Research from Quam Securities, Quam Securities

Quam Securities Research

Research from Quam Securities

Quam Securities

Since its inception in 1986, Quam Securities Limited (Quam Securities) has grown to become one of the few mid-tier securities brokerages in Hong Kong with global execution capabilities for both private and institutional clients. It boasts a well-established network in Greater China including Taiwan and in major world markets through the Global Alliance Partners (GAP). Quam Securities is well-positioned not only to harness and drive business within the China Tonghai International Financial Limited but also between China and the world markets.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Intron, which is a provider of electronic solutions, mainly for vehicles, announced its 2022 annual result with a net profit growth of 107% on 52% growth in revenue and GPM expansion of 1.9 ppts to 21.5%.</li><li>The company has benefited from the strong growth in the NEV market in China as NEVs tend to packed with more electronic parts and components for many advanced features.</li><li>Although there is intense price competition in the auto market in China currently, this could offer more opportunities to the company as OEMs seek for more price competitive solutions from third-party suppliers. Intron is currently trading at 12x 2023 consensus P/E.</li></ul>

Intron, which is a provider of electronic solutions, mainly for vehicles, announced its 2022 annual result with a net profit growth of 107% on 52% growth in revenue and GPM expansion of 1.9 ppts to 21.5%.The company has benefited from the strong growth in the NEV market in China as NEVs tend to packed with more electronic parts and components for many advanced features.Although there is intense price competition in the auto market in China currently, this could offer more opportunities to the company as OEMs seek for more price competitive solutions from third-party suppliers. Intron is currently trading at 12x 2023 consensus P/E.

Intron (1760 HK, NR) - OEM Price War Could Be an Opportunity

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Major aerial work platform (AWP) manufacturers (Terex, Oshkosh) and rental company (United Rentals) in the US provide bullish guidance on 2023E outlook after reporting their 2022 results.</li><li>Key takeaways: (1) AWP manufacturers saw strong order flow with backlog visibility of &gt;12 months; (2) The mega projects, which are less macro reliant, will provide both rental companies and AWP manufacturers with growth certainty over the coming years; (3) manufacturers’ margin improvement trend will continue despite the fact that supply chain will remain a constraint this year, suggesting strong pricing power.</li><li>All these reaffirm our positive stance on the AWP sector this year. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Major aerial work platform (AWP) manufacturers (Terex, Oshkosh) and rental company (United Rentals) in the US provide bullish guidance on 2023E outlook after reporting their 2022 results.Key takeaways: (1) AWP manufacturers saw strong order flow with backlog visibility of &gt;12 months; (2) The mega projects, which are less macro reliant, will provide both rental companies and AWP manufacturers with growth certainty over the coming years; (3) manufacturers’ margin improvement trend will continue despite the fact that supply chain will remain a constraint this year, suggesting strong pricing power.All these reaffirm our positive stance on the AWP sector this year. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Construction Machinery – Upbeat Guidance from US AWP Manufacturers

<ul><li>What is new? The 24% YoY decline in excavator sales in 2022 (for the industry as a whole) is largely in line with our expectation.</li><li>Meanwhile, Jiangsu Hengli’s scheduled production of excavator cylinders in Jan 2023 drops &gt;20% YoY, likely due to (1) the pandemic impact and (2) base effect of CNY.</li><li>On the back of reopening and easing liquidity, we expect demand for excavator to pick up moderately in Feb/Mar and we maintain our forecast of 10% YoY increase in the industry demand in 2023E (China: +15%, export: +5%).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

What is new? The 24% YoY decline in excavator sales in 2022 (for the industry as a whole) is largely in line with our expectation.Meanwhile, Jiangsu Hengli’s scheduled production of excavator cylinders in Jan 2023 drops &gt;20% YoY, likely due to (1) the pandemic impact and (2) base effect of CNY.On the back of reopening and easing liquidity, we expect demand for excavator to pick up moderately in Feb/Mar and we maintain our forecast of 10% YoY increase in the industry demand in 2023E (China: +15%, export: +5%).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Construction Machinery – Prefer AWP to excavator in the near term

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 111.8% as of Dec 23rd.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -1.6ppt weeok on week, led by consumer staples, communication services, energy and offset by information technology, real estate.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Xinjiang Gold Wind, Haier Smart Home, Weichai Power, Fuyao Glass, Shenhua, China Minsheng, Shanghai Junshi, Luoyang Glass.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 142 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 111.8% as of Dec 23rd.
The average A-H premium changed by -1.6ppt weeok on week, led by consumer staples, communication services, energy and offset by information technology, real estate.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Xinjiang Gold Wind, Haier Smart Home, Weichai Power, Fuyao Glass, Shenhua, China Minsheng, Shanghai Junshi, Luoyang Glass.


A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 23rd): Xinjiang Gold Wind, Haier Smart Home

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 136 stocks over the last week.</li>
<li>Average A/H premium was 4.7ppt lower last week, led by consumer discretionary, material and healthcare. </li>
<li>37 stocks reached 52 week high last week but most have retreated since, representing arb opportunities in volatile market. </li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A/H premium on 136 stocks over the last week.
Average A/H premium was 4.7ppt lower last week, led by consumer discretionary, material and healthcare. 
37 stocks reached 52 week high last week but most have retreated since, representing arb opportunities in volatile market. 


A/H Premium Weekly: Arb Opportunities Last Week

China

Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group Co., Ltd. develops and manufactures hydraulic support in coal industry.  The Company's products include two legs hydraulic support, four legs hydraulic support, caving support, and hydraulic valve.

Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group Co (564 HK)

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Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery Group Co (564 HK)

Intron (1760 HK, NR) - OEM Price War Could Be an Opportunity

The company has benefited from the strong growth in the NEV market in China as NEVs tend to packed with more electronic parts and components for...

Quam Securities

China Construction Machinery – Upbeat Guidance from US AWP Manufacturers

Major aerial work platform (AWP) manufacturers (Terex, Oshkosh) and rental company (United Rentals) in the US provide bullish guidance on 2023E...

CMB International

China Construction Machinery – Prefer AWP to excavator in the near term

What is new? The 24% YoY decline in excavator sales in 2022 (for the industry as a whole) is largely in line with our expectation.

CMB International

A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 23rd): Xinjiang Gold Wind, Haier Smart Home

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Xinjiang Gold Wind, Haier Smart Home, Weichai Power, Fuyao...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A/H Premium Weekly: Arb Opportunities Last Week

We highlight average A/H premium was 4.7ppt lower last week, led by consumer discretionary, material and healthcare. 37 stocks reached 52w high...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)