which has defied the curve flattening in the US.

Gautam Jain, PhD, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)