Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Following shareholder approval of the proposal to reduce the Foreign Ownership Limit from 100% to 49.5%, NSDL has updated the FOL. This starts the process of passive selling in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato</a>.</li>
<li>Passives will sell US$350m at the close on Tuesday. There is a low probability of more selling later in the week. There will be bigger selling in August.</li>
<li>The size of the selling in August and beyond will depend on what foreign investors do in the stock till the end of June. Watch the red flag/ breach list.</li>
</ul>


Following shareholder approval of the proposal to reduce the Foreign Ownership Limit from 100% to 49.5%, NSDL has updated the FOL. This starts the process of passive selling in Zomato.
Passives will sell US$350m at the close on Tuesday. There is a low probability of more selling later in the week. There will be bigger selling in August.
The size of the selling in August and beyond will depend on what foreign investors do in the stock till the end of June. Watch the red flag/ breach list.


Zomato/Eternal: The BIG Passive Selling Starts

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a>, now Eternal, listed in July 2021 with a Foreign Ownership Limit (FOL) of 100%. Since listing, foreign ownership has dropped from over 70% to just under 45%.</li>
<li>Eternal is looking to cap foreign ownership at 49.5% to continue qualifying as an Indian-Owned-and-Controlled Company. That will give the company greater operational flexibility, especially for inventory ownership.</li>
<li>The FOL decrease will result in selling from passive global index trackers. With the stock 23.5% off its highs and a steady increase in futures open interest, covering could ensue.</li>
</ul>



Zomato (ZOMATO IN), now Eternal, listed in July 2021 with a Foreign Ownership Limit (FOL) of 100%. Since listing, foreign ownership has dropped from over 70% to just under 45%.
Eternal is looking to cap foreign ownership at 49.5% to continue qualifying as an Indian-Owned-and-Controlled Company. That will give the company greater operational flexibility, especially for inventory ownership.
The FOL decrease will result in selling from passive global index trackers. With the stock 23.5% off its highs and a steady increase in futures open interest, covering could ensue.


Zomato/Eternal: Lower Foreign Ownership Limits & The BIG Passive Selling

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/phonepe-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34788:1" rel="noopener">Phonepe Pvt Ltd (1732974D IN)</a> 's new app, "Pincode", is based on the ONDC platform and offers hyperlocal e-commerce.</li>
<li>ONDC-Enabled Pincode could disrupt <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a> food delivery and grocery businesses.</li>
<li>Loyal restaurants may choose to offer discounts via ONDC, putting pressure on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato (ZOMATO IN)</a>  and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bundl-technologies-private-limited-swiggy" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35630:1" rel="noopener">Swiggy (1255298D IN)</a> to compete bringing back cash burn and discounting. </li>
</ul>



Phonepe Pvt Ltd (1732974D IN) 's new app, "Pincode", is based on the ONDC platform and offers hyperlocal e-commerce.
ONDC-Enabled Pincode could disrupt Zomato (ZOMATO IN) food delivery and grocery businesses.
Loyal restaurants may choose to offer discounts via ONDC, putting pressure on Zomato (ZOMATO IN)  and Swiggy (1255298D IN) to compete bringing back cash burn and discounting. 


Zomato (ZOMATO IN) | Houston, We Have A "Pincode" Problem

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

SAI Life Sciences / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sai-life-sciences" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43724:1" rel="noopener">SAI Life Sciences (SAILS12 IN)</a> raised around US$360m in its India IPO in Dec 2024. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>Sai Life Sciences is a contract research, development and manufacturing organisation providing end-to-end services across drug discovery, development and manufacturing value-chain, for small to global pharmaceutical innovators and biotechnology firms.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



SAI Life Sciences (SAILS12 IN) raised around US$360m in its India IPO in Dec 2024. The lockup on its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.
Sai Life Sciences is a contract research, development and manufacturing organisation providing end-to-end services across drug discovery, development and manufacturing value-chain, for small to global pharmaceutical innovators and biotechnology firms.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Sai Life Sciences IPO Lockup - US$840m Lockup Release; TPG Asia up 5.8x with a 24.8% Stake

