Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

We are recommending a shift from developed international markets (EAFE) to emerging market equities, as the MSCI EM index is breaking topside resistance, the EM vs. EAFE ratio is bullishly inflecting, and the US dollar (DXY) exhibits signs of breaking down. Russia (RTS), Taiwan (TAIEX), and Brazil (Bovespa) are deserving of overweights in the EM realm, though China (MSCI China) appears to be bottoming as well -- add exposure. EM Sectors: Technology and Consumer Discretionary are leadership -- overweight. Communications is the next most attractive EM Sector thanks largely to improvement in Tencent (700-HK) -- add exposure. Lastly, Materials exhibits early signs of potential price and RS bottoms -- add selective exposure

We are recommending a shift from developed international markets (EAFE) to emerging market equities, as the MSCI EM index is breaking topside resistance, the EM vs. EAFE ratio is bullishly inflecting, and the US dollar (DXY) exhibits signs of breaking down. Russia (RTS), Taiwan (TAIEX), and Brazil (Bovespa) are deserving of overweights in the EM realm, though China (MSCI China) appears to be bottoming as well -- add exposure. EM Sectors: Technology and Consumer Discretionary are leadership -- overweight. Communications is the next most attractive EM Sector thanks largely to improvement in Tencent (700-HK) -- add exposure. Lastly, Materials exhibits early signs of potential price and RS bottoms -- add selective exposure

Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index / Technical Analysis

Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SHCOMP INDEX)

The MSCI EM index continues to develop positively from a price perspective and we expect higher prices ahead. China remains leadership -- overweight. At the same time we recommend selectivity in new purchases considering many Chinese equities are extended. In this report we highlight a number of attractive stocks from Chines markets as well as opportunities within Greece, South Africa, India, and Taiwan.

The MSCI EM index continues to develop positively from a price perspective and we expect higher prices ahead. China remains leadership -- overweight. At the same time we recommend selectivity in new purchases considering many Chinese equities are extended. In this report we highlight a number of attractive stocks from Chines markets as well as opportunities within Greece, South Africa, India, and Taiwan.

EM Equity Strategy: Remain Overweight China

Broadly speaking, RS for MSCI EM is currently exhibiting some mild deterioration vs. MSCI EAFE following four months of clear outperformance. Nonetheless, the MSCI EM index is bottoming and remains attractive from a price perspective.  In today's report we offer a technical appraisal of major EM markets, and offer a host of technically attractivec bottoms-up stock ideas across the EM universe.

Broadly speaking, RS for MSCI EM is currently exhibiting some mild deterioration vs. MSCI EAFE following four months of clear outperformance. Nonetheless, the MSCI EM index is bottoming and remains attractive from a price perspective.  In today's report we offer a technical appraisal of major EM markets, and offer a host of technically attractivec bottoms-up stock ideas across the EM universe.

EM Equity Strategy: Cyclicals Leading, China Surging

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

Shenzhen Senior Technology-A / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-senior-technology-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29612:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Senior Technology-A (300568 CH)</a> is looking to raise around US$275m in its upcoming Switzerland GDR listing. The bookrunner on the deal is Huatai International.</li>
<li>As per media reports, the firm was earlier looking to raise between US$300-400m via a Swiss GDR issuance, having secured approval earlier to sell up to 128m A-shares.</li>
<li>However, given its lackluster share price performance over the past year, the eventual deal size would be capped at around US$275m.</li>
</ul>



Shenzhen Senior Technology-A (300568 CH) is looking to raise around US$275m in its upcoming Switzerland GDR listing. The bookrunner on the deal is Huatai International.
As per media reports, the firm was earlier looking to raise between US$300-400m via a Swiss GDR issuance, having secured approval earlier to sell up to 128m A-shares.
However, given its lackluster share price performance over the past year, the eventual deal size would be capped at around US$275m.


Shenzhen Senior Tech GDR Listing - Early Look - Correction Leaves Its Valuation Palatable

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen / Event-Driven

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen (300450 CH)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-lead-intelligent-equipmen" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27971:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen (300450 CH)</a> is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Switzerland GDR listing.</li>
<li>As per media reports, Wuxi Lead was said to be looking to raise US$495m via a Swiss GDR issuance, having secured approval to sell up to 78.3m shares.</li>
<li>Given the decline in its share price over the year, the eventual deal size could come to around US$300m as of its current last close.</li>
</ul>



Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen (300450 CH) is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Switzerland GDR listing.
As per media reports, Wuxi Lead was said to be looking to raise US$495m via a Swiss GDR issuance, having secured approval to sell up to 78.3m shares.
Given the decline in its share price over the year, the eventual deal size could come to around US$300m as of its current last close.


Wuxi Lead GDR Listing - Early Look - Another One in the Pipeline, Will Be Net Cash Post-Deal

China

Zhejiang Yongtai Technology Co Ltd produces fluorine series pharmaceuticals, agrochemical and liquid crystals.

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Zhejiang Yongtai Tech A (002326 CH)

Shift Exposure From EAFE to EM

We are recommending a shift from developed international markets (EAFE) to emerging market equities, as the MSCI EM index is breaking topside...

Vermilion Research

EM Equity Strategy: Remain Overweight China

The MSCI EM index continues to develop positively from a price perspective and we expect higher prices ahead. China remains leadership --...

Vermilion Research

EM Equity Strategy: Cyclicals Leading, China Surging

Broadly speaking, RS for MSCI EM is currently exhibiting some mild deterioration vs. MSCI EAFE following four months of clear outperformance....

Vermilion Research

Shenzhen Senior Tech GDR Listing - Early Look - Correction Leaves Its Valuation Palatable

Shenzhen Senior Tech just launched its US$66m GDR offering. In the base deal, 6.34m GDRs are on offer, at US$9.46–$10.44 each, representing a...

Clarence Chu

Wuxi Lead GDR Listing - Early Look - Another One in the Pipeline, Will Be Net Cash Post-Deal

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen (300450 CH) is looking to raise around US$300m in its upcoming Switzerland GDR listing, having secured approval to...

Clarence Chu

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