Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

ZhongAn Online P&C Insurance C / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongan-online-p-c-insurance-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23681:1" rel="noopener">ZhongAn Online P&amp;C Insurance C (6060 HK)</a> is benefiting from the cross-selling opportunities  generated through the eco-systems of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>, its parent companies</li>
<li>Largest solely online insurance company in China with Rmb 30B gross premiums written in 2023.</li>
<li>Expertise and cross-selling from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-grp-co-of-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12880:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK)</a> , another parent company with a jointly run auto insurance business.</li>
</ul>



ZhongAn Online P&amp;C Insurance C (6060 HK) is benefiting from the cross-selling opportunities  generated through the eco-systems of Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) and Tencent (700 HK), its parent companies
Largest solely online insurance company in China with Rmb 30B gross premiums written in 2023.
Expertise and cross-selling from Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK) , another parent company with a jointly run auto insurance business.


Baba's Babies: Co-Parenting Works! Zhong An Online P&C Insurance

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>ZhongAn reported FY23 results with net profit attributable to shareholders turning positive to RMB4.1bn, from a net loss of RMB1.1bn in 2022.</li><li>Excluding the oneoff gain on disposal of ZA International at RMB3.78bn, the insurer recorded RMB 294mn net profit, in line with consensus.</li><li>We see multiple highlights in the results: 1) domestic P&amp;C growth momentum continued driven by digital lifestyle with premiums +33.1% YoY in 2H23 despite macro uncertainties; 2) revenue from domestic technology export rose 73% YoY to RMB504mn by riding the wave of Digital China; 3) ZA Bank breakeven was on track, with the bank’s net revenue +42.9% YoY and NIM +10bps to 1.94% on the back of a lower loan-to-deposit ratio at 46% (vs 2022: 53%). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ZhongAn reported FY23 results with net profit attributable to shareholders turning positive to RMB4.1bn, from a net loss of RMB1.1bn in 2022.Excluding the oneoff gain on disposal of ZA International at RMB3.78bn, the insurer recorded RMB 294mn net profit, in line with consensus.We see multiple highlights in the results: 1) domestic P&amp;C growth momentum continued driven by digital lifestyle with premiums +33.1% YoY in 2H23 despite macro uncertainties; 2) revenue from domestic technology export rose 73% YoY to RMB504mn by riding the wave of Digital China; 3) ZA Bank breakeven was on track, with the bank’s net revenue +42.9% YoY and NIM +10bps to 1.94% on the back of a lower loan-to-deposit ratio at 46% (vs 2022: 53%). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ZhongAn (6060 HK) - Digital Lifestyle Leading Growth

Founder of Antler Capital

Stanley Tsai, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

In the spirit of the long-awaited UEFA Euro 2020, we present our inaugural "China Financials: Silver Linings Playbook", which summarizes our views on the names that are best positioned to navigate an environment of progressively slower credit growth, tighter liquidity and rising defaults. 
Our screen consists of 100+ stocks in the A/H share universe, as well as a select number of international / non-traditional names that have significant exposures to China's financial system. We have a preference for larger-cap and liquid names, which are then filtered by our opinions on their fundamentals, value, momentum and recent trading volumes. We also try to make our selections versatile and less vulnerable to single-factor movements.
Each player's position on the pitch and the team formation itself convey incremental information about our thoughts on the sector's performance over a three to six-month horizon. To the extent possible, we intend to update our ideas on a periodic basis. This provides a feedback loop with our other ongoing research on the industry.
However, our team selections are not investment recommendations. Instead, they are meant to give structure to our analysis. The playbook allows us to articulate our views on the sector in a timely, concise manner. Our objective is to ensure we don't throw the baby out with the bathwater as sentiments on the sector remain bleak.
With that out of the way, the following is our starting XI. We will dive deeper into our rationale for our selections in the remainder of this insight (Exhibit 1).
<table class="table table-striped">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="width: 726.047px;">Exhibit 1: China Financials | Silver Linings Playbook</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 726.047px;">
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/213/768/original/image_768460236451623962508577.png?1623962508" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="213768"></figure>

Source: Our analysis
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
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In the spirit of the long-awaited UEFA Euro 2020, we present our inaugural "China Financials: Silver Linings Playbook", which summarizes our views on the names that are best positioned to navigate an environment of progressively slower credit growth, tighter liquidity and rising defaults. 
Our screen consists of 100+ stocks in the A/H share universe, as well as a select number of international / non-traditional names that have significant exposures to China's financial system. We have a preference for larger-cap and liquid names, which are then filtered by our opinions on their fundamentals, value, momentum and recent trading volumes. We also try to make our selections versatile and less vulnerable to single-factor movements.
Each player's position on the pitch and the team formation itself convey incremental information about our thoughts on the sector's performance over a three to six-month horizon. To the extent possible, we intend to update our ideas on a periodic basis. This provides a feedback loop with our other ongoing research on the industry.
However, our team selections are not investment recommendations. Instead, they are meant to give structure to our analysis. The playbook allows us to articulate our views on the sector in a timely, concise manner. Our objective is to ensure we don't throw the baby out with the bathwater as sentiments on the sector remain bleak.
With that out of the way, the following is our starting XI. We will dive deeper into our rationale for our selections in the remainder of this insight (Exhibit 1).



