Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, we forecast 9 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chinext-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25483:1" rel="noopener">ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX EQUITY)</a> and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index in December.</li>
<li>Some of the potential adds will also have passive flows from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI Smallcap 500 Index</a> trackers at the same time as the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chinext-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25483:1" rel="noopener">ChiNext Index</a> rebalance.</li>
<li>The potential adds have slipped a lot versus the potential deletes over the last few months as the National Team has tried to stabilise the market via ETF creations.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, we forecast 9 changes for the ChiNext Index (SZ399006 INDEX EQUITY) and 5 changes for the ChiNext 50 Index in December.
Some of the potential adds will also have passive flows from the CSI Smallcap 500 Index trackers at the same time as the ChiNext Index rebalance.
The potential adds have slipped a lot versus the potential deletes over the last few months as the National Team has tried to stabilise the market via ETF creations.


ChiNext/​​​ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Time for a Turnaround

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Luoyang Xinqianglian Slewing B / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market capitalization and liquidity from the entire universe of Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges. CSI 500 represents the <em>next</em> largest 500 names.</li>
<li>During the periodic index rebalance events, a large number of stocks move into or out of these indices giving rise to significant flow events and attractive trading opportunities.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a brief look at the index selection methodology and the historical price and volume performance of the CSI 300/500 index rebalance baskets.</li>
</ul>


CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market capitalization and liquidity from the entire universe of Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges. CSI 500 represents the next largest 500 names.
During the periodic index rebalance events, a large number of stocks move into or out of these indices giving rise to significant flow events and attractive trading opportunities.
In this insight, we take a brief look at the index selection methodology and the historical price and volume performance of the CSI 300/500 index rebalance baskets.


Quiddity Primer for CSI 300/500 Index Rebalance Events

<ul>
<li>CSI announced the changes for the June rebalance after market close on 30 May and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 13 June.</li>
<li>There are 6 changes for the index and we estimate passive buying of 0.7-2.4x ADV in the adds and passive selling of between 1-4.7x ADV in the deletes.</li>
<li>There will be capping inflows for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-mindray-bio-medic-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28017:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760 CH)</a> and capping outflows for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27092:1" rel="noopener">WuXi AppTec (603259 CH)</a>. </li>
</ul>


CSI announced the changes for the June rebalance after market close on 30 May and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 13 June.
There are 6 changes for the index and we estimate passive buying of 0.7-2.4x ADV in the adds and passive selling of between 1-4.7x ADV in the deletes.
There will be capping inflows for Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics (300760 CH) and capping outflows for WuXi AppTec (603259 CH). 


CSI Medical Service Index Rebalance: Six Changes with Decent Impact

Shanghai Runda Medical Tec-A / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period ended on 30 April, the changes should be announced on 30 May and will be effective after the close of trading on 13 June.</li>
<li>There could be 5 changes in June where passive trackers will need to trade between 0.7-2x ADV in the forecast adds and sell between 1-4x ADV in the forecast deletes.</li>
<li>A long adds/ short deletes trade has gone nowhere in the last 6-7 months, and the volatility of the trade has reduced even further in the last couple of months.</li>
</ul>


The review period ended on 30 April, the changes should be announced on 30 May and will be effective after the close of trading on 13 June.
There could be 5 changes in June where passive trackers will need to trade between 0.7-2x ADV in the forecast adds and sell between 1-4x ADV in the forecast deletes.
A long adds/ short deletes trade has gone nowhere in the last 6-7 months, and the volatility of the trade has reduced even further in the last couple of months.


CSI Medical Service Index Rebalance Preview: Five Changes as Trade Flatlines

Vcanbio Cell & Gene Engineering / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period ends on 30 April, the changes should be announced on 30 May and will be effective after the close of trading on 13 June.</li>
<li>We forecast 5 potential changes for the index in June where there could be buying of 0.5-2x ADV in the adds and selling of between 0.7-3.8x ADV in the deletes.</li>
<li>The forecast adds and deletes have performed in line over the last few months and there could be outperformance as we near the end of the review period and announcement.</li>
</ul>


The review period ends on 30 April, the changes should be announced on 30 May and will be effective after the close of trading on 13 June.
We forecast 5 potential changes for the index in June where there could be buying of 0.5-2x ADV in the adds and selling of between 0.7-3.8x ADV in the deletes.
The forecast adds and deletes have performed in line over the last few months and there could be outperformance as we near the end of the review period and announcement.


CSI Medical Service Index Rebalance Preview: Five Potential Changes in June

China

Zhejiang Dian Diagnostics Co., Ltd. provides medical diagnostic solutions, as an outsourcer, to various general hospitals, specialized hospitals, community health service centers (stations), township (county) hospitals, medical centers,  disease prevention and control centers.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Zhejiang Dian Diagnostics A (300244 CH)

ChiNext/ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Time for a Turnaround

There could be 9 changes for the Chinext and 5 changes for the Chinext50 index in Dec. The adds have drifted lower vs the deletes and there could...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Primer for CSI 300/500 Index Rebalance Events

We evaluated the performance of 1205+ unique past Index rebalance cases (ADDs and DELs) involving the CSI 300 index and CSI 500 index from December...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

CSI Medical Service Index Rebalance: Six Changes with Decent Impact

There are 6 changes for the index with estimated passive buying of 0.7-2.4x ADV in the adds and passive selling of between 1-4.7x ADV in the...

Brian Freitas

CSI Medical Service Index Rebalance Preview: Five Changes as Trade Flatlines

There could be 5 changes in June with passives trading between 0.7-4x ADV in the stocks. A long adds/ short deletes trade has gone nowhere in the...

Brian Freitas

CSI Medical Service Index Rebalance Preview: Five Potential Changes in June

There could be 5 changes for the index in June. Passives need to buy 0.5-2x ADV in the forecast adds and sell between 0.7-3.8x ADV in the forecast...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

ChiNext/​​​ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Time for a Turnaround

There could be 9 changes for the Chinext and 5 changes for the Chinext50 index in Dec. The adds have drifted lower vs the deletes and there could...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Primer for CSI 300/500 Index Rebalance Events

We evaluated the performance of 1205+ unique past Index rebalance cases (ADDs and DELs) involving the CSI 300 index and CSI 500 index from December...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

CSI Medical Service Index Rebalance: Six Changes with Decent Impact

There are 6 changes for the index with estimated passive buying of 0.7-2.4x ADV in the adds and passive selling of between 1-4.7x ADV in the...

Brian Freitas

CSI Medical Service Index Rebalance Preview: Five Changes as Trade Flatlines

There could be 5 changes in June with passives trading between 0.7-4x ADV in the stocks. A long adds/ short deletes trade has gone nowhere in the...

Brian Freitas

CSI Medical Service Index Rebalance Preview: Five Potential Changes in June

There could be 5 changes for the index in June. Passives need to buy 0.5-2x ADV in the forecast adds and sell between 0.7-3.8x ADV in the forecast...

Brian Freitas

ChiNext/ChiNext50 Index Rebalance Preview: Time for a Turnaround