Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Apple will report its earnings on August 3rd, 14:00 PDT. We highlight two potential trades into the Apple earnings event.</li>
<li>Quanta Computer has massively outperformed Apple due to investors latching on to its AI-server growth story. One can consider to Long Apple / Short Quanta into the Apple earnings event.</li>
<li>Hon Hai, Flexium, and Zhen Ding have all lagged Apple's shares yet generate significant revenue from Apple. One can Long a basket of the three into Apple's earnings.</li>
</ul>


Apple will report its earnings on August 3rd, 14:00 PDT. We highlight two potential trades into the Apple earnings event.
Quanta Computer has massively outperformed Apple due to investors latching on to its AI-server growth story. One can consider to Long Apple / Short Quanta into the Apple earnings event.
Hon Hai, Flexium, and Zhen Ding have all lagged Apple's shares yet generate significant revenue from Apple. One can Long a basket of the three into Apple's earnings.


Taiwan Apple Ecosystem Monitor: Two Potential Event Trades into Apple Earnings

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>Our aggregate analysis of the 1Q23 earnings season showed a more balanced beat/miss ratio than 4Q22 likely due to already-downgraded forecasts presenting a lower expectations hurdle.</li>
<li>Semiconductor's inventory situation overall appeared to get worse in 1Q23... Excess inventory digestion is still a few quarters away for many semiconductor companies. Margins fell to the last cycle lows.</li>
<li>Hardware showed small signs of overall inventory improvement. Margins fell further but remained pretty high relative to the previous cycle.</li>
</ul>


Our aggregate analysis of the 1Q23 earnings season showed a more balanced beat/miss ratio than 4Q22 likely due to already-downgraded forecasts presenting a lower expectations hurdle.
Semiconductor's inventory situation overall appeared to get worse in 1Q23... Excess inventory digestion is still a few quarters away for many semiconductor companies. Margins fell to the last cycle lows.
Hardware showed small signs of overall inventory improvement. Margins fell further but remained pretty high relative to the previous cycle.


Taiwan Tech: Insights from 1Q23 Earnings Season Into Where We Are in the Cycle

Hon Hai Precision Industry / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>This week is relatively in terms of earnings. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/applied-materials-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:283:1" rel="noopener">Applied Materials (AMAT US)</a> will however be reporting on the 18th U.S. time.</li>
<li>Hon Hai sees the PC market bottoming; Separately, we've closed our Long Acer vs. Short Asus and reversed it to Long Asus vs. Short Acer again.</li>
<li>Quant shares have surged post results, dramatically outperforming Apple and other key Apple suppliers.</li>
</ul>


This week is relatively in terms of earnings. Applied Materials (AMAT US) will however be reporting on the 18th U.S. time.
Hon Hai sees the PC market bottoming; Separately, we've closed our Long Acer vs. Short Asus and reversed it to Long Asus vs. Short Acer again.
Quant shares have surged post results, dramatically outperforming Apple and other key Apple suppliers.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: PC Market Bottoming, AMAT, Quanta Outperforms Peers, Samsung Tesla Meeting

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With two weeks left to the cutoff, there could be 5 changes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June.</li>
<li>Apart from the adds/deletes, there will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to an estimated one-way turnover of 13.5% and a one-way trade of US$886m.</li>
<li>There are 9 stocks with at least 5 days ADV to trade from passive trackers and another 12 stocks that have at least 1 day ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


With two weeks left to the cutoff, there could be 5 changes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June.
Apart from the adds/deletes, there will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to an estimated one-way turnover of 13.5% and a one-way trade of US$886m.
There are 9 stocks with at least 5 days ADV to trade from passive trackers and another 12 stocks that have at least 1 day ADV to trade.


Yuanta/​​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend+ ETF Preview: Two Weeks to Cutoff

<ul>
<li>Using data from the close on 19 April, there could be 5 changes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June.</li>
<li>There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 13.6% and a one-way trade of US$885m.</li>
<li>There are 10 stocks with at least 3 days ADV to trade from passive trackers and another 10 stocks that have at least 1 day ADV to trade.</li>
</ul>


Using data from the close on 19 April, there could be 5 changes to the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June.
There will also be capping and funding flows that will lead to a one-way turnover of 13.6% and a one-way trade of US$885m.
There are 10 stocks with at least 3 days ADV to trade from passive trackers and another 10 stocks that have at least 1 day ADV to trade.


Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF: June Rebalance Preview

Taiwan

Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd is a manufacturer of printed circuit board. The Company design, development, manufacture and sale of printed circuit board.

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Zhen Ding Technology Holding (4958 TT)

Taiwan Apple Ecosystem Monitor: Two Potential Event Trades into Apple Earnings

Apple will report its earnings on August 3rd. We highlight one Long / Short and one Long-Only Basket trade into the event.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech: Insights from 1Q23 Earnings Season Into Where We Are in the Cycle

Semiconductor's inventory situation got worse in 1Q23... Excess inventory digestion is still a few quarters away for many semiconductor companies....

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: PC Market Bottoming, AMAT, Quanta Outperforms Peers, Samsung Tesla Meeting

Quant shares have surged post results, dramatically outperforming Apple and other key Apple suppliers. WiWynn shares crashed post results despite...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Dividend+ ETF Preview: Two Weeks to Cutoff

With 2 weeks to cutoff, we see 5 changes in June. The deletions are fairly clear, but there are a lot of non-constituents crowded around similar...

Brian Freitas

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF: June Rebalance Preview

There could be 5 changes for the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June. There will also be capping/funding flows that will lead to a...

Brian Freitas

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Taiwan Apple Ecosystem Monitor: Two Potential Event Trades into Apple Earnings

Apple will report its earnings on August 3rd. We highlight one Long / Short and one Long-Only Basket trade into the event.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech: Insights from 1Q23 Earnings Season Into Where We Are in the Cycle

Semiconductor's inventory situation got worse in 1Q23... Excess inventory digestion is still a few quarters away for many semiconductor companies....

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: PC Market Bottoming, AMAT, Quanta Outperforms Peers, Samsung Tesla Meeting

Quant shares have surged post results, dramatically outperforming Apple and other key Apple suppliers. WiWynn shares crashed post results despite...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Yuanta/​​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend+ ETF Preview: Two Weeks to Cutoff

With 2 weeks to cutoff, we see 5 changes in June. The deletions are fairly clear, but there are a lot of non-constituents crowded around similar...

Brian Freitas

Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF: June Rebalance Preview

There could be 5 changes for the Yuanta/​P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June. There will also be capping/funding flows that will lead to a...

Brian Freitas

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Dividend+ ETF Preview: Two Weeks to Cutoff

Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF: June Rebalance Preview

There could be 5 changes for the Yuanta/P-Shares Taiwan Dividend Plus ETF in June. There will also be capping/funding flows that will lead to a...