Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Condor Energies (CDR CN)C; Target price of C$5.90 per share: Imminent flow rate results for first horizontal well. LNG facility construction 90% complete.</li>
<li>– 3Q25 production averaged 9,978 mboe/d, broadly in line with expectations. In Uzbekistan, drilling of a 1,000‑meter lateral section at the first horizontal well is underway, with numerous mud gas shows recorded.</li>
<li>The lateral may be extended, and the well is expected to be brought onstream in December, potentially adding more than 10 mmcf/d of production. </li>
</ul>


Condor Energies (CDR CN)C; Target price of C$5.90 per share: Imminent flow rate results for first horizontal well. LNG facility construction 90% complete.
– 3Q25 production averaged 9,978 mboe/d, broadly in line with expectations. In Uzbekistan, drilling of a 1,000‑meter lateral section at the first horizontal well is underway, with numerous mud gas shows recorded.
The lateral may be extended, and the well is expected to be brought onstream in December, potentially adding more than 10 mmcf/d of production. 


<ul>
<li>erica Energy (SQZ LN)C; Target price of £3.05 per share: Another operational setback at Triton; value and distribution profile intact – Operational issues with the flare system at the Triton FPSO have resulted in a temporary suspension of production.</li>
<li>Production is likely to restart shortly at very low rates until the root cause is identified and resolved.</li>
<li>In the absence of further clarity, we conservatively assume that Triton production will be constrained until the scheduled Bittern pipeline shutdown in November.</li>
</ul>


erica Energy (SQZ LN)C; Target price of £3.05 per share: Another operational setback at Triton; value and distribution profile intact – Operational issues with the flare system at the Triton FPSO have resulted in a temporary suspension of production.
Production is likely to restart shortly at very low rates until the root cause is identified and resolved.
In the absence of further clarity, we conservatively assume that Triton production will be constrained until the scheduled Bittern pipeline shutdown in November.


<ul>
<li>Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.40 per share: Dry hole at Mateguafa Oeste but three more prospects to drill – The Mateguafa Oeste was water wet.</li>
<li>Our ReNAV for the well was £0.09 per share. We did not carry any production from this prospect in our cash flow forecast.</li>
<li>The rig will now move to Mateguafa Attic where the Mateguafa 5 vertical well will be drilled in November. </li>
</ul>


Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.40 per share: Dry hole at Mateguafa Oeste but three more prospects to drill – The Mateguafa Oeste was water wet.
Our ReNAV for the well was £0.09 per share. We did not carry any production from this prospect in our cash flow forecast.
The rig will now move to Mateguafa Attic where the Mateguafa 5 vertical well will be drilled in November. 


<ul>
<li>Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.50 per share: High impact exploration drilling in 2H25 – 2Q25 production averaged 3,768 boe/d, impacted by water handling constraints and steeper-than-anticipated early declines at newly drilled wells.</li>
<li>Current WI production stands at ~4,200 boe/d, down from the July peak of 4,600–4,800 boe/d, which reflected initial flush output from AB-HZ5 and AB-HZ4.</li>
<li>While first-month decline rates are steep, Arrow has observed that post-month-one declines are minimal.</li>
</ul>


Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.50 per share: High impact exploration drilling in 2H25 – 2Q25 production averaged 3,768 boe/d, impacted by water handling constraints and steeper-than-anticipated early declines at newly drilled wells.
Current WI production stands at ~4,200 boe/d, down from the July peak of 4,600–4,800 boe/d, which reflected initial flush output from AB-HZ5 and AB-HZ4.
While first-month decline rates are steep, Arrow has observed that post-month-one declines are minimal.


<ul><li>AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: AB wells deliver flow rates above expectations – Current production ranges between 4,600 and 4,800 bbl/d driven by strong performance from two new horizontal wells at Alberta Llanos (AB).</li><li>AB-HZ5, onstream for ~2 weeks, is producing 1,790 bbl/d (895 bbl/d net to Arrow), while AB-HZ4, online for over a month, continues to produce 880 bbl/d (440 bbl/d net).</li><li>Both wells are outperforming expectations in terms of flow rates and pressure, which may positively impact reserves estimates.</li></ul>

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: AB wells deliver flow rates above expectations – Current production ranges between 4,600 and 4,800 bbl/d driven by strong performance from two new horizontal wells at Alberta Llanos (AB).AB-HZ5, onstream for ~2 weeks, is producing 1,790 bbl/d (895 bbl/d net to Arrow), while AB-HZ4, online for over a month, continues to produce 880 bbl/d (440 bbl/d net).Both wells are outperforming expectations in terms of flow rates and pressure, which may positively impact reserves estimates.

United Kingdom

Zephyr Energy plc operates as a technology-led exploration and production company. The Company focuses on the delivery of economic returns from developed oil and gas projects in the Rocky Mountain region of the United States.

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Zephyr Energy (ZPHR LN)

Auctus on Friday - 21/11/2025

Condor Energies (CDR CN)C; Target price of C$5.90 per share: Imminent flow rate results for first horizontal well. LNG facility construction 90%...

Auctus Advisors

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 10/10/2025

Please click here to access the financial metrics for Auctus' coverage universe AUCTUS...

Auctus Advisors

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 03/10/2025

Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.40 per share: Dry hole at Mateguafa Oeste but three more prospects to drill – The Mateguafa...

Auctus Advisors

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 29/08/2025

Current WI production stands at ~4,200 boe/d, down from the July peak of 4,600–4,800 boe/d, which reflected initial flush output from AB-HZ5 and AB...

Auctus Advisors

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 18/07/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price of £0.70 per share: AB wells deliver...

Auctus Advisors

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