<ul>
<li>Gen Z consumers prioritize price over brand loyalty, affecting restaurateurs' pricing strategies.</li>
<li>Increasing platform dominance and discounting culture hinder profitability for restaurants in the competitive food delivery landscape.</li>
<li>Food delivery companies are pivoting from mere consumer tech-enabled logistics businesses to data-driven market-dominant behemoths. </li>
</ul>


Gen Z consumers prioritize price over brand loyalty, affecting restaurateurs' pricing strategies.
Increasing platform dominance and discounting culture hinder profitability for restaurants in the competitive food delivery landscape.
Food delivery companies are pivoting from mere consumer tech-enabled logistics businesses to data-driven market-dominant behemoths. 


India Food Delivery | Old Habits Die Easy

India

Eternal Limited is an online restaurant guide and food ordering platform. The Company offers platform connects customers, restaurants, and delivery partners to search and discover restaurants, read and write customer generated reviews, order food delivery, book a table, and make payments while dining-out at restaurants. Eternal serves customers worldwide.

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Eternal (ETERNAL IN)

Zomato/Eternal: The BIG Passive Selling Starts

Shareholders have approved the FOL reduction from 100% to 49.5% and NSDL has updated their website. That leads to passive selling on Tuesday and...

Brian Freitas

Zomato/Eternal: Lower Foreign Ownership Limits & The BIG Passive Selling

Lowering the FOL from 100% to 49.5% will result in big passive selling. That could be offset by foreign buying in the short-term and covering via...

Brian Freitas

Zomato (ZOMATO IN) | Houston, We Have A "Pincode" Problem

Emergence of ONDC and PhonePe's Pincode app likely to disrupt food delivery and grocery businesses of Zomato and Swiggy, bringing back cash burn...

Pranav Bhavsar

Sai Life Sciences IPO Lockup - US$840m Lockup Release; TPG Asia up 5.8x with a 24.8% Stake

TPG Asia is selling 20.8m shares or 10% of the capital in Sai Life Sciences amounting to INR14.8bn (US$170m) at a floor price of INR 710/share, a...

Akshat Shah

India Food Delivery | Old Habits Die Easy

Gen Z's focus on price loyalty over brand loyalty, increasing platform dominance, and discounting culture, companies evolving into data-driven...

Pranav Bhavsar

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Zomato/Eternal: The BIG Passive Selling Starts

Shareholders have approved the FOL reduction from 100% to 49.5% and NSDL has updated their website. That leads to passive selling on Tuesday and...

Brian Freitas

Zomato/Eternal: Lower Foreign Ownership Limits & The BIG Passive Selling

Lowering the FOL from 100% to 49.5% will result in big passive selling. That could be offset by foreign buying in the short-term and covering via...

Brian Freitas

Zomato (ZOMATO IN) | Houston, We Have A "Pincode" Problem

Emergence of ONDC and PhonePe's Pincode app likely to disrupt food delivery and grocery businesses of Zomato and Swiggy, bringing back cash burn...

Pranav Bhavsar

Sai Life Sciences IPO Lockup - US$840m Lockup Release; TPG Asia up 5.8x with a 24.8% Stake

TPG Asia is selling 20.8m shares or 10% of the capital in Sai Life Sciences amounting to INR14.8bn (US$170m) at a floor price of INR 710/share, a...

Akshat Shah

India Food Delivery | Old Habits Die Easy

​Gen Z's focus on price loyalty over brand loyalty, increasing platform dominance, and discounting culture, companies evolving into data-driven...

Pranav Bhavsar

Gen Z's focus on price loyalty over brand loyalty, increasing platform dominance, and discounting culture, companies evolving into data-driven...