Exhibit 1: China Financials | Silver Linings Playbook





Source: Our analysis




Related Insights
China Macro: Consumers Remain on the Sidelines, as Their Home Equity Grows 
Glut and Famine: We Might See Snow in China This Summer 
China Macro: PPI Peaks, while CPI Eases Tightening Fears 
China Macro: Exports Disappoint, but It's Still Early in the Game 
Glut and Famine: China's Monetary Conditions a Notch Tighter in May 
ICBC: The Bond Identity | A Zero-Growth Dividend Discount Story 
BOC Aviation (2588 HK): The Stars Don't Look Bigger, but They Do Look Brighter

China Financials: Silver Linings Playbook

Fintech & EM-focused Analyst, KT Capital Group

Alec Tseung

Fintech & EM-focused Analyst

Equity Capital Markets

<ul><li>Three major concerns/questions I'd ask regarding the potential IPO of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/waterdrop-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33018:1" rel="noopener">Waterdrop Inc (WDH US)</a>:</li></ul><ol>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/waterdrop-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33018:1" rel="noopener"></a>Single monetization channel: as the company seeks further growth, can it really compete against the distribution channels of the tech and insurance giants in China?</li>
<li>
Insurance/product development potential: does the company have the expertise to develop its own products without just having to rely on the distribution channels?</li>
<li>
Valuation: if the investment thesis is to ride the growth of healthcare and medical insurance spending in China, isn't it more direct to invest in an online (or even traditional) insurer, which is at a much lower valuation?</li>
</ol>

Three major concerns/questions I'd ask regarding the potential IPO of Waterdrop Inc (WDH US):

Single monetization channel: as the company seeks further growth, can it really compete against the distribution channels of the tech and insurance giants in China?

Insurance/product development potential: does the company have the expertise to develop its own products without just having to rely on the distribution channels?

Valuation: if the investment thesis is to ride the growth of healthcare and medical insurance spending in China, isn't it more direct to invest in an online (or even traditional) insurer, which is at a much lower valuation?


Waterdrop Inc: Can the Water Keep Flowing After Its IPO?

<ul><li>Zhong An came out with a net profit turnaround at RMB2.21mn in 1H23 from a restated net loss of RMB6.36mn compared to the last first-half, thanks to an increase in total investment income.</li><li>Such rise was driven by RMB573mn net gain on fair value changes in onshore insurance funds and a continuously improving CoR, further down to 95.8% with claim and expense ratios both declined (-0.6pct/- 0.1pct) year-over-year.</li><li>This result was aligned to the earnings alert the company released a week ago informing its 1H23 earnings were no less than RMB200mn.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Zhong An came out with a net profit turnaround at RMB2.21mn in 1H23 from a restated net loss of RMB6.36mn compared to the last first-half, thanks to an increase in total investment income.Such rise was driven by RMB573mn net gain on fair value changes in onshore insurance funds and a continuously improving CoR, further down to 95.8% with claim and expense ratios both declined (-0.6pct/- 0.1pct) year-over-year.This result was aligned to the earnings alert the company released a week ago informing its 1H23 earnings were no less than RMB200mn.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ZhongAn (6060 HK) – Strong Investment and UW Profits Drive 1H23 Earnings Turnaround

China

ZhongAn Online P & C Insurance Co., Ltd. operates as an insurance company. The Company develops and sells health, airline, and automotive insurance, and other products. ZhongAn Online P & C Insurance also offers online consumer finance services.

ZhongAn Online P&C Insurance C (6060 HK)

Baba's Babies: Co-Parenting Works! Zhong An Online P&C Insurance

Zhong An Online Insurance is experience rapid growth through cross selling opportunities from its part owners Alibaba, Tencent and Ping An, as well...

David Mudd

ZhongAn (6060 HK) - Digital Lifestyle Leading Growth

ZhongAn reported FY23 results with net profit attributable to shareholders turning positive to RMB4.1bn, from a net loss of RMB1.1bn in 2022.

CMB International

China Financials: Silver Linings Playbook

Our Silver Linings Playbook outlines our views on the China financials names that are most likely to remain resilient in the face of macro...

Stanley Tsai, CFA

Waterdrop Inc: Can the Water Keep Flowing After Its IPO?

Waterdrop Inc is an interesting company with good intentions. But these are the three major concerns one should pay particular attention to when...

Alec Tseung

ZhongAn (6060 HK) – Strong Investment and UW Profits Drive 1H23 Earnings Turnaround

This result was aligned to the earnings alert the company released a week ago informing its 1H23 earnings were no less than RMB200mn.

CMB International