Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China's economic data continued to be mixed. The on-again-off-again patter is here to stay. PBOC's stated policy to follow the US means Trumponomics's next read is critical to China, too;</li>
<li>Whether it is positive or negative to our sector depends on whether the view is half full or half empty. Stimulus will increasingly become irrelevant;</li>
<li>China EV posted strong numbers which cannot be explained by trade-in subsidy alone. Earning flash of Xiaomi, LI and Zeekr. </li>
</ul>


China's economic data continued to be mixed. The on-again-off-again patter is here to stay. PBOC's stated policy to follow the US means Trumponomics's next read is critical to China, too;
Whether it is positive or negative to our sector depends on whether the view is half full or half empty. Stimulus will increasingly become irrelevant;
China EV posted strong numbers which cannot be explained by trade-in subsidy alone. Earning flash of Xiaomi, LI and Zeekr. 


[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 12/52] Choice of the Less Evil Between Trumponomics' Outcomes

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Subsidy / In Depth: Why individuals may need to shoulder more of China’s social insurance burden </li><li>Law /Analysis: Why so few people are found not guilty in China</li><li>IPOs /: China may restart allowing unprofitable tech firms to list, sources say</li></ul>

Subsidy / In Depth: Why individuals may need to shoulder more of China’s social insurance burden Law /Analysis: Why so few people are found not guilty in ChinaIPOs /: China may restart allowing unprofitable tech firms to list, sources say

CX Daily: Why Individuals May Need to Shoulder More of China’s Social Insurance Burden 

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong's secular bull market gained after DeepSeek's announcement ignited shares in the tech sector.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingsoft-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:492:1" rel="noopener">Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK)</a> broke out to new high after it announced its DAU for WPS exceeded 100mm.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingsoft-cloud-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36647:1" rel="noopener">Kingsoft Cloud Holdings (3896 HK)</a> is benefiting from the AI rally.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> broke out to an all-time high after announcing it would offer its ADA service for free. The move caused <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla (TSLA US)</a> shares to fall.
</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong's secular bull market gained after DeepSeek's announcement ignited shares in the tech sector.

Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK) broke out to new high after it announced its DAU for WPS exceeded 100mm.  Kingsoft Cloud Holdings (3896 HK) is benefiting from the AI rally.

BYD (1211 HK) broke out to an all-time high after announcing it would offer its ADA service for free. The move caused Tesla (TSLA US) shares to fall.



Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (February 11)

<ul>
<li>Abnormally high growth during CNY of the express delivery parcel data showed social gift giving likely bumped up 20ppt YoY growth this CNY;</li>
<li>BYD plans to extend ADS to its low priced cars. 2025 will be a year L3 ADS extending to mainstream EV's now this prediction is even conservative;</li>
<li>Chinese EV makers are launching free price wars. But zero financing may be prompted by the banks, not by EV makers, mitigating margin impact.</li>
</ul>


Abnormally high growth during CNY of the express delivery parcel data showed social gift giving likely bumped up 20ppt YoY growth this CNY;
BYD plans to extend ADS to its low priced cars. 2025 will be a year L3 ADS extending to mainstream EV's now this prediction is even conservative;
Chinese EV makers are launching free price wars. But zero financing may be prompted by the banks, not by EV makers, mitigating margin impact.


[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 6/52] Express Delivery Showed Social Gift Took off During CNY

Analyst - Media&Entertainment Sector, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Stan Zhao

Analyst - Media&Entertainment Sector

<ul>
<li>US and China are two biggest markets in autonomous driving and robotaxi. However, due to US-China decoupling, each market is off limits to the other;</li>
<li>This makes non-US/non-China markets heavily contended. Uber and Lyft leads Didi and Meituan in globalization. But Chinese EV makers and ADS vendors might benefit from partnering with the two;</li>
<li>We expect companies with low priced vehicle production capacity, like BYD, XPEV, LEAP and Zeekr to  benefit more. Among ADS vendors, WeRide and Poni.AI stand out.</li>
</ul>


US and China are two biggest markets in autonomous driving and robotaxi. However, due to US-China decoupling, each market is off limits to the other;
This makes non-US/non-China markets heavily contended. Uber and Lyft leads Didi and Meituan in globalization. But Chinese EV makers and ADS vendors might benefit from partnering with the two;
We expect companies with low priced vehicle production capacity, like BYD, XPEV, LEAP and Zeekr to  benefit more. Among ADS vendors, WeRide and Poni.AI stand out.


Prospectus of Robotaxi Outside of China and US Is Bright for Chinese Supply Chains

China

Leapmotor is a Chinese automobile manufacturer specializing in the research, development, production, and sales of intelligent electric vehicles (EVs), including sedans, SUVs, and microcars. The company also develops core EV components such as intelligent driving systems, electric drive assemblies, and battery systems. Founded in December 2015, Leapmotor is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

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Leapmotor (9863 HK)

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 12/52] Choice of the Less Evil Between Trumponomics' Outcomes

China's economic data remains mixed, with PBOC closely following US policy. Stimulus may become irrelevant as China's EV sector sees strong growth...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (February 11)

HK stocks gained momentum after the DeepSeek announcement. Kingsoft shares broke out to new highs after announcing that WPS had DAUs of 100mm. BYD...

David Mudd

Prospectus of Robotaxi Outside of China and US Is Bright for Chinese Supply Chains

US-China decoupling splits the biggest and the 2nd biggest ride hailing market, which raise the importance of non-US, non China markets. We see...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 12/52] Choice of the Less Evil Between Trumponomics' Outcomes

​China's economic data remains mixed, with PBOC closely following US policy. Stimulus may become irrelevant as China's EV sector sees strong growth...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

CX Daily: Why Individuals May Need to Shoulder More of China’s Social Insurance Burden

TOP STORIES Subsidy / In Depth: Why individuals may need to shoulder more of China’s social insurance burden In recent years, many local...

Caixin Global

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (February 11)

HK stocks gained momentum after the DeepSeek announcement. Kingsoft shares broke out to new highs after announcing that WPS had DAUs of 100mm. BYD...

David Mudd

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 6/52] Express Delivery Showed Social Gift Took off During CNY

​CNY gift giving boosts express delivery growth, BYD to add ADS to low priced cars, Chinese EV makers engage in price wars with potential financing...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Prospectus of Robotaxi Outside of China and US Is Bright for Chinese Supply Chains

​US-China decoupling splits the biggest and the 2nd biggest ride hailing market, which raise the importance of non-US, non China markets. We see...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China's economic data remains mixed, with PBOC closely following US policy. Stimulus may become irrelevant as China's EV sector sees strong growth...

CNY gift giving boosts express delivery growth, BYD to add ADS to low priced cars, Chinese EV makers engage in price wars with potential financing...

US-China decoupling splits the biggest and the 2nd biggest ride hailing market, which raise the importance of non-US, non China markets. We see...