Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (TSM US)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>Over the trailing 12 months and the last month, the suppliers feeding the AI buildout have run multiples of NVDA and TSMC themselves. </li>
<li>I pulled fresh price performance across Zero One's broad coverage universe — 190 AI and semiconductor names tracked daily across Taiwan, Korea, Japan, and the US.</li>
<li>We explore five key themes that arise from the data and recent events.</li>
</ul>


Over the trailing 12 months and the last month, the suppliers feeding the AI buildout have run multiples of NVDA and TSMC themselves. 
I pulled fresh price performance across Zero One's broad coverage universe — 190 AI and semiconductor names tracked daily across Taiwan, Korea, Japan, and the US.
We explore five key themes that arise from the data and recent events.


AI's Biggest Winners Aren't NVDA and TSMC — They're the Suppliers

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Apr 24th. The aggregated holding was USD1,996.2bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD3,351mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Alchip Technologies, Delta Electronics, MediaTek.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Apr 24th. The aggregated holding was USD1,996.2bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD3,351mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Alchip Technologies, Delta Electronics, MediaTek.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 24th): TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Alchip Technologies

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) / Equity Capital Markets

Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) (2476 HK)

<ul>
<li>According to my valuation analysis, it suggests base case valuation of HK$378 which is 80% higher than the initial offer price of HK$209.88.</li>
<li>One could argue that the company deserves to trade at even higher valuation multiples than the comps, given its higher sales growth and operating margins.</li>
<li>To value Victory Giant (2476 HK), I used three comps including Zhen Ding Technology Holding (4958 TT), Unimicron Technology (3037 TT), and Samsung Electro Mechanics Co, Ltd. (009150 KS).</li>
</ul>


According to my valuation analysis, it suggests base case valuation of HK$378 which is 80% higher than the initial offer price of HK$209.88.
One could argue that the company deserves to trade at even higher valuation multiples than the comps, given its higher sales growth and operating margins.
To value Victory Giant (2476 HK), I used three comps including Zhen Ding Technology Holding (4958 TT), Unimicron Technology (3037 TT), and Samsung Electro Mechanics Co, Ltd. (009150 KS).


Victory Giant Technology Hong Kong IPO Valuation Analysis

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/victory-giant-technology-huizhou-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:48083:1" rel="noopener">Victory Giant (2476 HK)</a> priced its H Share at HK$209.88, raising HK$20,117 million (US$2.6 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/victory-giant-h-share-listing-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:228918" rel="noopener">Victory Giant H Share Listing: The Investment Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/victory-giant-h-share-listing-2476-hk-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:231064" rel="noopener">Victory Giant H Share Listing (2476 HK): Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>Victory Giant's international and retail oversubscription rates were above the median of recent large AH listings. The peers have re-rated, and the AH discount remains attractive.</li>
</ul>



Victory Giant (2476 HK) priced its H Share at HK$209.88, raising HK$20,117 million (US$2.6 billion) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.
I discussed the H Share listing in Victory Giant H Share Listing: The Investment Case and Victory Giant H Share Listing (2476 HK): Valuation Insights. 
Victory Giant's international and retail oversubscription rates were above the median of recent large AH listings. The peers have re-rated, and the AH discount remains attractive.


Victory Giant H Share Listing (2476 HK): Trading Debut

Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Summary</h2><ul>
<li>Starting October 13, 2016, TSMC will be the first company to report 3Q16 results and provide 4Q16 guidance to kick off semi/tech earnings season. Driven by iPhone 7, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/666" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1">Apple Inc (AAPL US)</a> Watch 2 production built, open market smartphones in emerging countries, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/191" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1">Samsung Electronics Co Ltd (005930 KS)</a> Note 7 battery problem, our 3Q16 sales report takeaways suggest y/y strengths in foundry and fabless vendors and q/q strengths in Apple's touch panel/pressure sensor and OEM/EMS vendors.  </li>
<li>
On…</li>
</ul>

Summary
Starting October 13, 2016, TSMC will be the first company to report 3Q16 results and provide 4Q16 guidance to kick off semi/tech earnings season. Driven by iPhone 7, Apple Inc (AAPL US) Watch 2 production built, open market smartphones in emerging countries, and Samsung Electronics Co Ltd (005930 KS) Note 7 battery problem, our 3Q16 sales report takeaways suggest y/y strengths in foundry and fabless vendors and q/q strengths in Apple's touch panel/pressure sensor and OEM/EMS vendors.  

On…


Taiwan Semi/Tech 3Q Sales Takeaway as an Early Indicator for Global Tech Earnings

Taiwan

Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd is a manufacturer of printed circuit board. The Company design, development, manufacture and sale of printed circuit board.

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Zhen Ding Technology Holding (4958 TT)

AI's Biggest Winners Aren't NVDA and TSMC — They're the Suppliers

Suppliers in the AI buildout have outperformed NVDA and TSMC. We scanned our 190 AI/semiconductor coverage universe for key themes emerging from...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 24th): TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Alchip Technologies

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Alchip Technologies,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Victory Giant Technology Hong Kong IPO Valuation Analysis

Victory Giant jumped nearly 60% in the gray market on Monday, ahead of its Tuesday debut. Victory Giant's shares were traded at HK$334 apiece on...

Douglas Kim

Taiwan Semi/Tech 3Q Sales Takeaway as an Early Indicator for Global Tech Earnings

Summary Starting October 13, 2016, TSMC will be the first company to report 3Q16 results and provide 4Q16 guidance to kick off semi/tech earnings...

Andrew Lu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

AI's Biggest Winners Aren't NVDA and TSMC — They're the Suppliers

​Suppliers in the AI buildout have outperformed NVDA and TSMC. We scanned our 190 AI/semiconductor coverage universe for key themes emerging from...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Apr 24th): TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Alchip Technologies

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Hon Hai Precision, Alchip Technologies,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Victory Giant Technology Hong Kong IPO Valuation Analysis

Victory Giant jumped nearly 60% in the gray market on Monday, ahead of its Tuesday debut. Victory Giant's shares were traded at HK$334 apiece on...

Douglas Kim

Victory Giant H Share Listing (2476 HK): Trading Debut

Victory Giant's international and retail oversubscription rates were above the median of recent large AH listings. The peers have re-rated, and the...

Arun George

Taiwan Semi/Tech 3Q Sales Takeaway as an Early Indicator for Global Tech Earnings

Summary Starting October 13, 2016, TSMC will be the first company to report 3Q16 results and provide 4Q16 guidance to kick off semi/tech earnings...

Andrew Lu

Suppliers in the AI buildout have outperformed NVDA and TSMC. We scanned our 190 AI/semiconductor coverage universe for key themes emerging from...