Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>GeoPark (GPRK US)C; Target price US$26 per share: Downtime and blockades continue to impact production.</li>
<li>All eyes on Argentina – 3Q24 production was 33,215 boe/d with production in Colombia still impacted by downtime and blockades (we expected 34.6 mboe/d).</li>
<li>Production at Llanos-34 continues to decline.</li>
</ul>


GeoPark (GPRK US)C; Target price US$26 per share: Downtime and blockades continue to impact production.
All eyes on Argentina – 3Q24 production was 33,215 boe/d with production in Colombia still impacted by downtime and blockades (we expected 34.6 mboe/d).
Production at Llanos-34 continues to decline.


<ul>
<li>Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price £0.70 per share: Another horizontal well with high flow rate – The fourth horizontal well at Carrizales Notre (CNB HZ-5) has been put on production at a gross oil rate of 2.7 mbbl/d (1.35 mbbl/d net to Arrow) with a water cut of 11%.</li>
<li>This flow rate compares favourably with CNB HZ-4 that was put on production at a gross oil rate of &gt;2.5 mbbl/d (8% water cut).</li>
<li>Overall gross oil production from the three other horizontal wells is ~5.62 mbbl/d (~2.8 mbbl/d net to Arrow) including 2.1 mbbl/d for CNB HZ-4, 1.9 mbbl/d for CNB HZ-3 and 1.6 mbbl/d for CNB HZ-1.</li>
</ul>


Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price £0.70 per share: Another horizontal well with high flow rate – The fourth horizontal well at Carrizales Notre (CNB HZ-5) has been put on production at a gross oil rate of 2.7 mbbl/d (1.35 mbbl/d net to Arrow) with a water cut of 11%.
This flow rate compares favourably with CNB HZ-4 that was put on production at a gross oil rate of &gt;2.5 mbbl/d (8% water cut).
Overall gross oil production from the three other horizontal wells is ~5.62 mbbl/d (~2.8 mbbl/d net to Arrow) including 2.1 mbbl/d for CNB HZ-4, 1.9 mbbl/d for CNB HZ-3 and 1.6 mbbl/d for CNB HZ-1.


<ul>
<li>Condor Energies (CDR CN)C; Target price C$5.80 per share: Initiating coverage – Condor Energies is a ~US$75 mm market cap TSX-listed company focused on low carbon and energy transition opportunities in Central Asia.</li>
<li>Condor was transformed in 2024 by the acquisition of &gt;10 mboe/d production of natural gas in Uzbekistan.</li>
<li>The key value driver for the shares is the imminent sanction of Condor’s 1st liquefaction plant in Kazakhstan to convert low-cost natural gas into high value LNG to displace expensive diesel for rail and mining haul truck transportation.</li>
</ul>


Condor Energies (CDR CN)C; Target price C$5.80 per share: Initiating coverage – Condor Energies is a ~US$75 mm market cap TSX-listed company focused on low carbon and energy transition opportunities in Central Asia.
Condor was transformed in 2024 by the acquisition of &gt;10 mboe/d production of natural gas in Uzbekistan.
The key value driver for the shares is the imminent sanction of Condor’s 1st liquefaction plant in Kazakhstan to convert low-cost natural gas into high value LNG to displace expensive diesel for rail and mining haul truck transportation.


<ul><li>AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price £0.70 per share: Key horizontal wells outperforms expectations – Arrow has now drilled 3 horizontal wells in Carrizales Norte.</li><li>The flow rates of the wells are exceeding our expectations.</li><li>The first CN horizontal well (CNB HZ-1) is being restricted to a current oil flow rate of 2,090 bbl/d with approximately 41% water cut.</li></ul>

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price £0.70 per share: Key horizontal wells outperforms expectations – Arrow has now drilled 3 horizontal wells in Carrizales Norte.The flow rates of the wells are exceeding our expectations.The first CN horizontal well (CNB HZ-1) is being restricted to a current oil flow rate of 2,090 bbl/d with approximately 41% water cut.

<ul>
<li>Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C; Target price C$0.35 per share: New drilling expected to start in September – A drilling rig is scheduled to be mobilized to site in August.</li>
<li>The two-well infill program, targeting a previously undrilled section of the MGH Field, is anticipated to commence in early September with the wells expected to come on production in early November at a forecasted combined rate of 300 bbl/d.</li>
<li>While this is a bit later than we anticipated, we continue to forecast that Criterium will exit 2024 with ~1,250 boe/d production.</li>
</ul>


Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C; Target price C$0.35 per share: New drilling expected to start in September – A drilling rig is scheduled to be mobilized to site in August.
The two-well infill program, targeting a previously undrilled section of the MGH Field, is anticipated to commence in early September with the wells expected to come on production in early November at a forecasted combined rate of 300 bbl/d.
While this is a bit later than we anticipated, we continue to forecast that Criterium will exit 2024 with ~1,250 boe/d production.


United Kingdom

Zephyr Energy is a technology-led oil and gas company focused on responsible resource development from carbon-neutral operations in the Rocky Mountain region of the United States. It engages in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. The company is headquartered in Newbury, United Kingdom, and was incorporated in 2002.

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Zephyr Energy (ZPHR LN)

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 11/10/2024

All eyes on Argentina – 3Q24 production was 33,215 boe/d with production in Colombia still impacted by downtime and blockades (we expected 34.6...

Auctus Advisors

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 27/09/2024

This flow rate compares favourably with CNB HZ-4 that was put on production at a gross oil rate of >2.5 mbbl/d (8% water cut).

Auctus Advisors

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 06/09/2024

Condor Energies is a ~US$75 mm market cap TSX-listed company focused on low carbon and energy transition opportunities in Central Asia.

Auctus Advisors

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 30/08/2024

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; Target price £0.70 per share: Key horizontal wells...

Auctus Advisors

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 16/08/2024

Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C; Target price C$0.35 per share: New drilling expected to start in September – A drilling rig is scheduled to be...

Auctus Advisors

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